Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM
Crystal Palace
Top tip Both Teams to Score - No
Arsenal
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  • Crystal Palace head into the final day knowing they can finish 14th to 16th, but their focus is largely on Wednesday's Europa Conference League final.
  • Arsenal arrive as confirmed champions and have won their last three trips to Selhurst Park, scoring eight goals across those visits.
  • The visitors lead the head-to-head with seven wins and five draws from the last 13 meetings, and the Eagles have taken just one of those outings.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Crystal Palace and Arsenal

To provide the most comprehensive betting insights, we have leveraged the analytical power of three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each AI has processed the available data to offer a distinct prediction on a key market for this match. Their conclusions are presented clearly below, and you can click on any prediction to reveal the detailed reasoning behind their data-driven analysis.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelArsenal and BTTS – No
Odds for This Bet 12/512/523/10
Arsenal have won the last three trips to Selhurst Park, with clean sheets in the 0-2 in August 2022 and 0-1 in August 2023, and a 1-5 romp in December 2024 that leaked just one. Palace’s 61 per cent home scoring rate is mediocre and the Eagles’ attention is on Wednesday’s UECL final. The 12/5 on Arsenal to take the points without Palace finding the net looks the most credible market angle on the available evidence.
Prediction of AI claude modelTotal Goals – Under 2.5
Odds for This Bet 5/46/5
Palace have managed Over 2.5 goals in just six per cent of their 18 home matches this season and are on two home wins since beating Brentford in early November. Arsenal’s pressure-off afternoon and Palace’s distracted preparation point at a controlled, low-scoring visit rather than a goal-fest. Three of the last four Selhurst meetings have stayed under three goals on this form lens.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelWin to Nil – Arsenal
Odds for This Bet 12/512/59/4
Arsenal’s recent trips to Selhurst Park have produced multiple clean wins, including 0-2 in August 2022, 0-1 in August 2023, and the 1-5 in December 2024 where Palace’s lone goal came late. Across the last 13 head-to-head meetings the visitors have kept five clean sheets, and the William Saliba and Gabriel partnership has anchored that pattern this season. On the H2H lens, Arsenal by any margin without Palace scoring is the cleanest read.
Summary and Final Prediction
Adrian Dane Sports Writer at
Last updated: May 22, 2026
Why this is our top pick

Both Teams to Score – No at 5/4 is the bet I want to side with on Sunday. Arsenal’s last three trips to Selhurst Park have produced eight goals at one end and just a single Palace reply across the three matches, and the visitors arrive as confirmed champions with William Saliba and Gabriel still anchoring a strong away defence. Palace meanwhile have won just two of their league home matches since November and have one eye firmly on Wednesday’s Europa Conference League final. Arsenal can win at 1.80 but the price falls short of where I want to commit; the BTTS No angle is the one with the cleanest H2H foundation. I will be backing the visitors to keep another clean sheet at Selhurst.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. This data-driven approach identifies betting opportunities where the odds may undervalue the true probability of an outcome.

Bet 1
  • Winning MarginArsenal by exactly 1 goal
  • Probability: 32%
  • Best Odds: 11/4 (3.75) at Boylesports
  • Our model rates this at 32 per cent, the 3.75 price implies 27 per cent, so we make it five percentage points of value on a one-goal Arsenal win, the precise margin in the 0-1 in August 2023, 1-0 in October 2025, and 1-2 in May 2021.
Bet 2
  • Winning MarginArsenal by exactly 2 goals
  • Probability: 25%
  • Best Odds: 4/1 (5.00) at Boylesports
  • Our model rates this at 25 per cent, the 5.00 price implies 20 per cent, so we make it five percentage points of value on a two-goal Arsenal win, a margin the H2H has produced in the 0-2 at Selhurst in August 2022 and across multiple home wins for the Gunners over Palace.
Bet 3
  • Crystal Palace Team Total GoalsUnder 0.5
  • Probability: 42%
  • Best Odds: 7/4 (2.75) at Betfred
  • Our model gives 42 per cent, the 2.75 price implies 36 per cent, so we make it six percentage points of value on Palace failing to score, supported by two clean Arsenal away wins in the last three Selhurst meetings and Palace’s distracted final-day focus.
Bet 4
  • Clean SheetArsenal
  • Probability: 42%
  • Best Odds: 9/5 (2.80) at 10bet
  • Our model gives 42 per cent, the 2.80 price implies 36 per cent, so we rate this six percentage points of edge on Arsenal keeping Palace out, with the Gunners having kept five clean sheets in the last 13 head-to-head meetings.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Crystal Palace and Arsenal:

  • Daniel Munoz is Crystal Palace’s designated anytime scorer pick, with four goals and three assists from 28 appearances at a 7.0 average match rating. The Colombian right-back is a regular box-arrival threat and at home represents Palace’s most credible route to a goal, even against an Arsenal side that has kept the Eagles out across multiple recent Selhurst visits. (Crystal Palace)
  • Bukayo Saka is the designated anytime scorer pick for Arsenal, with seven goals and five assists from 31 appearances at a 7.2 average match rating. The England winger thrives at the right of an Arsenal front line averaging 14.5 shots per match, and against a Palace defence that has shipped goals across the last three Selhurst meetings against the Gunners, he is the standout pick. (Arsenal)

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Crystal Palace Form and Stats

Last MatchesCrystal Palace
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 37 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 18 Goals scored
  • 19 Goals conceded
  • 79% Over 2.5
  • 21% Under 2.5
  • 17 May 2026 – Premier League Brentford2 : 2Crystal Palace
  • 13 May 2026 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 10 May 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace2 : 2Everton
  • 07 May 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Crystal Palace2 : 1Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 03 May 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 30 Apr 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Shakhtar Donetsk1 : 3Crystal Palace
           
WINS 3
DRAW 3
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 13 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 4 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 10 May 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace2 : 2Everton
  • 07 May 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Crystal Palace2 : 1Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 20 Apr 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0West Ham United
  • 12 Apr 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace2 : 1Newcastle United
  • 09 Apr 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Crystal Palace3 : 0Fiorentina
  • 15 Mar 2026 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0Leeds United
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 21 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 7 Goals scored
  • 14 Goals conceded
  • 86% Over 2.5
  • 0% Under 2.5
  • 17 May 2026 – Premier League Brentford2 : 2Crystal Palace
  • 13 May 2026 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 03 May 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 30 Apr 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Shakhtar Donetsk1 : 3Crystal Palace
  • 25 Apr 2026 – Premier League Liverpool3 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 16 Apr 2026 – Conference League Final Stage Fiorentina2 : 1Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

Starting XI

Starting XI

3-6-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Dean Henderson
23 Jaydee Canvot
5 Maxence Lacroix
34 Chadi Riad
19 Will Hughes
8 Jefferson Lerma
3 Tyrick Mitchell
2 Daniel Munoz
10 Yeremy Pino
11 Brennan Johnson
22 Jorgen Strand Larsen

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Arsenal Form and Stats

Last MatchesArsenal
           
WINS 5
DRAW 1
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 25 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 29% Over 2.5
  • 71% Under 2.5
  • 18 May 2026 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Burnley
  • 10 May 2026 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 1Arsenal
  • 05 May 2026 – Champions League Final Stage Arsenal1 : 0Atletico Madrid
  • 02 May 2026 – Premier League Arsenal3 : 0Fulham
  • 29 Apr 2026 – Champions League Final Stage Atletico Madrid1 : 1Arsenal
  • 25 Apr 2026 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Newcastle United
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 9 Matches)
  • 9 Total goals
  • 11% BTTS
  • 7 Goals scored
  • 2 Goals conceded
  • 22% Over 2.5
  • 44% Under 2.5
  • 18 May 2026 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Burnley
  • 05 May 2026 – Champions League Final Stage Arsenal1 : 0Atletico Madrid
  • 02 May 2026 – Premier League Arsenal3 : 0Fulham
  • 25 Apr 2026 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 15 Apr 2026 – Champions League Final Stage Arsenal0 : 0Sporting CP
  • 11 Apr 2026 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 2AFC Bournemouth
         
WINS 2
DRAW 1
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 5 Matches)
  • 10 Total goals
  • 60% BTTS
  • 5 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 40% Over 2.5
  • 60% Under 2.5
  • 10 May 2026 – Premier League West Ham United0 : 1Arsenal
  • 29 Apr 2026 – Champions League Final Stage Atletico Madrid1 : 1Arsenal
  • 19 Apr 2026 – Premier League Manchester City2 : 1Arsenal
  • 07 Apr 2026 – Champions League Final Stage Sporting CP0 : 1Arsenal
  • 04 Apr 2026 – FA Cup Southampton2 : 1Arsenal

Arsenal

Starting XI

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 David Raya
33 Riccardo Calafiori
11 Gabriel
2 William Saliba
3 Cristhian Mosquera
49 Myles Lewis-Skelly
41 Declan Rice
19 Leandro Trossard
10 Eberechi Eze
7 Bukayo Saka
29 Kai Havertz

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Record

  • 23 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal 1 : 1 Crystal Palace
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Arsenal 1 : 0 Crystal Palace
  • 23 Apr 2025 – Premier League Arsenal 2 : 2 Crystal Palace
  • 21 Dec 2024 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 5 Arsenal
  • 18 Dec 2024 – EFL Cup Arsenal 3 : 2 Crystal Palace
  • 20 Jan 2024 – Premier League Arsenal 5 : 0 Crystal Palace
  • 21 Aug 2023 – Premier League Crystal Palace 0 : 1 Arsenal
  • 19 Mar 2023 – Premier League Arsenal 4 : 1 Crystal Palace
  • 05 Aug 2022 – Premier League Crystal Palace 0 : 2 Arsenal
  • 04 Apr 2022 – Premier League Crystal Palace 3 : 0 Arsenal
  • 18 Oct 2021 – Premier League Arsenal 2 : 2 Crystal Palace
  • 19 May 2021 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 3 Arsenal
  • 14 Jan 2021 – Premier League Arsenal 0 : 0 Crystal Palace
  • 11 Jan 2020 – Premier League Crystal Palace 1 : 1 Arsenal
League Games at Crystal Palace
  • Crystal Palace
  • Arsenal
  • Goals: Scored 6 12
  • Games: Scored 4/6 5/6
  • Clean Sheets 1/6 2/6
League Games at Arsenal
  • Crystal Palace
  • Arsenal
  • Goals: Scored 8 18
  • Games: Scored 8/8 7/8
  • Clean Sheets 1/8 3/8

Current Best Betting Odds for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Crystal Palace and Arsenal.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 3/1
Draw 14/5
Away 4/5
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 3/1
Draw 16/5
Away 81/100
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 14/5
Draw 14/5
Away 17/20
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 11/4
Draw 29/10
Away 17/20
Visit Site

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Crystal Palace vs Arsenal clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Crystal Palace to Win to Nil8/1 (Bet365)Crystal Palace winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 8/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Arsenal Over 3.5 Goals6/1 (Bet365)This bet backs Arsenal to score 4+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 6/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Over 5.5 Total Goals15/2 (Coral)Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 15/2, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Crystal Palace vs Arsenal clash:

  • Cautious Arsenal angle at around 3/1: Arsenal to win and Both Teams to Score – No. Anchors the visitors’ three straight Selhurst wins with a defensive clean sheet record.
  • Goals at the Gunners’ end at around 5/1: Arsenal to win, Over 2.5 goals, and Bukayo Saka anytime scorer. Combines the H2H 3.1 goals-per-match average with Saka’s seven league goals from 31 outings this season.
  • Heavy away showing at around 11/1: Arsenal to win by two or more, Arsenal clean sheet, and Eberechi Eze anytime scorer. Banks on a comfortable champions-mode visit, with Eze on seven league goals as the central creator.

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal on 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams to score has landed in 54 per cent of the last 13 head-to-head meetings, but the trend in recent visits leans against it: 1-0, 0-1, 0-2 across the last three at Selhurst with Palace scoring once across those games. Palace’s 61 per cent home scoring rate and Arsenal’s defensive consistency away push the model to BTTS – No at 6/5 with Betfred as the cleanest read.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): The H2H has averaged 3.1 goals per match across the last 13 meetings, but Palace at home have crossed Over 2.5 in just six per cent of their 18 outings this season. Under 2.5 at 5/4 with Betfred looks the lean given Palace’s tired-end-of-season form and a final-day fixture where neither side needs more than a comfortable afternoon.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Home advantage looks limited for Palace, with 1.2 points per match across 18 home outings and a 22 per cent home win rate. Arsenal arrive with 1.9 points per match on the road and a Selhurst Park record of three straight wins, so the 6/5 on Arsenal to keep Palace out at Betfred reflects the imbalance rather than any home edge.

Where to Watch Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

TV channel:

Sky Sports Premier League

Online streaming:

Sky Go, Now TV

Free highlights:

Match of the Day 2 (BBC One), Premier League YouTube channel