Aston Villa vs Arsenal Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 6 December 2025 at 12:30 PM
Aston Villa
Top tip Arsenal to Win
Arsenal
FIND THE BEST ODDS HERE
  • Arsenal boast an exceptional record in the Premier League this season, having won ten of 14 matches played so far.
  • Aston Villa come into this match on a strong run, having won their last six games across all competitions.
  • This fixture pits Aston Villa's impressive winning streak against Arsenal's excellent league campaign, promising a competitive clash at Villa Park.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Aston Villa and Arsenal

To give you the most reliable insights, we’ve gathered match predictions from three leading AI models – ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each model provides a clear prediction on the outcome, displayed as a simple bullet point. You’ll also see their official logos, so it’s clear which AI made the call. For those who want to dive deeper, you can click each prediction to expand and reveal the reasoning behind it – showing how the AI reached its conclusion based on data, form, and key match stats.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelArsenal to Win
Odds for This Bet 19/2091/10091/100
Arsenal’s strong away form and defensive ability point to an away win. Villa’s injury list and resulting defensive concerns tilt the balance toward the visitors, with Arsenal’s creativity and finishing ability likely to yield a victory at Villa Park.
Prediction of AI claude modelArsenal to Win
Odds for This Bet 91/10091/10091/100
Claude prioritises Arsenal’s superior away record and their dominant form throughout the 2025/26 season. Arsenal’s higher goals-for ratio (2.80 per match) provide a compelling case for backing the Gunners, despite injury concerns to Saliba and Havertz which are partially offset by Viktor Gyoekeres’ proven striking prowess.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelUnder 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 3/473/10073/100
Gemini prioritises the ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market given Arsenal’s recent defensive solidity, with three of their last five league matches ending with fewer than 2.5 total goals. Despite Aston Villa’s home form, Arsenal’s ability to grind out low-scoring wins makes this a strong value bet.
Lead Author’s Summary and Final Predictions
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 4, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

Arsenal’s start to the season is hard to ignore. With a prolific attack and strong defence, they look unstoppable. Even with some injury concerns, their depth and form make an away win the most logical bet for this Premier League clash.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are generated by combining insights from advanced research models with key football data points. The algorithm looks beyond simple win–draw–lose outcomes and weighs factors such as recent form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), injury news, home and away performance trends, and market odds movement. By comparing the probability of an outcome with the odds offered by bookmakers, we highlight matches where the potential return has value.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Away Win
  • Probability: 52%
  • Best Odds: 91/100 (1.91) at Ladbrokes
  • Arsenal’s exceptional form and superior attacking output make them likely to overcome Aston Villa at Villa Park.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 19/20 (1.95) at bet365
  • Both teams have consistently scored in recent matches and possess prolific attacking units.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 71%
  • Best Odds: 11/10 (2.1) at bet365
  • Arsenal’s 2.80 goals-per-match average and Aston Villa’s attacking quality suggest a high-scoring encounter.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Arsenal or Draw
  • Probability: 78%
  • Best Odds: 2/9 (1.222) at bet365

  • Arsenal’s superior quality and Aston Villa’s injury struggles make a non-Villa result highly probable.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this Soccer match between Aston Villa and Arsenal:

  • Ollie Watkins bagged two in the last match, and is Aston Villa’s premier attacking threat for the Anytime Goalscorer market. (Aston Villa)
  • Bukayo Saka represents exceptional value in the Anytime Goalscorer market. (Arsenal)

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Aston Villa Form and Stats

Last MatchesAston Villa
           
WINS 5
DRAW 0
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 39 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 27 Goals scored
  • 12 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 27 Nov 2025 – Europa League Aston Villa2 : 1Young Boys
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth
  • 06 Nov 2025 – Europa League Aston Villa2 : 0Maccabi Tel Aviv
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 25% BTTS
  • 12 Goals scored
  • 2 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 27 Nov 2025 – Europa League Aston Villa2 : 1Young Boys
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa4 : 0AFC Bournemouth
  • 06 Nov 2025 – Europa League Aston Villa2 : 0Maccabi Tel Aviv
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa1 : 0Manchester City
  • 05 Oct 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Burnley
           
WINS 4
DRAW 0
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 20 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 67% Over 2.5
  • 33% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Leeds United1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Aston Villa
  • 23 Oct 2025 – Europa League Go Ahead Eagles2 : 1Aston Villa
  • 19 Oct 2025 – Premier League Tottenham Hotspur1 : 2Aston Villa
  • 02 Oct 2025 – Europa League Feyenoord0 : 2Aston Villa

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
40 Marco Bizot
2 Matty Cash
3 Victor Nilsson Lindeloef
14 Pau Torres
12 Lucas Digne
44 Boubacar Kamara
8 Youri Tielemans
7 John McGinn
19 Jadon Sancho
11 Ollie Watkins
17 Donyell Malen
Substitutes
  • 95Rhys Oakley
  • 26Lamare Bogarde
  • 24Amadou Onana
  • 10Emiliano Buendia
  • 27Morgan Rogers
  • 9Harvey Elliott
  • 22Ian Maatsen
  • 29Evann Guessand
  • 20Jamaldeen Jimoh
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Ross Barkley Severe knee injury
  • 2Emiliano Martinez Back pain
  • 3Tyrone Mings Hamstring injury
  • 4Ezri Konsa Calf injury - doubtful for match
  • 5Andres Garcia Physical discomfort - minor doubt

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Arsenal Form and Stats

Last MatchesArsenal
           
WINS 5
DRAW 1
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 37 Total goals
  • 36% BTTS
  • 31 Goals scored
  • 6 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 57% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 0Brentford
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Arsenal3 : 1Bayern Munich
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Arsenal4 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 04 Nov 2025 – Champions League Slavia Prague0 : 3Arsenal
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 25% BTTS
  • 16 Goals scored
  • 2 Goals conceded
  • 38% Over 2.5
  • 38% Under 2.5
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 0Brentford
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Arsenal3 : 1Bayern Munich
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Arsenal4 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Crystal Palace
  • 21 Oct 2025 – Champions League Arsenal4 : 0Atletico Madrid
           
WINS 4
DRAW 2
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 15 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 4 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 04 Nov 2025 – Champions League Slavia Prague0 : 3Arsenal
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Burnley0 : 2Arsenal
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Fulham0 : 1Arsenal
  • 28 Sep 2025 – Premier League Newcastle United1 : 2Arsenal

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 David Raya
4 Ben White
2 William Saliba
5 Piero Hincapie
33 Riccardo Calafiori
41 Declan Rice
36 Martin Zubimendi
8 Martin Oedegaard
7 Bukayo Saka
14 Viktor Gyoekeres
11 Gabriel Martinelli
Substitutes
  • 13Kepa Arrizabalaga
  • 16Christian Noergaard
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 22Ethan Nwaneri
  • 49Myles Lewis-Skelly
  • 56Max Dowman
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Leandro Trossard Muscle/Calf injury
  • 2Kai Havertz Knee injury
  • 3Gabriel Thigh injury
  • 4Cristhian Mosquera Ankle/knee injury
  • 5William Saliba Knock - major doubt
  • 6Declan Rice Calf - minor doubt

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Record

  • 18 Jan 2025 – Premier League Arsenal 2 : 2 Aston Villa
  • 24 Aug 2024 – Premier League Aston Villa 0 : 2 Arsenal
  • 14 Apr 2024 – Premier League Arsenal 0 : 2 Aston Villa
  • 09 Dec 2023 – Premier League Aston Villa 1 : 0 Arsenal
  • 18 Feb 2023 – Premier League Aston Villa 2 : 4 Arsenal
League Games at Aston Villa since 2020
  • Aston Villa
  • Arsenal
  • Goals: Scored 3 6
  • Games: Scored 2/3 2/3
  • Clean Sheets 1/3 1/3
League Games at Arsenal since 2020
  • Aston Villa
  • Arsenal
  • Goals: Scored 4 2
  • Games: Scored 2/2 1/2
  • Clean Sheets 1/2 0/2

Current Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa vs Arsenal

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 3/1
Draw 12/5
Away 91/100
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 16/5
Draw 5/2
Away 17/20
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 3/1
Draw 12/5
Away 91/100
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 31/10
Draw 12/5
Away 91/100
Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 33/10
Draw 5/2
Away 89/100
Visit Site

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Long-Shot Betting

For those looking beyond the obvious outcomes in their football betting predictions, we’ve highlighted a few long shot bets for the Aston Villa vs Arsenal clash. These are higher-risk selections that carry a lower probability of success, but offer the potential for significantly greater odds.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Long-Shot Betting
Bet TypeSelectionOddsRationale
Long-Shot Bet 1Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal11/1Arsenal's attacking strength is expected to shine, with Villa likely to net a consolation goal.
Long-Shot Bet 2Aston Villa 1-4 Arsenal28/1For a higher-scoring Arsenal victory, reflecting their prolific goal-scoring record and Villa's potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Long-Shot Bet 3Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal13/2Arsenal's solid defence could lead to a clean sheet away from home, securing a comfortable two-goal margin.

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Aston Villa vs Arsenal clash:

  • Arsenal to Win, Over 2.5 Goals & Bukayo Saka Anytime Goalscorer
  • Arsenal to Win, Both Teams to Score & Viktor Gyoekeres Anytime Goalscorer
  • Arsenal to Win with a Clean Sheet & Viktor Gyoekeres Anytime Goalscorer

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Aston Villa vs Arsenal on 6 December 2025 at 12:30 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability across their recent matches, with Arsenal averaging 2.80 goals per game and Aston Villa showing attacking prowess despite defensive vulnerabilities.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): Expect a total of 3-4 goals with Arsenal’s prolific attack and Aston Villa’s defensive injuries creating space for both teams to score multiple times.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Villa Park provides traditional home advantage, though Arsenal’s exceptional away form and Aston Villa’s injury crisis significantly diminish the benefit for the hosts.

Where to Watch Aston Villa vs Arsenal

TV channel:

This match is scheduled to be broadcast live on TNT Sports. Check your local listings for confirmation.

Online streaming:

Subscribers can stream the match live via the TNT Sports app and website.

Free highlights:

Highlights will be available on the Sky Sports Football YouTube channel, Match of the Day, and official club websites post-match.