Premier League · Friday 28 August 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Crystal Palace v Manchester City, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Crystal Palace and Manchester City are combining for 3.5 goals a game between them this season, comfortably shy of 4.5. That gap is the cushion for the rest of the builder, priced at 1/5.
Goals follow both of these sides around: 90 per cent of Crystal Palace’s last 10 finished over 2.5, and 80 per cent of Manchester City’s did the same, the pair putting through 3.5 goals a match on average. That form outstrips what 2/3 is asking of it, and the price still looks bigger than it should.
Manchester City land in the better shape: five wins from their last 10 in all competitions against five defeats for Crystal Palace. The away record backs it up too, one win, two draws and just one defeat on the road, and City have taken three of the last five meetings between these two. They arrive on the back of a 2-1 win over AFC Bournemouth on Sunday, and 11/8 still looks a touch generous set against all of that.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
2026/27 is only 1 game(s) old, so this is a small sample: the last 1 shown, read alongside late-2025/26 form.
Recent form (last 1 matches (2026/27 so far), all competitions)
The record
| Crystal Palace | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 3-2-5 | 5-3-2 |
| Crystal Palace home / Manchester City away | 2-1-1 | 1-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.80 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Crystal Palace | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 2.75 | 1.75 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 2 | 1.3 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
Venue row is Crystal Palace at home and Manchester City away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Crystal Palace | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 40% | 30% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Crystal Palace | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 60% | 70% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 100% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
Last 5 meetings (Crystal Palace’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Crystal Palace wins / draws / Manchester City wins | 1-1-3 |
| Goals (Crystal Palace / Manchester City) | 5 / 13 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.6 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
2026/27 so far, 1 played
| Crystal Palace | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 16 | 8 |
| Points | 0 | 3 |
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 0-0-1 | 1-0-0 |
| Goals for-against | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Crystal Palace win, our form model vs the market price
The market leans Manchester City, but the recent form reads it differently: it makes the Crystal Palace win a 25 per cent chance, more than the best price allows for. That difference is the value, and it is why 9/2 about Crystal Palace catches the eye.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Crystal Palace (last 10) | Manchester City (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 3-2-5 | 5-3-2 |
| Home / away split | 2-1-1 | 1-2-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.5 | 2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2 | 1.3 |
| BTTS % | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 90% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 16 | 0 | 0-2 |
| Manchester City | 8 | 3 | 2-1 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.