Bournemouth vs Chelsea Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 6 December 2025 at 3:00 PM
Bournemouth
Top tip Chelsea to Win
Chelsea
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Bournemouth have struggled for form recently, failing to win in their last five Premier League matches, with a record of four losses and one draw.
  • Chelsea come into this match in strong form, having won three of their last five games across all competitions, with their only recent defeat coming in their last outing.
  • Recent head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with two draws and one win for each side in their last four Premier League meetings.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Bournemouth and Chelsea

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBTTS Yes (Both Teams to Score)
Odds for This Bet 57/10057/1008/15
BTTS is priced around 1.53, indicating solid but not overwhelming value given Chelsea’s attacking form and Bournemouth’s propensity to concede, particularly with injuries and suspensions in the home side. The head-to-head pattern also shows multiple recent BTTS fixtures, supporting a Yes outcome.
Prediction of AI claude modelChelsea to Win
Odds for This Bet 23/2023/2023/20
Claude assesses Chelsea’s superior squad depth despite key absences, with their attacking prowess in the Premier League outweighing Bournemouth’s resilience. Chelsea’s away record and midfield dominance—particularly with Enzo Fernandez orchestrating play—favour a victory at the Vitality Stadium, though Bournemouth’s home organisation presents a genuine threat.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 13/208/1361/100
Gemini prioritizes a high-scoring encounter, anticipating both teams will find the back of the net. Chelsea’s strong attacking form and Bournemouth’s recent history of matches with multiple goals make ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ a compelling pick, especially with key defensive absences for the home side.
Lead Author’s Summary and Final Predictions
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 4, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Despite Bournemouth’s home advantage, their recent form has been poor, with the team winless in their last five league matches. Chelsea, on the other hand, have demonstrated superior squad depth and consistent attacking prowess. We’re backing the visitors to secure the victory, as their midfield quality should be enough to control the game and overcome a Bournemouth side hampered by key suspensions and injuries.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. By comparing the probability of an outcome with the odds offered by bookmakers, we highlight matches where the potential return has value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 52%
  • Best Odds: 23/20 (2.15) at Ladbrokes
  • Chelsea’s attacking quality and midfield control edge past a depleted Bournemouth side missing key defensive personnel.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 62%
  • Best Odds: 57/100 (1.57) at Ladbrokes
  • Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability in recent fixtures, with Chelsea’s attacking threat met by Bournemouth’s threat in transition.
Bet 3
  • Over Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 13/20 (1.65) at 10bet
  • Chelsea’s prolific attacking output combined with Bournemouth’s defensive vulnerabilities creates an environment for a high-scoring encounter.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Chelsea or Draw
  • Probability: 78%
  • Best Odds: 4/11 (1.364) at bet365

  • Chelsea’s quality and form make a home win or draw highly probable, with Bournemouth facing significant squad depth challenges.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this Soccer match between Bournemouth and Chelsea:

  • Evanilson (Bournemouth)
  • Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

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Bournemouth Form and Stats

Last MatchesBournemouth
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 41 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 19 Goals scored
  • 22 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 1Everton
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 2West Ham United
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth
  • 02 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 0Nottingham Forest
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 38% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 02 Dec 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 1Everton
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 2West Ham United
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 0Nottingham Forest
  • 03 Oct 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth3 : 1Fulham
  • 21 Sep 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth0 : 0Newcastle United
  • 13 Sep 2025 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth2 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 24 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 9 Goals scored
  • 15 Goals conceded
  • 83% Over 2.5
  • 17% Under 2.5
  • 29 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland3 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth
  • 02 Nov 2025 – Premier League Manchester City3 : 1AFC Bournemouth
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace3 : 3AFC Bournemouth
  • 27 Sep 2025 – Premier League Leeds United2 : 2AFC Bournemouth
  • 30 Aug 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur0 : 1AFC Bournemouth

Starting XI

4-4-2

Possible
Lineup
1 Djordje Petrovic
2 Julian Araujo
5 Marcos Senesi
18 Bafode Diakite
3 Adrien Truffert
7 David Brooks
8 Alex Scott
16 Marcus Tavernier
19 Justin Kluivert
9 Evanilson
24 Antoine Semenyo
Substitutes
  • 40Will Dennis
  • 15Adam Smith
  • 6Julio Soler
  • 20Alex Jimenez
  • 21Amine Adli
  • 22Eli Junior Kroupi
  • 26Enes Unal
Suspension
  • 1Lewis Cook Red card ban
  • 2Tyler Adams Accumulated yellow cards
Injured
  • 1Ryan Christie Knee injury
  • 2Ben Gannon Doak Hamstring injury
  • 3Matai Akinmboni Muscle injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Chelsea Form and Stats

Last MatchesChelsea
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 46 Total goals
  • 57% BTTS
  • 30 Goals scored
  • 16 Goals conceded
  • 71% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Chelsea3 : 0Barcelona
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Chelsea
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 05 Nov 2025 – Champions League Qarabag FK2 : 2Chelsea
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 15 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 63% Over 2.5
  • 13% Under 2.5
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 25 Nov 2025 – Champions League Chelsea3 : 0Barcelona
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea3 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 2Sunderland
  • 22 Oct 2025 – Champions League Chelsea5 : 1Ajax
  • 04 Oct 2025 – Premier League Chelsea2 : 1Liverpool
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 21 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 13 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 67% Over 2.5
  • 33% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Leeds United3 : 1Chelsea
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Chelsea
  • 05 Nov 2025 – Champions League Qarabag FK2 : 2Chelsea
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur0 : 1Chelsea
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Wolverhampton Wanderers3 : 4Chelsea
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 3Chelsea

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 Robert Sanchez
24 Reece James
2 Axel Disasi
5 Benoit Badiashile
3 Marc Cucurella
8 Enzo Fernandez
17 Andrey Santos
11 Jamie Gittens
7 Pedro Neto
9 Liam Delap
10 Mykhaylo Mudryk
Substitutes
  • 12Filip Joergensen
  • 4Tosin Adarabioyo
  • 21Jorrel Hato
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 12Raheem Sterling
  • 49Alejandro Garnacho
  • 62Shumaira Mheuka
Suspension
  • 1Moises Caicedo Red card ban
Injured
  • 1Levi Colwill ACL injury
  • 2Dario Essugo Thigh injury
  • 3Romeo Lavia Thigh injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Record

  • 14 Jan 2025 – Premier League Chelsea 2 : 2 AFC Bournemouth
  • 14 Sep 2024 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 0 : 1 Chelsea
  • 19 May 2024 – Premier League Chelsea 2 : 1 AFC Bournemouth
  • 17 Sep 2023 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 0 : 0 Chelsea
  • 06 May 2023 – Premier League AFC Bournemouth 1 : 3 Chelsea
League Games at Bournemouth since 2020
  • Bournemouth
  • Chelsea
  • Goals: Scored 1 4
  • Games: Scored 1/3 2/3
  • Clean Sheets 1/3 2/3
League Games at Chelsea since 2020
  • Bournemouth
  • Chelsea
  • Goals: Scored 3 4
  • Games: Scored 2/2 2/2
  • Clean Sheets 0/2 0/2

Current Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth vs Chelsea

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Bournemouth and Chelsea.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 21/10
Draw 13/5
Away 23/20
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 11/5
Draw 11/4
Away 11/10
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 11/5
Draw 13/5
Away 23/20
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 11/5
Draw 51/20
Away 57/50
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 219/100
Draw 137/50
Away 113/100
Visit Site

Bournemouth vs Chelsea Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Bournemouth vs Chelsea clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Bournemouth vs Chelsea Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Bournemouth 2-1 Chelsea12/1While Chelsea are favourites, Bournemouth have shown they can upset bigger teams at home. A narrow home victory, perhaps after Chelsea takes an early lead, presents a high-value long shot.
Long-Shot Bet 2Draw / Bournemouth14/1Bournemouth could hold Chelsea to a draw in the first half, then capitalise on opportunities to secure a win in the second, particularly if Chelsea underestimates them or fatigues.
Long-Shot Bet 3Chelsea 3-2 Bournemouth28/1Chelsea's strong attack often leads to high-scoring games, but their defence can be vulnerable. A narrow 3-2 victory for Chelsea indicates a competitive, end-to-end match with plenty of goals.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Bournemouth vs Chelsea clash:

  • Chelsea to Win & BTTS Yes & Pedro Neto to Score Anytime
  • Over 3.5 Goals & Chelsea to Win with a One-Goal Margin
  • Evanilson to Score Anytime & Both Teams to Score in 2nd Half

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Bournemouth vs Chelsea on 6 December 2025 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams are likely to score given Chelsea’s attacking creativity and Bournemouth’s vulnerability to transitional play despite their home organisation.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): The fixture is expected to produce over 2.5 goals, with Chelsea’s attacking threat and Bournemouth’s recent defensive instability pointing towards a relatively open affair.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Whilst Bournemouth benefit from home advantage, their current squad depletion—particularly with Lewis Cook suspended and Ryan Christie sidelined—significantly diminishes this edge against a full-strength Chelsea outfit.

Where to Watch Bournemouth vs Chelsea

TV channel:

The game will not be shown live in the UK due to the 3pm blackout.

Online streaming:

The game will not be streamed live.

Free highlights:

Free match highlights will be available on the official Premier League YouTube channel shortly after the final whistle and on Match of the Day.