AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Bet Builder & Prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
Our Bet Builder
3 legs
1
Total Goals
Under 4.5 Goals
2/7
2
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1/2
3
Match Result
Liverpool to win
11/10
Combined Bet Builder odds 4.16
Bet £10, compare your returns
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Why we’ve picked these legs
Under 4.5 Goals 2/7
The 4.5-goals line, taken on the day’s prices. A judgement call on the day rather than a stats one, and 2/7 is the pick of the prices.
The numbers behind this pick
AFC Bournemouth goals per game1.5
Liverpool goals per game1.5
Form is each side’s recent competitive matches, the count shown per stat (reaches into last season before a ball is kicked). Source: our own match data.
Over 2.5 Goals 1/2
Goals follow both of these sides around. 75 per cent of AFC Bournemouth’s last 4 went over 2.5 and 50 per cent of Liverpool’s did the same, with the pair averaging 3.0 goals a match between them. There is no hidden value at 1/2; it is simply the right call for how this fixture shapes up.
The numbers behind this pick
AFC Bournemouth over 2.5 % (last 4)75%
AFC Bournemouth goals per game1.5
Liverpool over 2.5 % (last 4)50%
Liverpool goals per game1.5
Form is each side’s recent competitive matches, the count shown per stat (reaches into last season before a ball is kicked). Source: our own match data.
Liverpool to win 11/10
Liverpool arrive with the stronger recent record: 1 win from their last 4 in all competitions, while AFC Bournemouth have lost 1 of 4. The venue split backs it up: 1 win, 1 draw and no defeats on the road. Liverpool have won 4 of the last 5 meetings too. Liverpool drew 0-0 with Fulham on Saturday. The price is about right at 11/10. This pick is about the pattern of the match, not the margin.
The numbers behind this pick
AFC Bournemouth last 4 (W-D-L)0-3-1
AFC Bournemouth at home0-2-0
Liverpool last 4 (W-D-L)1-3-0
Liverpool away1-1-0
AFC Bournemouth wins in last 5 H2H1
Form is each side’s recent competitive matches, the count shown per stat (reaches into last season before a ball is kicked). Source: our own match data.
Match DNA
last 10 · all comps
Head-to-head profile
AFC Bournemouth Liverpool
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
AFC Bournemouth Liverpool
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
Stat centre: AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool
2026/27 is only 4 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 4 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 4 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
AFC Bournemouth
0W 3D 1L
Liverpool
1W 3D 0L
The record
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 0-3-1 | 1-3-0 |
| AFC Bournemouth home / Liverpool away | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Junior Kroupi AFC Bournemouth
13
Marcus Tavernier AFC Bournemouth
7
Hugo Ekitiké Liverpool
11
Cody Gakpo Liverpool
7
Goals per game
AFC Bournemouth Liverpool
1.5
Scored / game
1.5
1.75
Conceded / game
1
0
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
1
Overall and venue split
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.75 | 1 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 1.5 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
Venue row is AFC Bournemouth at home and Liverpool away.
Goals-line hit rate
AFC Bournemouth Liverpool
100%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
Overall and venue split
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 50% | 50% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
75%
Both teams to score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
Over 1.5 goals
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 100% | 50% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 100% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (AFC Bournemouth’s view)
BOU3-2LIV2026-01-24 · Vitality StadiumWon
LIV4-2BOU2025-08-15 · AnfieldLost
BOU0-2LIV2025-02-01 · Vitality StadiumLost
LIV3-0BOU2024-09-21 · AnfieldLost
BOU0-4LIV2024-01-21 · Vitality StadiumLost
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| AFC Bournemouth wins / draws / Liverpool wins | 1-0-4 |
| Goals (AFC Bournemouth / Liverpool) | 5 / 15 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 4.0 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
2026/27 so far, 4 played
| AFC Bournemouth | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15 | 8 |
| Points | 3 | 6 |
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 0-3-1 | 1-3-0 |
| Goals for-against | 6-7 | 6-4 |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
Points and goals
AFC Bournemouth Liverpool
3
Points
6
6
Goals for
6
7
Goals against
4
Latest match odds
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Home Win
AFC Bournemouth
85/40
best price · BoyleSports
Draw
Draw
11/4
best price · Midnite
Away Win
Liverpool
11/10
best price · BoyleSports
Match pulse
market vs form
44%
Liverpool favourites
AFC Bournemouth win
31%
Draw
25%
Liverpool win
44%
Liverpool win, our form model vs the market price
market 44%
0%form 25%60%
The market makes Liverpool favourites and our form numbers broadly agree; nothing in the 1X2 is mispriced by more than a point or two, so the value hunting happens in the builder markets higher up the page.
Full match stats
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
Form: last 4 matches
| AFC Bournemouth (last 4) | Liverpool (last 4) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 0-3-1 | 1-3-0 |
| Home / away split | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.75 | 1 |
| BTTS % | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 75% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
Rolling recent-form window; crosses into last season until the new season has played enough matches.
Head-to-head: last 5 meetings
2026-01-24 · AFC Bournemouth 3-2 LiverpoolVitality Stadium
2025-08-15 · Liverpool 4-2 AFC BournemouthAnfield
2025-02-01 · AFC Bournemouth 0-2 LiverpoolVitality Stadium
2024-09-21 · Liverpool 3-0 AFC BournemouthAnfield
2024-01-21 · AFC Bournemouth 0-4 LiverpoolVitality Stadium
This season : league position
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Bournemouth | 15 | 3 | 6-7 |
| Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 6-4 |
Leading scorers, last season
AFC Bournemouth: Junior Kroupi13 league goals in 2025/26
AFC Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier7 league goals in 2025/26
Liverpool: Hugo Ekitiké11 league goals in 2025/26
Liverpool: Cody Gakpo7 league goals in 2025/26
Each club’s leading league scorers from last season. Goals are 2025/26 totals for the club shown.
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.