Burnley vs Manchester United Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 7 January 2026 at 8:15 PM
Burnley
Top tip Over 2.5 Goals
Manchester United
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  • Burnley return home still deep in the relegation battle, knowing points are critical, while Manchester United arrive under intense scrutiny following the dismissal of Rúben Amorim earlier this week.
  • This will be United’s first match since the sacking on Monday, with the potential for a short-term reaction from the players, but also clear uncertainty around structure, selection and game management.
  • Burnley are fighting for survival and need results more than performances, while United are trying to steady themselves amid off-pitch upheaval, making this a matchup where motivation, discipline and mentality could matter as much as quality.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Burnley and Manchester United

To provide you with a comprehensive analytical edge, we have collated predictions from three of the most advanced AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each AI offers its primary bet selection, presented clearly with its official logo for easy identification. For those wishing to explore the analysis further, each prediction can be expanded to reveal the detailed reasoning and data that informed the AI’s conclusion.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 7/107/107/10
Both Teams to Score is a strong angle as Burnley are likely to show attacking intent at Turf Moor with survival on the line, while Manchester United have scored regularly away from home but remain far from secure defensively. With United adjusting to a managerial change and Burnley rarely sitting back in must-win fixtures, goals at both ends look a realistic outcome.
Prediction of AI claude modelManchester United to Win
Odds for This Bet 37/508/118/11
A Manchester United win is recommended based on the gap in overall quality and the likelihood of a short-term response following the managerial change. Burnley’s defensive issues and limited margin for error should give United enough opportunities to assert control and take advantage, even in a potentially awkward away fixture.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 8/118/117/10
Over 2.5 goals is worth considering given Burnley’s need to push forward at home and their tendency to leave space in defensive transitions. Manchester United also create a high volume of chances but concede regularly on the road, which points towards an open game where chances — and goals — should arrive at both ends.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 5, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Both Teams to Score stands out as the strongest betting angle when you weigh up recent form and game patterns on both sides. Burnley have conceded in five of their last six league matches and have struggled to control games defensively, yet they have still found the net in competitive fixtures and tend to show more intent at Turf Moor when points are urgently needed. Manchester United’s recent results also point towards goals at both ends, with BTTS landing in four of their last six league games, underlining an ability to score regularly while failing to shut opponents out. With Burnley needing to attack to keep their survival hopes alive and United continuing to allow chances through defensive lapses, this fixture sets up as one where neither side is well positioned to keep a clean sheet.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bet selections are the product of a sophisticated algorithm that analyses a wide array of football data. This system moves beyond simple win/loss predictions, integrating factors such as team form, head-to-head results, underlying performance metrics like expected goals (xG), and crucial team news on injuries and suspensions. It cross-references this analysis with live market odds to identify bets that offer genuine value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 58%
  • Best Odds: 37/50 (1.74) at 10bet
  • Manchester United’s attacking firepower should outstrip a Burnley side weakened by injuries.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 7/10 (1.7) at bet365
  • Defences have been exposed recently and both sides possess attacking threat, making BTTS a strong likelihood.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 8/11 (1.727) at bet365
  • The match is expected to open up with multiple goals due to attacking prowess and defensive frailties on display.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Manchester United or Draw
  • Probability: 82%
  • Best Odds: 1/5 (1.2) at 10bet
  • Manchester United’s quality ensures they are unlikely to lose against a depleted Burnley side.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Burnley and Manchester United:

  • Jaidon Anthony is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market due to his consistent involvement in Burnley’s attacking phases and his ability to arrive in scoring positions from wide areas. He has already scored four league goals this season from 15 appearances, showing a solid return for a winger, while averaging close to one shot per game, which highlights regular goal attempts rather than reliance on isolated moments. With over 1,200 minutes played, Anthony is clearly trusted to play a key attacking role, and his tendency to cut inside and carry the ball into dangerous areas makes him a genuine threat, particularly in matches where Burnley are forced to play on the front foot at home.(Burnley)
  • Benjamin Šeško is an interesting anytime goalscorer option due to his shot volume, physical profile and role at the focal point of Manchester United’s attack. Despite limited league starts, he has still managed two Premier League goals while averaging close to two shots per game, underlining a willingness to get attempts away whenever United sustain pressure. Standing at 195cm, Šeško offers a major aerial threat against a Burnley defence that has struggled to deal with crosses and second balls, while his ability to stretch defences also creates chances in transition. With United likely to dominate territory and supply him regularly in the box, Šeško has the profile and opportunity to convert chances if the game opens up. (Manchester United)

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Burnley Form and Stats

Last MatchesBurnley
           
WINS 0
DRAW 2
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 40 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 26 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 0Burnley
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley1 : 3Newcastle United
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 0Everton
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley2 : 3Fulham
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Burnley
           
WINS 0
DRAW 1
LOSSES 5
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 29% BTTS
  • 3 Goals scored
  • 11 Goals conceded
  • 29% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley1 : 3Newcastle United
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 0Everton
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley2 : 3Fulham
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 1Crystal Palace
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Chelsea
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Arsenal
           
WINS 1
DRAW 1
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 21 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 13 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 0Burnley
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United2 : 1Burnley
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brentford3 : 1Burnley
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League West Ham United3 : 2Burnley
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers2 : 3Burnley

Starting XI

5-4-1

Possible
Lineup
1 M. Dúbravka
23 Lucas Pires
29 J. Laurent
18 H. Ekdal
12 B. Humphreys
2 K. Walker
11 J. Anthony
8 L. Ugochukwu
16 Florentino
7 J. Bruun Larsen
27 A. Broja
Substitutes
  • 48E. Agyei
  • 34J. Banel
  • 35A. Barnes
  • 41G. Brierley
  • 10M. Edwards
  • 54O. Pimlott
  • 22O. Sonne
  • 17L. Tchaouna
  • 13M. Weiß
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Maxime Estève Muscle injury
  • 2Connor Roberts Knee injury
  • 3Joe Worrall Knock
  • 4Jordan Beyer Hamstring injury
  • 5Josh Cullen Knock
  • 6Zeki Amdouni Cruciate ligament tear

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Manchester United Form and Stats

Last MatchesManchester United
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 46 Total goals
  • 79% BTTS
  • 27 Goals scored
  • 19 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 1Manchester United
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 26 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 21 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Manchester United
  • 15 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 4AFC Bournemouth
  • 08 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers1 : 4Manchester United
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 29% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 26 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 0Newcastle United
  • 15 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 4AFC Bournemouth
  • 04 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United1 : 1West Ham United
  • 24 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester United0 : 1Everton
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 21 Total goals
  • 86% BTTS
  • 12 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 14% Under 2.5
  • 04 Jan 2026 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 1Manchester United
  • 21 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Manchester United
  • 08 Dec 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers1 : 4Manchester United
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace1 : 2Manchester United
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur2 : 2Manchester United
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest2 : 2Manchester United

Starting XI

3-4-2-1

Possible
Lineup
31 S. Lammens
6 Lisandro Martínez
26 A. Heaven
15 L. Yoro
23 L. Shaw
18 Casemiro
25 M. Ugarte
2 Diogo Dalot
10 Matheus Cunha
13 P. Dorgu
30 B. Šeško
Substitutes
  • 1A. Bayındır
  • 39T. Fletcher
  • 38J. Fletcher
  • 33T. Fredricson
  • 72G. Kukonki
  • 61S. Lacey
  • 12T. Malacia
  • 70B. Mantato
  • 11J. Zirkzee
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Harry Maguire Hamstring injury
  • 2Matthijs de Ligt Back injury
  • 3Kobbie Mainoo Calf injury
  • 4Bruno Fernandes Hamstring injury - Doubtful
  • 5Mason Mount Muscle injury - Doubtful
  • 6Bryan Mbeumo International duty
  • 7Amad Diallo International duty
  • 8Noussair Mazraoui International duty

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Burnley vs Manchester United Head-to-Head Record

  • 30 Aug 2025 – Premier League Manchester United 3 : 2 Burnley
  • 27 Apr 2024 – Premier League Manchester United 1 : 1 Burnley
  • 23 Sep 2023 – Premier League Burnley 0 : 1 Manchester United
  • 21 Dec 2022 – EFL Cup Manchester United 2 : 0 Burnley
  • 08 Feb 2022 – Premier League Burnley 1 : 1 Manchester United
League Games at Burnley
  • Burnley
  • Manchester United
  • Goals: Scored 1 2
  • Games: Scored 1/2 2/2
  • Clean Sheets 0/2 1/2
League Games at Manchester United
  • Burnley
  • Manchester United
  • Goals: Scored 3 6
  • Games: Scored 3/3 3/3
  • Clean Sheets 0/3 1/3

Current Best Betting Odds for Burnley vs Manchester United

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Burnley and Manchester United.

Burnley vs Manchester United
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 17/5
Draw 29/10
Away 3/4
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 4/1
Draw 31/10
Away 13/20
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 21/5
Draw 31/10
Away 33/50
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 4/1
Draw 14/5
Away 2/3
Visit Site

Burnley vs Manchester United Bet Builder Betting

If you really want to see a return from our football betting predictions, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Burnley vs Manchester United clash:

  • Burnley to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Manchester United to Score First + Burnley to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Burnley to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Burnley vs Manchester United on 7 January 2026 at 8:15 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Teams to Score is a solid bet in this match given the attacking potential of both teams. Burnley are likely to push forward at home in search of points, and despite their defensive struggles, they often manage to create opportunities. Manchester United, while solid going forward, have shown vulnerability at the back, conceding in four of their last six league games. With both sides capable of finding the net, this fixture has all the ingredients for goals at both ends.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Over 2.5 goals is a compelling option due to both teams’ tendency to play in open, high-tempo matches. Burnley, while struggling defensively, often create chances when playing at home, and with Manchester United’s attack, goals are usually on the agenda. United, who have scored and conceded in a number of their recent away games, are likely to exploit Burnley’s defensive weaknesses. Given both teams’ attacking threats and vulnerabilities at the back, this match has a strong chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Home advantage could still play a factor for Burnley, even though their recent form at Turf Moor has been mixed. Burnley have registered two wins, a draw, and four losses in their last seven home matches. While they’ve managed victories over Sunderland, Nottingham Forest, and Leeds, they’ve also struggled against stronger sides like Arsenal, Chelsea, and Newcastle. Their 2-0 win over Sunderland and 2-0 victory over Leeds show that Burnley can still be resilient on home turf, but the 3-1 loss to Fulham and 0-0 draw with Everton highlight their inconsistency. Given their need for points in a relegation fight, the home crowd could provide a boost, though their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern when facing a team like Manchester United.

Where to Watch Burnley vs Manchester United

TV channel:

The match will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.

Online streaming:

Streaming is available on the Sky App and Now TV.

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available on the Sky Sports website, the Sky App, the official Premier League YouTube channel and later in the week on Match of the Day (BBC).