Survival vs recovery: Burnley are deep in relegation trouble and badly need points at home, while Tottenham are trying to steady themselves and climb back up the table after a patchy run.
Defence under pressure: Burnley’s defensive record has been one of the weakest in the league, setting up a tough task against a Spurs side that still carry plenty of attacking threat.
Clear recent edge for Spurs: Tottenham have dominated recent meetings between the sides, and this fixture represents a chance to reassert that superiority against a struggling opponent.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Burnley and Tottenham
To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.
ChatGPT prioritises BTTS where value is clear. Both Burnley and Tottenham possess attacking capabilities and regular scorers, while their defences have shown vulnerabilities. The combination increases the likelihood of goals at both ends, making BTTS a strong value pick.
claude
Prediction of AI claude modelTottenham Hotspur to Win
Claude prioritises markets that favour an away win based on superior squad quality. Despite Tottenham’s injury crisis, their Premier League pedigree and depth advantage over Championship opponents Burnley underpin the Tottenham win pick. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities which make both teams to score and over 2.5 goals logical secondary bets.
Tottenham, despite their injuries, still possess considerable attacking talent. Burnley, playing at home, will look to take advantage of a Spurs defence weakened by the suspension of Micky van de Ven and other injuries. This combination points towards an open match with several goals.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
Both Teams to Score appeals here because the numbers point to goals at both ends rather than a one-sided shutout. Burnley average 0.91 goals scored per home match but also concede 1.36 per home game, so their matches at Turf Moor rarely stay comfortable either way. Tottenham bring a stronger away attack (1.64 goals scored per away match) yet they still allow chances on the road (1.36 conceded away), which keeps the door open for Burnley to nick one. The recent scorelines back it up too: Burnley have been involved in 1-1, 2-2 and 2-3 type games lately, while Spurs’ recent run includes 3-2, 2-1 and 1-1 scorelines, the sort of patterns you want when backing BTTS.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are identified by an algorithm that combines insights from advanced research models with crucial football data points. This system looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes, weighing factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and injury news. It also considers home and away performance trends and market odds to pinpoint bets that hold statistical value.
Even with a depleted squad, Tottenham’s overall class makes a defeat against Championship opposition highly improbable.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Burnley and Tottenham:
Jaidon Anthony is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because he is one of Burnley’s most consistent attacking contributors from wide areas. He has scored 5 Premier League goals this season and averages just over 1 shot per game, often cutting inside into central shooting positions rather than staying wide. With Burnley likely to spend spells attacking in transition, Anthony’s direct running and willingness to get into the box make him a genuine threat to pop up with a goal in this fixture. (Burnley)
Mathys Tel is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because he continues to make an impact despite limited minutes. He has scored 3 Premier League goals in just 527 minutes, which is a strong return for a 20-year-old often used off the bench, and he averages close to one shot per game. Tel’s direct running, willingness to attack the box, and tendency to arrive in scoring positions late in moves make him a dangerous option, particularly against a Burnley defence that has struggled to cope with pace and movement. (Tottenham)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Burnley vs Tottenham
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17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 2West Ham United
10 Jan 2026 –
FA CupTottenham Hotspur1 : 2Aston Villa
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
01 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrentford0 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
28 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
WINS2
DRAW1
LOSSES3
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
16 Total goals
57% BTTS
9 Goals scored
7 Goals conceded
57% Over 2.5
29% Under 2.5
17 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 2West Ham United
10 Jan 2026 –
FA CupTottenham Hotspur1 : 2Aston Villa
04 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 1Sunderland
20 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 2Liverpool
09 Dec 2025 –
Champions LeagueTottenham Hotspur3 : 0Slavia Prague
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur2 : 0Brentford
WINS1
DRAW2
LOSSES3
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
18 Total goals
50% BTTS
6 Goals scored
12 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5
07 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
01 Jan 2026 –
Premier LeagueBrentford0 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
28 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace0 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
14 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest3 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
02 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
23 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueArsenal4 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
Starting XI
4-2-3-1
Possible Lineup
1Guglielmo Vicario
13Destiny Udogie
4Kevin Danso
17Cristian Romero
23Pedro Porro
11Mathys Tel
22Conor Gallagher
7Xavi Simons
14Archie Gray
28Wilson Odobert
39Randal Kolo Muani
Substitutes
31Anton Kinský
3Radu Drăgușin
24Djed Spence
8Yves Bissouma
15Lucas Bergvall
19Dominic Solanke
44Dane Scarlett
Suspension
1Micky van de Ven
Injured
1James Maddison Knee Injury - Ruled Out
2Rodrigo Bentancur Thigh Injury - Ruled Out
3Mohammed Kudus Thigh Injury - Ruled Out
4Richarlison de Andrade Thigh Injury - Ruled Out
5Ben Davies Lower Leg Injury - Ruled Out
6Dejan Kulusevski Out
7Pape Sarr Out
8Joao Palhinha Doubtful - Knock
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Burnley vs Tottenham Head-to-Head Record
16 Aug 2025 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur3 : 0Burnley
11 May 2024 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur2 : 1Burnley
05 Jan 2024 –
FA CupTottenham Hotspur1 : 0Burnley
02 Sep 2023 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 5Tottenham Hotspur
15 May 2022 –
Premier LeagueTottenham Hotspur1 : 0Burnley
23 Feb 2022 –
Premier LeagueBurnley1 : 0Tottenham Hotspur
League Games at Burnley
Burnley
Tottenham
Goals: Scored35
Games: Scored2/21/2
Clean Sheets1/20/2
League Games at Tottenham
Burnley
Tottenham
Goals: Scored17
Games: Scored4/44/4
Clean Sheets0/43/4
Current Best Betting Odds for Burnley vs Tottenham
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Burnley and Tottenham.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Burnley vs Tottenham clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Burnley vs Tottenham Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Burnley to Win to Nil
11/2 (Bet365)
Burnley winning without conceding requires both attacking prowess and defensive solidity. A clean sheet adds difficulty but increases the reward significantly. At 11/2, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Tottenham Over 2.5 Goals
11/1 (Ladbrokes)
This bet backs Tottenham to score 3+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 11/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Tottenham (-2)
7/1 (Bet365)
This handicap requires Tottenham to win by more than 2 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 7/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Burnley vs Tottenham clash:
Burnley to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2) A confident pick that leans into Burnley’s attacking intent and Spurs’ defensive openness — a £10 stake would return £85.
Tottenham to Score First + Burnley to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1) This plays out a comeback narrative where Spurs strike early before Burnley respond strongly — a £10 stake would return £120.
Draw at Half-Time + Burnley to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1) A high-upside angle built around a tight first half and a decisive Burnley push after the break — a £10 stake would return £150.
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Burnley vs Tottenham on 24 January 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Teams to Score makes sense here given Burnley’s need to attack at home and Tottenham’s ability to create chances even when not fully controlling games. With both defences prone to conceding and both sides regularly involved in open, high-tempo matches, goals at both ends look more likely than a clean sheet either way.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): Total Goals leans towards Over 2.5 given how open both sides’ recent matches have been. Burnley’s defensive issues and Tottenham’s attacking approach tend to stretch games, making this fixture more likely to develop into a high-scoring contest rather than a tight, low-goal affair.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Home Advantage is a factor worth respecting here, as Burnley tend to be more competitive at Turf Moor than their overall results suggest. They’ve picked up home wins against Sunderland and Leeds, held Manchester United and Everton to draws, and generally make life awkward even for stronger sides. While the results haven’t always followed, Burnley’s intensity and willingness to commit bodies forward at home give them a better chance of impacting the game than their league position alone implies.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 24 January 2026 at 3:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Burnley vs Tottenham
TV channel:
Due to the 3pm blackout, this game will not be televised live in the UK.
Online streaming:
The game is not available to stream live in the UK.
Free highlights:
Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.
