Villa’s strong home record: Aston Villa have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches and have consistently scored in each of their last 10 home encounters, showing a strong attacking rhythm.
Everton’s struggle on the road: Everton have a 20% win rate away and have conceded more goals than they’ve scored in 13 of their 18 away games this season, highlighting their difficulties in picking up points on the road.
Defensive strength vs vulnerabilities: Villa have kept clean sheets in 50% of their recent home games, while Everton have conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches, which makes it difficult to see Everton keeping Villa out for long.
Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Aston Villa and Everton
To provide you with the most reliable betting insights, we have collated predictions from three of the industry’s leading AI models: Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Each model offers a distinct betting angle, presented as a clear bullet point with their respective logos for easy identification. For those wanting to delve deeper, you can click on each prediction to expand and read the detailed reasoning behind the AI’s conclusion, which is based on a thorough analysis of team form, player data, and key match statistics.
BTTS offers value here given Villa’s potent home attack and Everton’s injury-hit frontline. Villa Park’s offensive momentum combined with Everton’s vulnerable defence increases the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Claude prioritises markets that favour a commanding home victory. Aston Villa’s superior squad depth and home form underpin the home win pick, while Everton’s mounting absentee list—including a red-card suspension and five injured regulars—leaves them severely undermanned for a trip to Villa Park.
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market given the strong indications. Aston Villa’s potent home attack is expected to capitalise on an Everton side severely hampered by injuries and suspensions, leading to a higher goal tally.
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?
I’m picking Aston Villa to win as my top tip because of their solid home form and Everton’s struggles on the road. Villa are undefeated in their last 8 home matches and have consistently scored multiple goals in those games. In contrast, Everton have won only 1 of their last 6 away games and have been leaky at the back, conceding at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches. With Villa strong defensively and Everton struggling to contain quality opposition away from home, Villa look well-positioned to secure a comfortable win.
Value Bets from Our Algorithm
Our value bets are the product of an algorithm that synthesises data from advanced research models with crucial football metrics. It moves beyond simple win-loss predictions to assess factors like recent performance, head-to-head results, expected goals (xG), and squad availability. By weighing these elements against market odds, our system identifies bets that offer genuine value for this fixture.
Aston Villa’s potent attack is expected to score multiple goals against an Everton side weakened by injuries and suspensions, pushing the total over 2.5.
Given their strength at home and Everton’s current crisis, it is highly improbable that Aston Villa will lose this match.
Player Focus Bets
Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Aston Villa and Everton:
Ollie Watkins is a strong choice for the anytime goalscorer market, with 7 goals in 18 Premier League appearances this season. He averages 2.1 shots per game and plays a key role in Villa’s attack, often involved in both scoring and creating chances. His ability to get on the end of crosses and finish from open play, combined with his attacking positioning, makes him the most likely source of goals for Villa in this match. (Aston Villa)
Thierno Barry is a good option for the anytime goalscorer market, considering his ability to get into key attacking positions for Everton. With 3 goals in the Premier League this season, Barry has shown he can deliver when given the chance. He averages 1 shot per game and has been involved in more attacking minutes, playing a central role as a forward. Everton rely on him to create opportunities, and with his physical presence at 195 cm and ability to battle in aerial duels, he’s well-positioned to get on the end of crosses and set pieces, making him a strong candidate for scoring in this fixture. (Everton)
Odds Boosts, Free Bets & Specials for Aston Villa vs Everton
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Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.
Aston Villa vs Everton Head-to-Head Record
13 Sep 2025 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 0Aston Villa
15 Jan 2025 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 1Aston Villa
14 Sep 2024 –
Premier LeagueAston Villa3 : 2Everton
14 Jan 2024 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 0Aston Villa
27 Sep 2023 –
EFL CupAston Villa1 : 2Everton
20 Aug 2023 –
Premier LeagueAston Villa4 : 0Everton
25 Feb 2023 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 2Aston Villa
13 Aug 2022 –
Premier LeagueAston Villa2 : 1Everton
22 Jan 2022 –
Premier LeagueEverton0 : 1Aston Villa
League Games at Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Everton
Goals: Scored105
Games: Scored4/43/4
Clean Sheets1/40/4
League Games at Everton
Aston Villa
Everton
Goals: Scored40
Games: Scored5/50/5
Clean Sheets5/52/5
Current Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa vs Everton
When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Aston Villa and Everton.
For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Aston Villa vs Everton clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.
Aston Villa vs Everton Long-Shot Betting
Bet Type
Selection
Odds
Rationale
Long-Shot Bet 1
Aston Villa (-3)
12/1 (Bet365)
This handicap requires Aston Villa to win by more than 3 goals. It's a bold prediction that rewards those expecting a dominant performance. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 2
Over 5.5 Total Goals
12/1 (Bet365)
Over 5.5 goals requires a high-scoring affair with at least 6 goals. Both sides' attacking intent and this fixture's history of entertainment make this worth consideration. At 12/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Long-Shot Bet 3
Correct Score: 3-1
14/1 (Bet365)
This 3-1 scoreline predicting a Aston Villa victory offers excellent long-shot value. With 4 total goals, it reflects an open, attacking contest. The odds provide substantial returns if both teams' recent scoring form translates into this specific outcome. At 14/1, the potential returns justify the risk.
Bet Builder Suggestions
If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.
Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Aston Villa vs Everton clash:
Aston Villa to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2)
Everton to Score First + Aston Villa to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1)
Draw at Half-Time + Aston Villa to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1)
Quick Betting Angles
These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Aston Villa vs Everton on 18 January 2026 at 4:30 PM.
Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both Teams to Score is a strong betting angle for this match due to the attacking and defensive trends of both sides. Aston Villa have scored in 80% of their home matches and have been involved in high-scoring games, while Everton have found the net in 70% of their away games, despite struggling defensively. With Villa’s ability to score and Everton’s vulnerabilities at the back, it seems likely that both teams will get on the scoresheet in what could be an open game.
Betting Angle (Total Goals): The Total Goals market leans towards Over 2.5 given both teams’ attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Aston Villa have averaged 2.5 goals per game at home and are involved in high-scoring affairs, while Everton’s away matches have seen an average of 2.8 goals.
Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Aston Villa’s home advantage is a significant factor in this match, as they are currently on an 8-match unbeaten run at Villa Park. They have won 7 of their last 8 home games, including victories over strong sides like Manchester City and Arsenal. Villa’s home scoring rate is strong, and they’ve consistently found the back of the net, which makes them difficult to break down on their turf.
Match Information:
Competition: Premier League
Stage: Premier League
Kick-off: 18 January 2026 at 4:30 PM
Sport: Soccer
Where to Watch Aston Villa vs Everton
TV channel:
In the UK, this Premier League match will be broadcast on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.
Online streaming:
Subscribers can stream via the TNT Sport app.
Free highlights:
Match highlights will be shown across Sky Sports and TNT Sports, with extended highlights also airing later on Saturday night on Match of the Day.
