Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Hull City v Manchester United, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Manchester United arrive with the stronger recent record: 5 wins from their last 10 in all competitions, while Hull City have lost 1 of 5. The venue split backs it up: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats on the road. There is no great edge in the number, 1/2 implies 67 per cent and form says 35, but the leg fits the shape of the match and keeps the builder coherent.
The recent pattern points low. Only 0 per cent of Hull City’s last 5 cleared 3.5 goals, Manchester United sit at 40 per cent, and the two have kept 5 clean sheets between them across the window. At 1/2 the price implies 67 per cent and the form numbers say 80. We are happy to take that side of the line.
Both attacks are ticking and neither defence is watertight. BTTS has landed in 40 per cent of Hull City’s recent matches and 60 per cent of Manchester United’s, with just 5 clean sheets between the sides in that time. There is no great edge in the number, 1/1 implies 50 per cent and form says 50, but the leg fits the shape of the match and keeps the builder coherent.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
The 2026/27 season has not started. These are 2025/26 and recent-form numbers, not 2026/27 form. They update once the new season is under way.
Recent form (last 10 matches, end of 2025/26 plus pre-season, all competitions)
The record
| Hull City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 2-2-1 | 5-3-2 |
| Hull City home / Manchester United away | 0-1-0 | 2-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Hull City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.2 | 2 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 0 | 2.25 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 0 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
Venue row is Hull City at home and Manchester United away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Hull City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 0% | 40% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Hull City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
Last 5 meetings (Hull City’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Hull City wins / draws / Manchester United wins | 1-2-2 |
| Goals (Hull City / Manchester United) | 2 / 4 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 1.2 |
| Both teams scored | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% |
2025/26 final table
| Hull City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6 (Championship) | 3 |
| Points | 73 | 71 |
| Played | 46 | 38 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 21-10-15 | 20-11-7 |
| Goals for-against | 70-66 | 69-50 |
| Goal difference | +4 | +19 |
Hull City played in the Championship, so their 2025/26 Championship record is shown. Source: football-data.co.uk.
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Hull City win, our form model vs the market price
The bookmakers favour Manchester United, but our model gives Hull City a 30% chance of winning. The odds of 15/2 suggest Hull have only about a 13% chance, so our model believes they are being underestimated. That makes Hull City at 15/2 look like good value.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Hull City (last 5) | Manchester United (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 2-2-1 | 5-3-2 |
| Home / away split | 0-1-0 | 2-2-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.2 | 2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| BTTS % | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City (Championship) | 6 | 73 | 70-66 |
| Manchester United | 3 | 71 | 69-50 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.