Premier League · Friday 21 August 2026, 20:00 kick-off
Adrian Dane's bet builder for Arsenal v Coventry City, with the combined price compared across the top bookmakers and the reasoning behind every leg.
The same bet builder priced at our top bookmakers, best price highlighted.
Arsenal arrive with the stronger recent record: 7 wins from their last 10 in all competitions, while Coventry City have lost 0 of 3. The venue split backs it up: 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in front of their own crowd. Arsenal have won 4 of the last 4 meetings too. There is no great edge in the number, 1/5 implies 85 per cent and form says 35, but the leg fits the shape of the match and keeps the builder coherent.
Both attacks are ticking and neither defence is watertight. BTTS has landed in 50 per cent of Arsenal’s recent matches and 33 per cent of Coventry City’s, with just 7 clean sheets between the sides in that time. At 6/4 the price implies 40 per cent and the form numbers say 42. We are happy to take that side of the line.
The 2026/27 season has not started. These are 2025/26 and recent-form numbers, not 2026/27 form. They update once the new season is under way.
Recent form (last 10 matches, end of 2025/26 plus pre-season, all competitions)
The record
| Arsenal | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent W-D-L | 7-1-2 | 2-1-0 |
| Arsenal home / Coventry City away | 4-1-2 | 0-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.33 |
Top scorers, 2025/26 season
Goals per game
Overall and venue split
| Arsenal | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored / game (overall) | 1.9 | 1.67 |
| Scored / game (venue) | 1.71 | 0 |
| Conceded / game (overall) | 0.9 | 0.33 |
| Conceded / game (venue) | 1 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
Venue row is Arsenal at home and Coventry City away.
Goals-line hit rate
Overall and venue split
| Arsenal | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 (overall) | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 (overall) | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 (venue) | 57% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 (overall) | 30% | 33% |
Share of recent matches that went over each line. Both sides above 60% on Over 2.5 is the market to watch.
Form signals (both sides blended)
Dials blend both sides’ recent rates. They read the form, not a bookmaker price.
Both teams to score
| Arsenal | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS % (overall) | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS % (venue) | 43% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
Last 4 meetings (Arsenal’s view)
Head-to-head record
| Meetings | 4 |
| Arsenal wins / draws / Coventry City wins | 4-0-0 |
| Goals (Arsenal / Coventry City) | 13 / 2 |
| Avg goals per meeting | 3.8 |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
2025/26 final table
| Arsenal | Coventry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1 | 1 (Championship) |
| Points | 85 | 95 |
| Played | 38 | 46 |
| Won-Drawn-Lost | 26-7-5 | 28-11-7 |
| Goals for-against | 71-27 | 97-45 |
| Goal difference | +44 | +52 |
Coventry City played in the Championship, so their 2025/26 Championship record is shown. Source: football-data.co.uk.
Full-time result. Best prices across the market.
Coventry City win, our form model vs the market price
The bookmakers favour Arsenal, but our form model gives Coventry City a 43% chance of winning. The best odds suggest Coventry have only around a 6% chance, so our model rates their chances much higher. That makes Coventry City at 16/1 look like good value.
Everything behind the picks. Tap any section to expand.
| Arsenal (last 10) | Coventry City (last 3) | |
|---|---|---|
| Recent form (W-D-L) | 7-1-2 | 2-1-0 |
| Home / away split | 4-1-2 | 0-1-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.9 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.9 | 0.33 |
| BTTS % | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals % | 60% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Pos | Pts | GF-GA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1 | 85 | 71-27 |
| Coventry City (Championship) | 1 | 95 | 97-45 |
18+ only. Odds correct at time of publication and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply to all offers shown.