Chelsea vs Aston Villa Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 27 December 2025 at 5:30 PM
Chelsea
Top tip Both Teams to Score
Aston Villa
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • BTTS has landed in 50% of Chelsea's home games, while it has landed in 63% of Villa's away matches. Both teams should be going for it here as they aim to keep their title challenges alive.
  • Aston Villa, under the guidance of Unai Emery, have established themselves as a formidable force in the Premier League. They travel to London with the intention of challenging Chelsea and returning with a valuable result on the road.
  • This fixture has historically been a competitive one, and with both teams possessing significant attacking threats, it sets the stage for an engaging battle. Three points would be a major boost for either side's ambitions for the campaign.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Chelsea and Aston Villa

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 2/32/313/20
In this Chelsea vs Aston Villa fixture, both sides possess credible attacking options and there are injury concerns in defensive areas, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Chelsea’s home attack and Villa’s forward line create quality scoring opportunities, supporting a BTTS selection with solid value at 4/5.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 8/118/117/10
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 59% of each teams fixtures this season, signifying both sides go into games with attacking intent. In this game where both need a win to keep their title challenge alive a high scoring fixture is expected.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 23, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

With attacking talent on display for both Chelsea and Aston Villa, and some defensive vulnerabilities noted, the ‘Both Teams to Score’ market looks like the most compelling angle for this fixture. Both sides have the quality to find the net at Stamford Bridge, and with this market landing at over 50% for both teams home and away it looks like a promising selection.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. This provides a data-led perspective on the most likely outcomes.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 60%
  • Best Odds: 17/20 (1.85) at Coral
  • Chelsea look likely to capitalise on home advantage and secure the win against a Villa side missing key defenders.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 70%
  • Best Odds: 2/3 (1.667) at bet365
  • Both teams carry attacking threat and with defensive vulnerabilities owing to injuries, BTTS appears probable.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 8/11 (1.727) at bet365
  • Defensive frailties and open attacking play from both sides suggest a higher total goals tally.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Chelsea or Draw
  • Probability: 75%
  • Best Odds: 1/4 (1.25) at bet365
  • Chelsea are strong at home, and Villa’s push for a result makes a draw possible without guaranteeing a loss for Chelsea.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Chelsea and Aston Villa:

  • Cole Palmer (Chelsea)
  • Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)

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Chelsea Form and Stats

Last MatchesChelsea
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 42 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 26 Goals scored
  • 16 Goals conceded
  • 64% Over 2.5
  • 36% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Chelsea
  • 16 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Cardiff City1 : 3Chelsea
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 0Everton
  • 09 Dec 2025 – Champions League Atalanta2 : 1Chelsea
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 0Chelsea
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
         
WINS 3
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 5 Matches)
  • 13 Total goals
  • 40% BTTS
  • 10 Goals scored
  • 3 Goals conceded
  • 60% Over 2.5
  • 40% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 0Everton
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Chelsea3 : 0Barcelona
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 2Sunderland
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 9 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 44% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 44% Over 2.5
  • 22% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 2Chelsea
  • 16 Dec 2025 – EFL Cup Cardiff City1 : 3Chelsea
  • 09 Dec 2025 – Champions League Atalanta2 : 1Chelsea
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 0Chelsea
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Chelsea

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Robert Sanchez
3 Marc Cucurella
29 Wesley Fofana
23 Trevoh Chalobah
27 Malo Gusto
25 Moises Caicedo
24 Reece James
7 Pedro Neto
10 Cole Palmer
49 Alejandro Garnacho
20 Joao Pedro
Substitutes
  • 12Filip Jorgensen
  • 4Tosin Adarabioyo
  • 38Marc Guiu
  • 8Enzo Fernandez
  • 17Andrey Santos
  • 41Estevao Willian
  • 9Liam Delap
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Levi Colwill Muscle injury
  • 2Romeo Lavia Hamstring injury
  • 3Dario Essugo Knock

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Aston Villa Form and Stats

Last MatchesAston Villa
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 43 Total goals
  • 64% BTTS
  • 28 Goals scored
  • 15 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 21 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Manchester United
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 3Aston Villa
  • 11 Dec 2025 – Europa League Basel1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Arsenal
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 3 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 21 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Manchester United
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Arsenal
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 27 Nov 2025 – Europa League Aston Villa2 : 1Young Boys
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth
  • 06 Nov 2025 – Europa League Aston Villa2 : 0Maccabi Tel Aviv
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 23 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 12 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 14% Under 2.5
  • 14 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 3Aston Villa
  • 11 Dec 2025 – Europa League Basel1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Aston Villa
  • 23 Oct 2025 – Europa League Go Ahead Eagles2 : 1Aston Villa

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
23 Emiliano Martinez
12 Lucas Digne
4 Ezri Konsa
3 Victor Lindelof
2 Matty Cash
24 Amadou Onana
44 Boubacar Kamara
7 John McGinn
8 Youri Tielemans
27 Morgan Rogers
11 Ollie Watkins
Substitutes
  • 40Marco Bizot
  • 26Lamare Bogarde
  • 22Ian Maatsen
  • 16Alex Garcia
  • 44Boubacar Kamara
  • 10Emiliano Buendia
  • 29Evann Guessand
  • 17Donyell Malen
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Tyrone Mings Knee injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head Record

  • 22 Feb 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa 2 : 1 Chelsea
  • 01 Dec 2024 – Premier League Chelsea 3 : 0 Aston Villa
  • 27 Apr 2024 – Premier League Aston Villa 2 : 2 Chelsea
  • 07 Feb 2024 – FA Cup Aston Villa 1 : 3 Chelsea
  • 26 Jan 2024 – FA Cup Chelsea 0 : 0 Aston Villa
  • 24 Sep 2023 – Premier League Chelsea 0 : 1 Aston Villa
  • 01 Apr 2023 – Premier League Chelsea 0 : 2 Aston Villa
  • 11 Dec 2022 – Club Friendlies Chelsea 0 : 1 Aston Villa
  • 16 Oct 2022 – Premier League Aston Villa 0 : 2 Chelsea
League Games at Chelsea
  • Chelsea
  • Aston Villa
  • Goals: Scored 3 4
  • Games: Scored 1/5 3/5
  • Clean Sheets 2/5 4/5
League Games at Aston Villa
  • Chelsea
  • Aston Villa
  • Goals: Scored 8 5
  • Games: Scored 4/4 3/4
  • Clean Sheets 1/4 0/4

Current Best Betting Odds for Chelsea vs Aston Villa

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 5/6
Draw 14/5
Away 29/10
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 5/6
Draw 29/10
Away 3/1
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 17/20
Draw 29/10
Away 29/10
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 91/100
Draw 29/10
Away 57/20
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 77/100
Draw 11/4
Away 57/20
Visit Site

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Bet Builders

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bet builders for the Chelsea vs Aston Villa clash. These are are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Chelsea vs Aston Villa clash:

  • Chelsea to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2+)
  • Aston Villa to Score First + Chelsea to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1+)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Chelsea to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1+)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Chelsea vs Aston Villa on 27 December 2025 at 5:30 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Chelsea and Aston Villa possess enough attacking firepower to trouble the opposition’s defence. Considering the attacking options available and potential defensive frailties, there is a strong likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net during this encounter, this has also landed in over 50% of both teams fixtures this season.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, a total of around three goals is expected in this match, again over 2.5 goals has landed in 59% of each teams fixtures this season.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Chelsea have a notable home advantage at Stamford Bridge, only losing twice so far this season, which could be a deciding factor in a tightly contested match.

Where to Watch Chelsea vs Aston Villa

TV channel:

In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on Sky Sports.

Online streaming:

Subscribers can stream via Sky Go.

Free highlights:

Match highlights will be available on Match of the Day (BBC One, 10:30 PM) and the official Premier League YouTube channel.