Aston Villa vs Arsenal Bet Builder & Prediction
Monday 31 August 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Aston Villa v Arsenal, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
Our Bet Builder
3 legs
1
Match Result
Arsenal to win
11/20
2
Both Teams to Score
Both teams to score
10/11
3
Total Goals
Over 3.5 Goals
2/1
Combined Bet Builder odds 8.88
Bet £10, compare your returns
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Why we’ve picked these legs
Arsenal to win 11/20
Arsenal have the stronger recent record by some distance: 7 wins from their last 10 matches in all competitions, against 6 defeats in 10 for Aston Villa. Their away form makes the same point just as clearly, 3 wins from 3 on the road with nothing else to show. Arsenal’s most recent outing, a 3-0 win over Coventry City last Friday, is exactly the sort of form this pick is built on. 11/20 will not set the pulse racing, but the form lines up too well to ignore.
The numbers behind this pick
Aston Villa last 10 (W-D-L)4-0-6
Aston Villa at home0-0-1
Arsenal last 10 (W-D-L)7-1-2
Arsenal away3-0-0
Aston Villa wins in last 5 H2H2
Form is each side’s recent competitive matches, the count shown per stat (reaches into last season before a ball is kicked). Source: our own match data.
Both teams to score 10/11
Neither defence has been convincing lately. Both teams to score has landed in 80 per cent of Aston Villa’s recent matches and 50 per cent of Arsenal’s, and between the two sides there have been only 6 clean sheets in that time. At 10/11, the price does not fully reflect how often both sides have been finding the net.
The numbers behind this pick
Aston Villa BTTS % (last 10)80%
Arsenal BTTS % (last 10)50%
Aston Villa clean sheets (last 10)1
Arsenal failed to score (last 10)0
Form is each side’s recent competitive matches, the count shown per stat (reaches into last season before a ball is kicked). Source: our own match data.
Over 3.5 Goals 2/1
Goals have followed both sides around this season. 50 per cent of Aston Villa’s last 10 matches have gone over 3.5 and 30 per cent of Arsenal’s have done the same, with the two combining for 4.0 goals a match between them. 2/1 about a fourth goal arriving in this one looks a shade generous.
The numbers behind this pick
Aston Villa over 3.5 % (last 10)50%
Aston Villa goals per game1.9
Arsenal over 3.5 % (last 10)30%
Arsenal goals per game2.1
Form is each side’s recent competitive matches, the count shown per stat (reaches into last season before a ball is kicked). Source: our own match data.
Match DNA
last 10 · all comps
Head-to-head profile
Aston Villa Arsenal
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Aston Villa Arsenal
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
Stat centre: Aston Villa v Arsenal
2026/27 is only 1 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 1 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 1 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
Aston Villa
0W 0D 1L
Arsenal
1W 0D 0L
The record
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-0-6 | 7-1-2 |
| Aston Villa home / Arsenal away | 0-0-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Ollie Watkins Aston Villa
16
Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa
6
Viktor Gyökeres Arsenal
14
Bukayo Saka Arsenal
7
Goals per game
Aston Villa Arsenal
1.9
Scored / game
2.1
1.9
Conceded / game
0.9
1
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
0
Overall and venue split
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 2 | 2.33 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 4 | 0.67 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
Venue row is Aston Villa at home and Arsenal away.
Goals-line hit rate
Aston Villa Arsenal
100%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
Overall and venue split
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 100% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 50% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
65%
Both teams to score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
90%
Over 1.5 goals
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 80% | 50% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 100% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
Last 5 meetings (Aston Villa’s view)
ARS4-1AVL2025-12-30 · Emirates StadiumLost
AVL2-1ARS2025-12-06 · Villa ParkWon
ARS2-2AVL2025-01-18 · Emirates StadiumDrew
AVL0-2ARS2024-08-24 · Villa ParkLost
ARS0-2AVL2024-04-14 · Emirates StadiumWon
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Aston Villa wins / draws / Arsenal wins | 2-1-2 |
| Goals (Aston Villa / Arsenal) | 7 / 9 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.2 |
| Both teams scored | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
2026/27 so far, 1 played
| Aston Villa | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 20 | 3 |
| Points | 0 | 3 |
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 0-0-1 | 1-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
Points and goals
Aston Villa Arsenal
0
Points
3
0
Goals for
3
4
Goals against
0
Latest match odds
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Home Win
Aston Villa
11/2
best price · Unibet
Draw
Draw
10/3
best price · Unibet
Away Win
Arsenal
11/20
best price · bet365
Match pulse
market vs form
63%
Arsenal favourites
Aston Villa win
15%
Draw
22%
Arsenal win
63%
Aston Villa win, our form model vs the market price
market 15%
0%form 30% · +15 pts of value60%
The market leans Arsenal, but the recent form reads it differently: it makes the Aston Villa win a 30 per cent chance, more than the best price allows for. That difference is the value, and it is why 11/2 about Aston Villa catches the eye.
Full match stats
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
Form: last 10 matches
| Aston Villa (last 10) | Arsenal (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-0-6 | 7-1-2 |
| Home / away split | 0-0-1 | 3-0-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| BTTS % | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 100% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 5 |
Rolling recent-form window; crosses into last season until the new season has played enough matches.
Head-to-head: last 5 meetings
2025-12-30 · Arsenal 4-1 Aston VillaEmirates Stadium
2025-12-06 · Aston Villa 2-1 ArsenalVilla Park
2025-01-18 · Arsenal 2-2 Aston VillaEmirates Stadium
2024-08-24 · Aston Villa 0-2 ArsenalVilla Park
2024-04-14 · Arsenal 0-2 Aston VillaEmirates Stadium
This season : league position
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 20 | 0 | 0-4 |
| Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 3-0 |
Leading scorers, last season
Aston Villa: Ollie Watkins16 league goals in 2025/26
Aston Villa: Emiliano Buendía6 league goals in 2025/26
Arsenal: Viktor Gyökeres14 league goals in 2025/26
Arsenal: Bukayo Saka7 league goals in 2025/26
Each club’s leading league scorers from last season. Goals are 2025/26 totals for the club shown.
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.