Saturday 22 August 2026, 17:30 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Brentford v Tottenham Hotspur, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Goals follow both of these sides around. 90 per cent of Brentford’s last 10 went over 1.5 and 80 per cent of Tottenham Hotspur’s did the same, with the pair averaging 3.7 goals a match between them. Our numbers make it 85 per cent; at 1/5 the market implies 83. That margin is the value.
The recent pattern points low. Only 40 per cent of Brentford’s last 10 cleared 3.5 goals, Tottenham Hotspur sit at 10 per cent, and the two have kept 7 clean sheets between them across the window. At 1/2 the price implies 68 per cent and the form numbers say 75. We are happy to take that side of the line.
One clean sheet looks likelier than none here. BTTS has missed in 40 per cent of Brentford’s last 10 and 40 per cent of Tottenham Hotspur’s, and the sides have drawn a blank 2 times between them in the window. There is no great edge in the number, 11/8 implies 42 per cent and form says 40, but the leg fits the shape of the match and keeps the builder coherent.
Tottenham Hotspur arrive with the stronger recent record: 5 wins from their last 10 in all competitions, while Brentford have lost 2 of 10. The venue split backs it up: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats on the road. Tottenham Hotspur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings too. There is no great edge in the number, 7/4 implies 36 per cent and form says 35, but the leg fits the shape of the match and keeps the builder coherent.
Head-to-head profile
Five signals, both sides, scaled to the same ring. Defence is inverted, further out means fewer goals conceded. Exact numbers live in the stat centre below.
Momentum, points collected, last 10
Cumulative points, oldest match first (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). Hover or tap the lines for each result.
The 2026/27 season has not started. These are 2025/26 and recent-form numbers, not 2026/27 form. They update once the new season is under way.
Recent form (last 10 matches, end of 2025/26 plus pre-season, all competitions)
The record
| Brentford | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 4-4-2 | 5-4-1 |
| Brentford home / Tottenham Hotspur away | 2-3-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.90 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Brentford | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 2.8 | 1.67 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 0.8 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
Venue row is Brentford at home and Tottenham Hotspur away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Brentford | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 80% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 40% | 10% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Brentford | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 40% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
Last 5 meetings (Brentford’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 5 |
| Brentford wins / draws / Tottenham Hotspur wins | 0-1-4 |
| Goals (Brentford / Tottenham Hotspur) | 3 / 10 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 2.6 |
| Both teams scored | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
2025/26 final table
| Brentford | Tottenham Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9 | 17 |
| Points | 53 | 41 |
| Played | 38 | 38 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 14-11-13 | 10-11-17 |
| Goals for-against | 55-52 | 48-57 |
| Goal difference | +3 | -9 |
Points and goals
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Tottenham Hotspur win, our form model vs the market price
The bookmakers make Brentford favourites, and our model agrees. There is no obvious value in the match-result market, as the prices are very close to our own estimates. The better value is likely to be found in the bet builder markets instead.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Brentford (last 10) | Tottenham Hotspur (last 10) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 4-4-2 | 5-4-1 |
| Home / away split | 2-3-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| BTTS % | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 9 | 53 | 55-52 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 17 | 41 | 48-57 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.