Arsenal vs Brighton Betting Tips & Predictions

Premier League 27 December 2025 at 3:00 PM
Arsenal
Top tip Over 2.5 Goals
Brighton
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  • Arsenal come into this match with a formidable home record at the Emirates, consistently finding the back of the net. However, they are managing several key injuries in defence and midfield, which will test their squad depth against a tricky opponent.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion face a difficult trip to North London with a depleted squad, particularly in defence and midfield. Despite the numerous absences, their established attacking system and forward players still pose a significant threat on the counter-attack.
  • This Premier League encounter pits two sides with distinct attacking philosophies against each other. Arsenal's controlled, possession-based style will test a Brighton team known for tactical flexibility, though the extensive injury lists on both sides could ultimately be the deciding factor in the outcome.

Our AI Predictions for the Match Between Arsenal and Brighton

To provide you with a comprehensive betting preview, we have consulted three leading AI models: ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Each AI offers its top prediction for the Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion match, clearly presented with its official logo below. For a deeper analysis, you can click on any tip to expand and reveal the detailed reasoning and data behind each AI’s conclusion.

Prediction of AI ChatGPT modelBoth Teams to Score
Odds for This Bet 10/1110/114/5
ChatGPT prioritises BTTS markets where value is evident. Arsenal’s potent home attack at the Emirates, combined with Brighton’s goalscoring capabilities and forward options, suggest both sides are likely to find the net.
Prediction of AI claude modelArsenal to Win
Odds for This Bet 4/911/2521/50
Claude prioritises markets that favour a commanding home win. Arsenal’s exceptional home record of 15 goals scored in their last six Emirates fixtures, combined with Brighton’s injury crisis depleting their defensive options, underpins the Arsenal win pick. The Gunners’ superior squad depth and home dominance make this the standout selection.
Prediction of AI Gemini modelOver 2.5 Goals
Odds for This Bet 2/313/2013/20
Gemini prioritises the Over/Under market given both teams’ scoring trends and defensive injury woes. Arsenal average almost 2.8 goals at home, while Brighton concede almost 1.8 goals away. The last four head-to-head encounters have all seen over 2.5 goals, making this a strong prediction.
Summary and Final Prediction
Leon Marshall Chief Editor at
Last updated: December 22, 2025
Why we chose the prediction we did from the options that were available to us?

With both Arsenal and Brighton contending with significant defensive injuries, this match is set up for goals. Arsenal’s attack is prolific at home, while Brighton have the quality to exploit any gaps left by a reshuffled Gunners backline. The data strongly suggests that the Over 2.5 Goals market offers the most compelling value for this Premier League clash.

Value Bets from Our Algorithm

Our value bets are identified by a sophisticated algorithm that analyses a vast array of football data points. This process goes beyond simple win-loss outcomes, weighing factors such as recent team form, head-to-head records, expected goals (xG), player availability, and betting market movements. The aim is to pinpoint selections that offer genuine value based on a deep statistical analysis of the fixture.

Bet 1
  • Match Result — Home Win
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 4/9 (1.444) at ladbrokes
  • Arsenal’s formidable home form at the Emirates gives them the edge against Brighton’s injury-hit defence.
Bet 2
  • Both Teams to Score — Our model leans towards Yes.
  • Probability: 65%
  • Best Odds: 10/11 (1.909) at bet365
  • Brighton retain a credible scoring threat and Arsenal’s defensive vulnerabilities due to injuries increase the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Bet 3
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Probability: 68%
  • Best Odds: 2/3 (1.667) at bet365
  • Open attacking play from both sides, combined with defensive gaps, points towards a high-scoring encounter at the Emirates.
Bet 4
  • Double Chance — Arsenal or Draw
  • Probability: 88%
  • Best Odds: 1/9 (1.111) at ladbrokes
  • Arsenal’s impressive home record, coupled with Brighton’s inconsistent away form and significant injuries, makes an Arsenal win or draw highly probable.

Player Focus Bets

Based on recent form and historical data, our top picks for the Anytime Goalscorer market in this match between Arsenal and Brighton:

  • Bukayo Saka is Arsenal’s talisman, and they’ll be looking for him to lead the attack in the absence of other senior players and while Gyökeres finds his feet in North London. (Arsenal)
  • Danny Welbeck is hopeful to return for this game but his coach Hürzeler is optimistic he can at least make the difference off the bench. “Danny is doing sometimes incredible things” the head coach said prior to the game. (Brighton)

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Arsenal Form and Stats

Last MatchesArsenal
           
WINS 4
DRAW 1
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 39 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 31 Goals scored
  • 8 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Everton0 : 1Arsenal
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Club Brugge0 : 3Arsenal
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Arsenal
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 0Brentford
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
           
WINS 6
DRAW 0
LOSSES 0
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 17 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 14 Goals scored
  • 3 Goals conceded
  • 43% Over 2.5
  • 43% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 1Wolverhampton Wanderers
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Arsenal2 : 0Brentford
  • 26 Nov 2025 – Champions League Arsenal3 : 1Bayern Munich
  • 23 Nov 2025 – Premier League Arsenal4 : 1Tottenham Hotspur
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 26 Oct 2025 – Premier League Arsenal1 : 0Crystal Palace
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 7 Matches)
  • 16 Total goals
  • 43% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 5 Goals conceded
  • 57% Over 2.5
  • 29% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Everton0 : 1Arsenal
  • 10 Dec 2025 – Champions League Club Brugge0 : 3Arsenal
  • 06 Dec 2025 – Premier League Aston Villa2 : 1Arsenal
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Chelsea1 : 1Arsenal
  • 08 Nov 2025 – Premier League Sunderland2 : 2Arsenal
  • 04 Nov 2025 – Champions League Slavia Prague0 : 3Arsenal

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 David Raya
33 Riccardo Calafiori
2 William Saliba
5 Piero Hincapié
12 Jurrien Timber
41 Declan Rice
36 Martin Zubimendi
8 Maertin Ødegaard
19 Leandro Trossard
14 Viktor Gyökeres
7 Bukayo Saka
Substitutes
  • 13Kepa Arrizabalaga
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 49Myles Lewis-Skelly
  • 22Ethan Nwaneri
  • 9Gabriel Jesus
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli
  • 16Christian Nørgaard
Suspension
  • None reported
Injured
  • 1Gabriel Magalhães Thigh injury
  • 2Kai Havertz Knee injury
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera Ankle injury
  • 4Ben White Hamstring
  • 5Max Dowman Ankle injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Brighton Form and Stats

Last MatchesBrighton
           
WINS 2
DRAW 2
LOSSES 2
Average Stats (Last 14 Matches)
  • 42 Total goals
  • 50% BTTS
  • 25 Goals scored
  • 17 Goals conceded
  • 50% Over 2.5
  • 50% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 07 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion1 : 1West Ham United
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 1Brentford
           
WINS 3
DRAW 2
LOSSES 1
Average Stats (Last 6 Matches)
  • 18 Total goals
  • 67% BTTS
  • 11 Goals scored
  • 7 Goals conceded
  • 67% Over 2.5
  • 33% Under 2.5
  • 20 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion0 : 0Sunderland
  • 07 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion1 : 1West Ham United
  • 03 Dec 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 4Aston Villa
  • 22 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 1Brentford
  • 01 Nov 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion3 : 0Leeds United
  • 18 Oct 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion2 : 1Newcastle United
           
WINS 1
DRAW 2
LOSSES 3
Average Stats (Last 8 Matches)
  • 14 Total goals
  • 25% BTTS
  • 5 Goals scored
  • 9 Goals conceded
  • 13% Over 2.5
  • 63% Under 2.5
  • 13 Dec 2025 – Premier League Liverpool2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 30 Nov 2025 – Premier League Nottingham Forest0 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 09 Nov 2025 – Premier League Crystal Palace0 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal2 : 0Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 25 Oct 2025 – Premier League Manchester United4 : 2Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 05 Oct 2025 – Premier League Wolverhampton Wanderers1 : 1Brighton & Hove Albion

Starting XI

4-3-3

Possible
Lineup
1 Bart Verbruggen
29 Maxime De Cuyper
21 Olivier Boscagli
5 Lewis Dunk
27 Mats Wieffer
26 Yasin Ayari
8 Brajan Gruda
13 Jack Hinshelwood
25 Diego Gomez
14 Georginio Rutter
17 Yankuba Minteh
Substitutes
  • 23Jason Steele
  • 42Diego Coppola
  • 6Jan Paul van Hecke
  • 34Joël Veltman
  • 18Danny Welbeck
  • 24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
  • 54Freddie Simmonds
  • 20James Milner
  • 22Kaoru Mitoma
  • 49Joe Knight
  • 14Tom Watson
  • 19Charalampos Kostoulas
  • 58Nehemiah Oriola
Suspension
  • 1Carlos Baleba CAF
Injured
  • 1Solly March Knee injury
  • 2Adam Webster Knee injury
  • 3Stefanos Tzimas Crucuate ligament injury

Note: Official lineups are typically confirmed 60 minutes before kick-off. These predictions are based on the latest team news and recent selections.

Arsenal vs Brighton Head-to-Head Record

  • 29 Oct 2025 – EFL Cup Arsenal 2 : 0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 04 Jan 2025 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 1 : 1 Arsenal
  • 31 Aug 2024 – Premier League Arsenal 1 : 1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 06 Apr 2024 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 0 : 3 Arsenal
  • 17 Dec 2023 – Premier League Arsenal 2 : 0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 14 May 2023 – Premier League Arsenal 0 : 3 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 31 Dec 2022 – Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion 2 : 4 Arsenal
  • 09 Nov 2022 – EFL Cup Arsenal 1 : 3 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • 09 Apr 2022 – Premier League Arsenal 1 : 2 Brighton & Hove Albion
League Games at Arsenal
  • Arsenal
  • Brighton
  • Goals: Scored 7 9
  • Games: Scored 5/6 4/6
  • Clean Sheets 2/6 1/6
League Games at Brighton
  • Arsenal
  • Brighton
  • Goals: Scored 8 3
  • Games: Scored 3/3 2/3
  • Clean Sheets 1/3 0/3

Current Best Betting Odds for Arsenal vs Brighton

When it comes to betting on this Premier League fixture, getting the best odds can make all the difference to your returns. Below, we’ve compared the top prices available from trusted betting sites for the upcoming clash between Arsenal and Brighton.

Arsenal vs Brighton
Bookmaker1X2Visit Site
NetBet
5/5
Home 33/100
Draw 19/5
Away 13/2
Visit Site
Bet365
5/5
Home 19/50
Draw 4/1
Away 13/2
Visit Site
10bet
5/5
Home 39/100
Draw 4/1
Away 71/10
Visit Site
Ladbrokes
5/5
Home 2/5
Draw 4/1
Away 11/2
Visit Site
Coral
5/5
Home 2/5
Draw 4/1
Away 11/2
Visit Site

Bet Builder Suggestions

If you really want to see a return, Bet Builders are a great way to combine different markets into one high-odds selection. These are risky, but when they land, the payout can be massive.

Here are some long-shot Bet Builder ideas for the Arsenal vs Brighton clash:

  • Arsenal to Win + Over 2.5 Goals + Both Teams to Score (Combined odds: 15/2+)
  • Brighton to Score First + Arsenal to Win + Over 3.5 Goals (Combined odds: 11/1+)
  • Draw at Half-Time + Arsenal to Win + BTTS (Combined odds: 14/1+)

Quick Betting Angles

These Quick Betting Angles cut through the noise and turn stats into actionable insights for Arsenal vs Brighton on 27 December 2025 at 3:00 PM.

  1. Betting Angle (Both Teams to Score): Both teams are expected to score in this fixture. Arsenal’s potent attack at the Emirates is well-documented, but key defensive injuries to players like Gabriel and Ben White open the door for Brighton. The visitors, despite their own injury woes, still possess attacking quality with Danny Welbeck and Minteh, making it likely they will breach the Gunners’ makeshift backline.
  2. Betting Angle (Total Goals): A high-scoring match with over 2.5 goals is strongly anticipated. This is driven by Arsenal’s relentless attacking style at home, where they average nearly 2.8 goals per game, and a Brighton defence weakened by numerous key absences.
  3. Betting Angle (Home Advantage): Arsenal’s home advantage at the Emirates is significant; they have turned it into a fortress where they consistently score freely and dominate matches, a trend that is expected to continue against an injury-hit Brighton side.

Where to Watch Arsenal vs Brighton

TV channel:

UK broadcasting regulations, known as the “3pm blackout,” prevent Premier League games from being shown live at 3pm on Saturdays to support lower-league attendance. As a result, only matches outside this window are televised.

Online streaming:

Premier League games at 3pm on Saturdays are not available for live streaming in the UK; streaming is only allowed for games scheduled outside this time.

Free highlights:

Highlights of 3pm Premier League games will be available shortly after the final whistle on the Premier League YouTube channel and broadcaster apps. Full highlights will also be shown later on BBC’s Match of the Day.