Burnley have not won at Turf Moor in seven months, but a single point on Sunday is enough to seal 19th place and avoid the wooden spoon for the season.
Wolves arrive bottom of the Premier League and have collected just five points from a possible 54 on their travels this season.
Burnley lead the recent head-to-head with four wins and four draws across the last nine meetings, the most recent a 3-2 away victory at Molineux in October.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Burnley and Wolverhampton
To provide the most comprehensive betting insights, we have leveraged the analytical power of three leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each AI has processed the available data to offer a distinct prediction on a key market for this match. Their conclusions are presented clearly below, and you can click on any prediction to reveal the detailed reasoning behind their data-driven analysis.
Match Details:
Teams: Burnley vs Wolverhampton
League: Premier League
Date: 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM
Stage: Premier League
ChatGPT
Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelDouble Chance – Burnley or Draw
Wolves have managed five points from a possible 54 on their travels this season, which leaves the away win heavily discounted on the available evidence. Burnley sit at 0.67 points per match across 18 home games, the visitors at 0.28 on the road, and the model rates the two outcomes covered here at a touch above the 69 per cent the price implies. Backing Burnley or Draw at 4/9 lines up neatly with how thin the away case looks.
claude
Prediction of AI claude modelBoth Teams to Score – No
Burnley have a 50 per cent home scoring rate across the season and 1.12 goals per match overall, while Wolves’ five away points from 54 are tied to a poor finish in the final third. Across 18 home fixtures Burnley have allowed Over 2.5 goals only 17 per cent of the time, and Wolves have crossed that line in just six per cent of their 18 away outings. Both teams failing to score lands well in the form lens, even with the H2H showing it 56 per cent of the time.
Clean Burnley wins have shown up repeatedly in this fixture: 4-0 at Molineux in April 2021, 1-0 at home in April 2022, and 2-1 at home in December 2020. Across the last nine meetings, Burnley have won four with two of those by clean sheets, while Wolves have managed only one victory in the run. On the H2H pattern, Burnley by any margin without the visitors finding the net carries appeal at 15/4.
Burnley to win at 31/20 is the bet I want to side with this Sunday. Even with a home record that has produced just one win since October, the Clarets bring 0.67 points per match to a fixture against the only team in the division with a worse return on the road. Wolves’ five points from a possible 54 in away matches is the headline number, and Burnley have already taken the reverse 3-2 at Molineux back in October. The price reflects the form, not the matchup, and that is where I see the edge. I will be backing Burnley to send the Turf Moor crowd home with a final win of the season.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. This data-driven approach identifies betting opportunities where the odds may undervalue the true probability of an outcome.
Bet 1
Match Result & Both Teams to Score — Burnley and No
Our model rates this at 27 per cent, the 4.75 price implies 21 per cent, so we make it six percentage points of value on Burnley to win without conceding given the visitors have collected five points from 54 on the road.
Our model gives 56 per cent, the 2.10 price implies 48 per cent, so we rate this eight percentage points of value, with Burnley going over 2.5 goals in only 17 per cent of home matches and Wolves doing so in just six per cent of their away outings.
Our model rates this at 28 per cent, the 4.20 price implies 24 per cent, so we make it four percentage points of value on a one-goal Burnley win, an outcome the H2H has produced multiple times including a 1-0 home victory in April 2022.
Our model gives 33 per cent, the 3.50 price implies 29 per cent, so we make it four percentage points of edge on Wolves failing to score, with the visitors collecting just five away points from 54 and scoring in only a fraction of their road outings.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Burnley and Wolverhampton:
Zian Flemming is Burnley’s designated anytime scorer pick, with 10 goals from 28 appearances and an average match rating of 6.6, leading the club’s scoring chart by some distance. He is the Clarets’ main threat in the box against a Wolves side that has shipped goals away all season, and the Dutch forward looks the most credible Burnley route to a goal. (Burnley)
Santiago Bueno is the designated anytime scorer pick for the visitors, the centre-back contributing three goals and one assist from 28 appearances at a 6.6 average match rating. Set pieces are his primary route to a Premier League goal, and against a Burnley defence that has kept clean sheets in only 22 per cent of their 18 home outings, a dead-ball arrival lands as the practical case here. (Wolverhampton)
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17 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 1Fulham
09 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
02 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 1Sunderland
25 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
18 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
10 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United4 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
WINS2
DRAW2
LOSSES2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
14 Total goals
57% BTTS
7 Goals scored
7 Goals conceded
29% Over 2.5
57% Under 2.5
17 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 1Fulham
02 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 1Sunderland
25 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
06 Mar 2026 –
FA CupWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 3Liverpool
03 Mar 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 1Liverpool
27 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 0Aston Villa
WINS1
DRAW1
LOSSES4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
16 Total goals
14% BTTS
3 Goals scored
13 Goals conceded
57% Over 2.5
29% Under 2.5
09 May 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
18 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueLeeds United3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
10 Apr 2026 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United4 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
16 Mar 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrentford2 : 2Wolverhampton Wanderers
22 Feb 2026 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
15 Feb 2026 –
FA CupGrimsby Town0 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton
Starting XI
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
5Jose Sa
6David Moller Wolfe
4Santi Bueno
17Ladislav Krejci
15Yerson Mosquera
8 Andre
8Joao Gomes
Hwang Hee-Chan
36Mateus Mane
21Rodrigo Gomes
9Adam Armstrong
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Burnley vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head Record
26 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 3Burnley
28 Aug 2024 –
EFL CupWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 0Burnley
02 Apr 2024 –
Premier LeagueBurnley1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
05 Dec 2023 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 0Burnley
24 Apr 2022 –
Premier LeagueBurnley1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
01 Dec 2021 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers0 : 0Burnley
25 Apr 2021 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers0 : 4Burnley
21 Dec 2020 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
15 Jul 2020 –
Premier LeagueBurnley1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
25 Aug 2019 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 1Burnley
30 Mar 2019 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
16 Sep 2018 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers1 : 0Burnley
League Games at Burnley
Burnley
Wolverhampton
Goals: Scored73
Games: Scored5/53/5
Clean Sheets2/50/5
League Games at Wolverhampton
Burnley
Wolverhampton
Goals: Scored87
Games: Scored7/75/7
Clean Sheets2/74/7
Current Best Betting Odds for Burnley vs Wolverhampton
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Burnley and Wolverhampton.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Burnley vs Wolverhampton clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Burnley vs Wolverhampton Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Burnley (-2)
10/1 (Bet365)
This handicap requires Burnley to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 10/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Over 5.5 Total Goals
9/1 (Bet365)
Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 9/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Wolverhampton Over 3.5 Goals
11/1 (Coral)
This bet backs Wolverhampton to score 4+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 11/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Burnley vs Wolverhampton clash:
Cautious Burnley angle at around 3/1: Burnley to win, Under 2.5 goals, and Wolves to fail to score. Combines the home-side narrative with the visitors’ 0.28 points-per-match away record.
Low-goals draw cover at around 9/2: the Draw, Under 2.5 goals, and Both Teams to Score – No. Backs the H2H trend of low-scoring meetings, with three goalless or single-goal results across the last nine.
Aggressive Burnley margin at around 10/1: Burnley to win by two or more goals, Burnley clean sheet, and Both Teams to Score – No. Banks on Wolves’ away travails turning into a comfortable Turf Moor afternoon for the Clarets.
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Burnley vs Wolverhampton on 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams to score has split close to evens in the H2H, landing in 56 per cent of the last nine meetings, but the underlying numbers here lean against repeats. Burnley’s home scoring rate sits at 50 per cent and Wolves arrive with just five away points from a possible 54, making BTTS – No at 13/10 with 10bet the angle that fits the form rather than the historical noise.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): The H2H has averaged 2.2 goals per match across the last nine meetings, comfortably below the league norm of 2.8. Burnley have crossed Over 2.5 goals in only 17 per cent of their home games this season and Wolves in six per cent of their away outings, so Under 2.5 at 11/10 with Betfred shapes up as the cleanest line on the data.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Home advantage looks modest at best, with Burnley collecting 0.67 points per match and a 22 per cent clean sheet rate across 18 home fixtures. What gives the home side the edge is the gap to Wolves’ 0.28 points per match on the road, and the 7/5 on Burnley to win at Betfred prices in that disparity without overreaching.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 24 May 2026 at 4:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Burnley vs Wolverhampton
TV channel:
The games will be shown on Sky Sports+
Online streaming:
Sky Go, Now TV
Free highlights:
Match of the Day (BBC One), Premier League YouTube channel
