Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 19 January 2026 at 8:00 PM
Brighton
Top tip Both Teams to Score
Bournemouth
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Mid-table momentum at stake: Brighton sit just outside the top half, while Bournemouth are hovering nearby, so this is a chance for either side to gain separation in a tightly packed section of the table.
  • Two proactive styles: Both teams prefer to play on the front foot rather than sit deep, which often leads to open games and momentum swings rather than cautious control.
  • Pressure to turn performances into points: Brighton need to make home advantage count after too many draws, while Bournemouth are looking to stop the slide away from home and prove they can compete against sides around them.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Brighton and Bournemouth

To provide the most reliable insights, we have collated match predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on a key betting market, presented as a straightforward bullet point. Their official logos are displayed for clarity. For those wishing to delve deeper, clicking on each prediction will expand to reveal the detailed reasoning, showing how the AI arrived at its conclusion based on data, form, and crucial match statistics.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 8/151/212/25
BTTS offers solid value given both sides’ attacking potential and the injuries to key defenders. Brighton’s potent home attack and Bournemouth’s ability to threaten on the road increase the likelihood of goals at the Amex.
Prediction of AI claude modelBrighton & Hove Albion to Win
Odds for This Bet 22/2517/2017/20
Claude prioritises markets that favour a home win backed by superior home form and head-to-head dominance. Brighton’s attacking quality and Bournemouth’s poor away record underpin the Brighton & Hove Albion win pick. Both sides possess goal threats despite injuries, making both teams to score and over 2.5 goals logical secondary angles.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 8/158/1553/100
Brighton’s superior attacking metrics at home, combined with Bournemouth’s tendency to concede away from home, create conditions ripe for a high-scoring encounter. Both teams have shown capabilities to find the net, suggesting Over 2.5 Goals offers good value.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: January 19, 2026
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Both Teams to Score is my top betting choice because the numbers point clearly towards goals at both ends. Brighton have scored in 90% of their home league matches, but they’ve also kept very few clean sheets, while Bournemouth have found the net in 9 of their last 10 away games despite conceding heavily. Bournemouth’s away fixtures average well over four total goals, largely because they score regularly but struggle defensively, and Brighton’s home games follow a similar pattern of consistent scoring mixed with defensive lapses. Put together, it’s hard to see either side shutting the other out in a matchup that naturally leans towards chances at both ends.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are identified by an algorithm that synthesises data from advanced research models with key football metrics. This system looks beyond simple win-draw-lose outcomes, weighing factors like recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), and home and away performance trends. By analysing these data points alongside market odds, it pinpoints bets that offer the strongest statistical value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 22/25 (1.88) at 10bet
  • Brighton’s excellent home record and historical dominance over Bournemouth strongly suggest a home victory at the Amex Stadium.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 8/15 (1.533) at Ladbrokes
  • Both teams have consistently found the net in recent fixtures, with Bournemouth showing attacking intent even in away defeats.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 8/15 (1.533) at Ladbrokes
  • Brighton’s attacking prowess at home combined with Bournemouth’s tendency to concede suggests a high-scoring encounter.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw
  • Probability: 83%
  • Best Odds: 1/4 (1.25) at Ladbrokes
  • Brighton’s home strength makes them extremely unlikely to lose this fixture, offering excellent value on the double chance market.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Brighton and Bournemouth:

  • Danny Welbeck is worth considering in the anytime goalscorer market because his numbers show he is still Brighton’s most reliable finisher when fit. He has scored 8 Premier League goals in 12 starts, which is an excellent return, and averages around 1.4 shots per game, often from central, high-value areas. With Brighton expected to create chances at home and Bournemouth conceding heavily on their travels, Welbeck’s movement in the box and knack for being on the end of cut-backs make him a strong anytime scorer option. (Brighton)
  • Junior Kroupi is worth a look in the anytime goalscorer market because his output per minute has been impressive despite his age and limited starts. He has scored 7 Premier League goals in just 575 minutes, which works out at roughly a goal every 82 minutes, underlining how clinical he has been when involved. Kroupi averages just over 1 shot per game, but crucially those efforts tend to come from central, high-value positions, and with Bournemouth expected to play on the counter, he remains their most dangerous finisher in open games like this. (Bournemouth)

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Brighton Form and Stats

Last MatchesBrighton
           
WINS 2
DRAW 3
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 35 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 19 Goals scored
  • 16 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 11 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Manchester United1 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester City1 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 0Burnley
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 0Burnley
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
  • 07 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion1 : 1West Ham United
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 1Brentford
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 0Leeds United
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 11 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Manchester United1 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League Manchester City1 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League West Ham United2 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Bart Verbruggen
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu
6 Jan Paul van Hecke
5 Lewis Dunk
34 Joël Veltman
30 Pascal Groß
10 Georginio Rutter
25 Diego Gómez
22 Kaoru Mitoma
18 Danny Welbeck
11 Yankuba Minteh
Substitutes
  • 23Jason Steele
  • 42Diego Coppola
  • 17Carlos Baleba
  • 13Jack Hinshelwood
  • 26Yasin Ayari
  • 8Brajan Gruda
  • 14Tommy Watson
  • 19Charalampos Kostoulas
  • 53Harry Howell
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Stefanos Tzimas Knee Injury
  • 2Adam Webster Knee Injury
  • 3Solomon March Knee Injury
  • 4Mats Wieffer Ankle/Foot Injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Bournemouth Form and Stats

Last MatchesBournemouth
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 68 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 29 Goals scored
  • 39 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Newcastle United10 : 9AFC Bournemouth
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 3Arsenal
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brentford4 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
           
WINS 1
DRAW 3
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 8 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 07 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 2Tottenham Hotspur
  • 03 Jan 2026 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 3Arsenal
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth1 : 1Burnley
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 0Chelsea
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 1Everton
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 2West Ham United
           
WINS 0
DRAW 2
LOSSES 4
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 45 Total goals
  • 71% BTTS
  • 18 Goals scored
  • 27 Goals conceded
  • 86% Over 2.5
  • 0% Under 2.5
  • 10 Jan 2026 – FA Cup Newcastle United10 : 9AFC Bournemouth
  • 30 Dec 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 27 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brentford4 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 15 Dec 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 4AFC Bournemouth
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth

Starting XI

4-2-3-1

Possible
Lineup
1 Djordje Petrovic
3 Adrien Truffert
5 Marcos Senesi
44 Veljko Milosavljevic
20 Alex Jimenez
4 Lewis Cook
8 Alex Scott
16 Marcus Tavernier
22 Junior Kroupi
7 David Brooks
9 Evanilson
Substitutes
  • 17Fraser Forster
  • 15Adam Smith
  • 23James Hill
  • 18Bafodé Diakité
  • 6Julio Soler
  • 21Amine Adli
  • 51Michael Dacosta
  • 50Reece Rees-Dottin
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Justin Kluivert Knee Injury
  • 2Ben Gannon-Doak Thigh Injury
  • 3Tyler Adams Knee Injury
  • 4Enes Unal Groin/Hip/Pelvic Injury
  • 5Will Dennis Ankle/Foot Injury
  • 6Matai Akinmboni Muscle Injury
  • 7Ryan Christie Questionable

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Brighton vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head Record

  • 13 Sep 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 2 : 1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 25 Feb 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 2 : 1 AFC Bournemouth
  • 23 Nov 2024 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 1 : 2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 28 Apr 2024 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 3 : 0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 24 Sep 2023 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 3 : 1 AFC Bournemouth
  • 04 Apr 2023 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 0 : 2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 04 Feb 2023 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 1 : 0 AFC Bournemouth
League Games at Brighton
  • Brighton
  • Bournemouth
  • Goals: Scored 6 2
  • Games: Scored 3/3 2/3
  • Clean Sheets 1/3 0/3
League Games at Bournemouth
  • Brighton
  • Bournemouth
  • Goals: Scored 5 6
  • Games: Scored 4/4 3/4
  • Clean Sheets 1/4 1/4

Current Best Betting Odds for Brighton vs Bournemouth

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Brighton and Bournemouth.

Brighton vs Bournemouth
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 17/20
Draw 29/10
Away 27/10
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 17/20
Draw 29/10
Away 14/5
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 17/20
Draw 29/10
Away 27/10
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 22/25
Draw 3/1
Away 29/10
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 41/50
Draw 59/20
Away 27/10
Visit Site

Brighton vs Bournemouth Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Brighton vs Bournemouth clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Brighton vs Bournemouth Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Brighton (-3)12/1 (Bet365)This handicap requires Brighton to win by more than 3 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2Brighton leads HT, Draw FT14/1 (Bet365)This bet requires Brighton to lead at half-time before the match ends in a draw. It's an intriguing long-shot that banks on a second-half comeback from the opposition. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3Brighton Over 4.5 Goals14/1 (Bet365)This bet backs Brighton to score 5+ goals. Their recent attacking form and the opposition's defensive vulnerabilities make this an intriguing high-reward selection. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Brighton vs Bournemouth clash:

  • Brighton to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
  • Bournemouth to Score First + Brighton to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Brighton to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Brighton vs Bournemouth on 19 January 2026 at 8:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams possess attacking quality and have regularly scored in recent matches, making both teams to score a strong proposition despite defensive injuries on both sides.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Over 2.5 goals expected in this fixture given Brighton’s home attacking record and Bournemouth’s vulnerability in defence on their travels.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): There isn’t a clear “fortress” pattern that screams a huge home-edge — the outcomes look fairly mixed rather than heavily skewed towards home wins. That suggests home advantage is a factor, but not a decisive one on its own, with form and matchup (chance creation/defensive leaks) likely doing more of the heavy lifting than venue. In betting terms, I’d treat the home side as getting a small nudge rather than a major boost.

Where to Watch Brighton vs Bournemouth

TV channel:

In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.

Online streaming:

Subscribers can stream via the TNT Sport app.

Free highlights:

Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.