AFC Bournemouth will be looking to capitalise on their solid home performances to secure another three points and climb the Premier League table. Their recent form at the Vitality Stadium makes them clear favourites.
Burnley's campaign has been hampered by an inability to perform on the road, and they travel to the south coast in desperate need of a result. However, with key players missing, their task appears monumental.
This match presents a classic clash of an in-form home side against a struggling away team. For Bournemouth, it's an opportunity to build momentum, while for Burnley, it's a battle to stop the rot and find a foothold away from home.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Bournemouth and Burnley
To provide you with the most reliable betting insights, we have collated predictions from three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model offers a distinct prediction on a key match market, presented clearly below. You will find their official logos alongside each tip for easy identification. For those who wish to delve deeper into the analysis, simply click on a prediction to reveal the detailed reasoning and statistical basis behind the AI’s conclusion.
Match Details:
Teams: Bournemouth vs Burnley
League: Premier League
Date: 20 December 2025 at 3:00 PM
Stage: Premier League
ChatGPT
Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelAFC Bournemouth or Draw
The double chance on Bournemouth or Draw provides solid value given Bournemouth’s strong home form and Burnley’s away struggles, with the odds reflecting Bournemouth’s edge at the Vitality Stadium and Burnley’s injury woes.
claude
Prediction of AI claude modelAFC Bournemouth to Win
Claude prioritises markets that favour a home victory given Bournemouth’s superior home form and Burnley’s woeful away record. The Cherries have won three of their last five at the Vitality Stadium, whilst Burnley have lost four consecutive away matches without scoring. With key Burnley players suspended and injured, the home win at 10/21 represents solid value.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market, finding value in a lower-scoring affair. Burnley’s dismal away form, including four consecutive matches without scoring, suggests they will contribute little to the goal tally. While AFC Bournemouth are strong at home, it’s unlikely they will score four or more goals on their own against a side focused on damage limitation.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
Bournemouth is well-positioned to secure a comfortable home victory against Burnley. The Cherries have shown strong form at the Vitality Stadium, most recently earning a thrilling 4-4 draw against Manchester United, where they demonstrated resilience and attacking flair. In contrast, Burnley is struggling both defensively and on the road, having suffered their seventh consecutive defeat in a 2-3 loss to Fulham. Their defensive errors and inability to maintain consistency, coupled with key player absences, have left them vulnerable. With Burnley’s away form in tatters and Bournemouth’s solid home record, backing a Bournemouth win is the most logical and well-supported choice.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bet selections are the product of an advanced algorithm that analyses a vast array of football data points. This system goes beyond simple win-loss records, incorporating factors such as recent form, head-to-head results, expected goals (xG), team news, and underlying performance metrics. By comparing this deep analysis with market odds, the algorithm identifies bets that offer genuine value, providing you with a statistically informed edge.
Given Burnley’s terrible away form and weakened squad, it’s extremely difficult to see them leaving the Vitality Stadium with all three points.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Bournemouth and Burnley:
Antoine Semenyo could be the game-changer for Bournemouth against Burnley. With 7 goals and 3 assists this season, his clinical finishing and 76.9% shot accuracy make him a constant threat. His impressive 7.16 rating highlights his consistency, and his ability to deliver in key moments could be crucial in securing a vital win for Bournemouth. (Bournemouth)
Zian Flemming could be a crucial figure for Burnley against Bournemouth. With 5 goals this season and a shot accuracy of 64.5%, Flemming is a consistent attacking threat. His ability to win aerial duels (1.9 per game) and his goal-scoring instinct could be key for Burnley in their bid to break a tough run of form.(Burnley)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Bournemouth vs Burnley
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06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Burnley
03 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 1Crystal Palace
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBrentford3 : 1Burnley
22 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 2Chelsea
08 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United3 : 2Burnley
WINS1
DRAW0
LOSSES5
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
15 Total goals
25% BTTS
5 Goals scored
10 Goals conceded
25% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5
13 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 3Fulham
03 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 1Crystal Palace
22 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 2Chelsea
01 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 2Arsenal
18 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueBurnley2 : 0Leeds United
23 Sep 2025 –
EFL CupBurnley1 : 2Cardiff City
WINS1
DRAW0
LOSSES5
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
26 Total goals
100% BTTS
9 Goals scored
17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5
06 Dec 2025 –
Premier LeagueNewcastle United2 : 1Burnley
29 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueBrentford3 : 1Burnley
08 Nov 2025 –
Premier LeagueWest Ham United3 : 2Burnley
26 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueWolverhampton Wanderers2 : 3Burnley
05 Oct 2025 –
Premier LeagueAston Villa2 : 1Burnley
27 Sep 2025 –
Premier LeagueManchester City5 : 1Burnley
Starting XI
4-3-3
Possible Lineup
1M. Dubravka
3Q. Hartman
18H. Ekdal
5M. Estève
2Kyle Walker
24Josh Cullen
16Florentino Luís
8Lesley Ugochukwu
7J. Bruun Larsen
11J. Anthony
27A. Broja
Substitutes
13Max Weiß
32Václav Hladký
4Joe Worrall
23Lucas Pires
19Zian Flemming
10Marcus Edwards
29Josh Laurent
Suspension
1Hannibal Mejbri Misconduct
2Lucas Pires Red card
Injured
1Zeki Amdouni Knee injury
2Jordan Beyer Thigh injury
3Lyle Foster African Cup of Nations
4Bashir Humphreys Injury setback
Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Bournemouth vs Burnley Head-to-Head Record
03 Mar 2024 –
Premier LeagueBurnley0 : 2AFC Bournemouth
28 Oct 2023 –
Premier LeagueAFC Bournemouth2 : 1Burnley
07 Jan 2023 –
FA CupAFC Bournemouth2 : 4Burnley
League Games at Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored45
Games: Scored2/22/2
Clean Sheets0/20/2
League Games at Burnley
Bournemouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored20
Games: Scored1/10/1
Clean Sheets1/10/1
Current Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth vs Burnley
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Bournemouth and Burnley.
If you really want to see a return from our football betting predictions, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Bournemouth vs Burnley clash:
Bournemouth to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 7/1)
Burnley to Score First + Bournemouth to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Bournemouth to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Bournemouth vs Burnley on 20 December 2025 at 3:00 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): The case against both teams scoring is compelling. Burnley have not scored a single goal in their last four matches away from home, and they now face a confident Bournemouth side on their own patch. With key attacking players missing for the visitors, their chances of breaching the home defence appear slim.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): A total of two or three goals is the most likely outcome for this match. Bournemouth are expected to do all the scoring, with a 2-0 or 3-0 home win fitting the statistical profile of both teams’ recent performances.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): The Vitality Stadium provides a significant advantage for Bournemouth, who have been consistently strong at home. This contrasts sharply with Burnley’s away record, which is among the worst in the division, making the home ground a critical factor in this fixture.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 20 December 2025 at 3:00 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Bournemouth vs Burnley
TV channel:
UK broadcasting regulations, known as the “3pm blackout,” prevent Premier League games from being shown live at 3pm on Saturdays to support lower-league attendance. As a result, only matches outside this window are televised.
Online streaming:
Premier League games at 3pm on Saturdays are not available for live streaming in the UK; streaming is only allowed for games scheduled outside this time.
Free highlights:
Highlights of 3pm Premier League games will be available shortly after the final whistle on the Premier League YouTube channel and broadcaster apps. Full highlights will also be shown later on BBC’s Match of the Day.
