World Cup, F1, Darts & Wimbledon Betting Tips: A Monster Weekend of Sport

Episode 3 · Friday 26 June 2026 · 33 min · With Adrian Dane & Roy Brindley

World Cup, F1, Darts & Wimbledon Betting Tips: A Monster Weekend of Sport
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The World Cup rolls on, but this is a monster weekend of sport right across the board. In episode three of Odds-On, Roy the Boy joins Adrian Dane to go value-hunting far beyond the football: the World Cup Golden Boot, where Harry Kane at 9/1 looks the each-way play, plus Scotland sweating on the third-place spots and the goal-difference maths that decides them. Then it’s out to the Austrian Grand Prix and a narrow-margin track, the US Darts Masters and a tasty eight-leg acca, Saturday’s racing and the Northumberland Plate, and the opening Wimbledon markets with Sabalenka and Sinner on top. There’s even a look at politics as a betting market and a Tour de France preview to come. Prices as of recording. 18+, please gamble responsibly.

In this episode

  • 00:00 Cold open: welcome and safer-gambling note
  • 00:35 World Cup Golden Boot: Messi, Mbappé, Haaland and Kane at 9/1
  • 04:30 Scotland sweating on the third-place spots
  • 06:30 Formula 1: the Austrian Grand Prix and the winning-margin angle
  • 12:00 US Darts Masters: first-round mismatches and the eight-leg acca
  • 17:30 Saturday’s racing: small fields and a Newcastle debutant
  • 21:00 Wimbledon markets take shape: Sabalenka, Sinner and a 40/1 fairytale
  • 25:30 Politics as a market: Reform, Labour and the next election
  • 30:00 Looking ahead: Tour de France, Love Island and sign-off

This week’s selections

HostSelectionMarketPrice
Adrian DaneHarry Kane, each-way for the Golden BootWorld Cup Golden Boot (e/w)9/1
RoyAustrian Grand Prix winning margin 5 to 10 secondsWinning margin5/2
Adrian DaneGian van Veen, each-way in the outright (US Darts Masters)Outright Winner (e/w)7/1
RoyPaper Cut, the 4.23 at Newcastle (Sat)Win (debut)
RoySerena Williams, each-way for the fairytale (Wimbledon)Outright Winner (e/w)40/1
RoyReform UK to win the most seats (lean)Next election — most seats4/7

Prices quoted at recording (Thu 25 June 2026) and will move. Always check the live price before betting. No bet is a certainty. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org, or the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133.

Around the grounds: the full board

Football — World Cup Golden Boot

Adrian’s pick is Harry Kane each-way at 9/1 — he missed a sitter last time out, but a double against Panama would be no surprise. The market in full:

PlayerPrice
Lionel Messi (favourite)7/4
Kylian Mbappé2/1
Erling Haaland6/1
Harry Kane9/1
Cristiano Ronaldo22/1

Also flagged: an Argentina v Jordan bet builder at 7/1 (Argentina to win, Messi to score anytime, no on both teams to score, plus a card for Amar Jameis — check that card leg before taking it), and Scotland to qualify from the group at around 6/4, a roughly 42% model chance. Match prices in passing: Portugal 4/5, Colombia 7/2, the draw 27/10; Argentina 1/6 on to beat Jordan.

Formula 1 — Austrian Grand Prix

Roy’s only bet of the race is the winning margin between 5 and 10 seconds at 5/2. The track historically produces narrow margins, and recent time penalties are pushing leaders to win by more than five seconds as a cushion — which is why he thinks the bookies’ 21/20 on under 5 seconds is too short. Second angle: go under on the number of cars finishing, with a European heatwave and back-of-grid reliability (Aston Martin singled out) in mind.

Darts — US Darts Masters

Adrian’s pick is Gian van Veen each-way in the outright at 7/1. Roy’s own play is an eight-leg accumulator backing the eight top-ranked pros in their first-round matches. The outright board:

PlayerPrice
Luke Littler13/10
Gerwyn Price13/2
Gian van Veen7/1
Jonny Clayton (a good outside shot)17/2

Horse racing — Newcastle

One tip: Paper Cut in the 4.23 at Newcastle on Saturday — a word-of-mouth gallops job, no price quoted. An Andrew Balding two-year-old by Night of Thunder, owned by King Power Racing and ridden by PJ McDonald, making his debut on the all-weather. With small fields across the rest of the cards, Roy is otherwise a watcher or exchange layer this week.

Tennis — Wimbledon

A market overview rather than a firm pick, with a value flag on Serena Williams each-way at an industry-top 40/1 for the fairytale comeback — a romantic bet both rate as unlikely. The boards:

Women’s outrightPrice
Aryna Sabalenka (favourite)7/2
Elena Rybakina6/1
Mirra Andreeva7/1
Iga Swiatek7/1
Men’s outrightPrice
Jannik Sinner (industry-top 8/13)2/1 on
Novak Djokovic11/2
Alexander Zverev (third favourite)10/1 bar

Roy’s angle: watch for a big-priced outsider in the heat, a Raducanu-type treble-digit winner.

Politics — next general election (most seats)

Roy’s lean is Reform UK to win the most seats at 4/7 — though he flags it as a slow-maturing market with money tied up for around two years, and inflation eroding the return, so he sees little value backing a short price now. The market as called:

PartyPrice
Reform UK4/7
Labour6/4
Conservatives9/2
Restore Britain12/1
Greens18/1

Cycling & TV — what’s next

Tour de France is a preview only, with full tips promised next week: Tadej Pogačar 3/1 on (favourite), Jonas Vingegaard second favourite, and young Paul Seixas (19) worth watching as an outsider for stages or even outright. The race starts Saturday 4 July in Barcelona. On Love Island: guidance only, no pick — don’t bet on couples, favour the bigger-priced selections, and treat it as a very volatile market.

Prices quoted at recording (Thu 25 June 2026) and will move. Always check the live price before betting. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org.

Transcript

ODDS-ON WITH ADRIAN & ROY — EPISODE 3
World Cup, F1, Darts & Wimbledon Betting Tips
Recorded Thu 25 June 2026 | Hosts: Roy Brindley & Adrian Dane | bestbettingsites.co.uk

Roy: Hello and welcome to the Odds-On podcast, brought to you by bestbettingsites.co.uk. I’m Roy the Boy and I’m joined today, as usual, by my partner in crime Adrian Dane. Now, we’re not Batman and Robin, and truth be told we’re not Iceman and Maverick either, but anyway, we’re going to have some fun and we’re going to be talking sports betting, so you need to be 18 or older to listen to this podcast. Please do always gamble responsibly. And if you believe you may have a gambling issue, please visit GambleAware.org. In fact, if you believe you’ve got the slightest hint of a gambling issue, why not avail yourself of some of the support tools we have on our website. Okay, let’s get stuck in. Adrian, it’s the World Cup. You are in heaven. Are you winning?

Roy: Adrian, don’t know about you, but these kickoff times have got me so confused. It’s like 10 o’clock, midnight, half past one in the morning, two o’clock. But for the sake of how the bookmakers have listed it, Friday, big standout game, France versus Norway. It’s listed as 8pm, I’m sure it is. What do you make of it, and what’s your angle? Because obviously Mr Haaland plays for Norway, as we know. Your angle’s on the golden boot, because these are some major games and teams, and this golden boot’s a really interesting market.

AD: Absolutely. It’s one of my favourite markets. I love betting on this. Lionel Messi’s top with Argentina, as you would imagine, is 7-4. We’ve got Mbappé and Haaland. Mbappé’s 2-1, Haaland’s 6-1. And these two meeting each other and all — it’s going absolutely fantastic. Now, with them both qualified, you’d think, maybe they’ll rest them. But no, with both wanting this golden boot, they’ll definitely both be playing.

Roy: Yeah, so 2-1 Mbappé, 6-1 Haaland. He didn’t get a goal in the FA Cup, of course. You know, I can see how disappointed he was not to score there. Well, the next biggie, obviously, golden boot, talking of that — Harry Kane, 9-1. He’s going to be out again Saturday, Panama versus England.

AD: Well, he missed an absolute sitter in the last game, and you would have bet your house on it. But again, it wouldn’t be unreasonable to expect a double from him in this game. And 9-1 is worth an each-way shout, I believe.

Roy: Yeah, he’s been knocking in left, right and centre domestically, hasn’t he? Okay, got to talk Ronaldo. Sunday, Colombia, Portugal. 22-1 the veteran. What a revelation.

AD: Yeah. After his first game, people were writing him off, and his goal celebrations against Uzbekistan — you’d have thought he’d won the World Cup, to be honest. But it’s telling the world he’s back. 22-1 is probably about right, to be honest. I wouldn’t say Portugal are a one-man team — we’ve got Bruno Fernandes in there — but I think they’re going to struggle. I can’t see them going all the way.

Roy: Yeah, Portugal, Colombia. And that’s relatively tight. Portugal are four to five. But, I mean, Colombia’s only seven to two against, 27 to 10 the draw. So quite a tight contest predicted there. Right. So that leads us to Messi, doesn’t it? Jordan versus Argentina. Overwhelming favourites, obviously. Messi, what price is he for the golden boot? Seven to four favourite. Come on, put your head on the block. I mean, a lot of this depends on who’s going to go latest into the competition. You know, this would be a cricket score, wouldn’t it? Jordan-Argentina, for starters.

AD: You would think so, wouldn’t you? It’s one of them. You’re looking at that. Unfortunately, the game’s not played on paper, as you know. But hat-trick, I’d be backing him on that market. I don’t think the odds are going to be that special, though. I’d be thinking about 2-1, 3-1 for a hat-trick there. So, again, I think the bookmakers are pricing this game in at 7-4. But I’d back him to get a few goals.

Roy: All right, so 7-4 for the golden boot. And Argentina are 1-6 on to beat Jordan. I’m looking at one of those bet builders here. Interesting. Argentina to win the game. Also in the bet builder: Messi to score a goal at any time. No for an outcome of both teams to score a goal. And then to be shown a card. It’s always the googlies, always the last one on the list of these bet builders. Amar Jameis to be shown a card. No, anything? No — first thing, I presume this guy plays for Jordan.

AD: I couldn’t tell you, to be honest with you.

Roy: Right. Yeah, a bit of research needed there before you go taking a bit of the 7-1 on that bet builder. Okay. When do we get to the next round of this competition? And when are we going to know who’s in the knockout phases of the 2026 World Cup?

AD: Well, as Scotland fans will know, we’ll know on Sunday. This is because eight of the 12 third-place teams will qualify. Scotland are in that group, and that starts on Sunday. And then we have a week of the round of 32, and then we get the last-16 week on Sunday.

Roy: Okay, I’m going to take a look at the teams that are in a bit of a sweat now — sad state of affairs. The ranking of third-placed teams is currently headed by Bosnia and Herzegovina. Apologies for that pronunciation. Sweden, Croatia, South Korea, Algeria, Paraguay, Scotland and Cape Verde are currently more likely to qualify for the knockout stages than Belgium, Congo, Ecuador and Senegal. Wasn’t Senegal good at one stage? Am I mad? I thought they were a bit of a team at one point.

AD: Yeah, I think it was a couple of World Cups ago they did well. I mean, looking at that list, though, Roy, what you’ve got to remember is Scotland are there with three games played, while a lot of the teams around them have only played two. So Scotland with the minus-three goal difference — that is so painful for them. I was looking earlier on the Opta stats: on three points, minus three, it’s a 42% chance of qualifying. That’s what Scotland are looking at now. If it had been minus-two goal difference, it would have been a 63% chance of qualifying. So Scotland are up against it.

Roy: So you’re telling me that — apologies — you’re saying there’s a 42% chance of Scotland. So in betting terms, it’s a six-to-four shot.

AD: Yeah. Again, the nerves for the Scotland camp must be rattled. I think many of them expect to go home, but miracles do happen in football, Roy.

Roy: Good luck to the Tartan Army. Okay, should we try another sport? Because there’s plenty going on this weekend.

AD: Absolutely. And again, I think this is where you shine, Roy. Okay, let’s change sport now. Let’s move on to Formula One. I know it’s a sport close to your heart, Roy. It’s the Austrian Grand Prix, which is on Sunday. Over to you, Roy.

Roy: Yeah, Formula One is my bag. I wouldn’t say I’m a geeky Formula One guy — just from a betting perspective, it’s been really kind to me these last 10 years or so. The first thing to look for in Formula One is the type of track it is, what the downforce levels are. You can categorise tracks as low, medium and high downforce. And basically, the longer the straights, the lower the downforce, because they want to make the cars go faster. So this weekend’s venue in Austria is very similar technically to Monza, Baku and Spa. The problem is there’s been no Grand Prix this year at those three tracks. So the best form point we have is Canada, and Mercedes dominated in Canada. George did have the misfortune of breaking down there, but I think he had the race at his mercy, as it was Kimi Antonelli, his Mercedes teammate, took the contest.

Roy: There’s a few things that stand out for me. At the start of the year, there’s absolutely no way you’d have said that Lewis Hamilton would be a shorter price for pretty much any race than his teammate Charles Leclerc. And I don’t think many people saw Kimi Antonelli outperforming George Russell, but that has been the case. We’re coming up to the eighth race and Kimi Antonelli’s strung together five victories, so he’s the favourite to win this weekend. And to be honest, the betting tells its own story: 7-4 Kimi Antonelli, 3-1 his teammate George Russell. Lewis Hamilton, like I say, a shorter price at 7-2 to beat his teammate Charles Leclerc at 7-1. Max Verstappen, because, well, he could drive a Ford Cortina around there and still be competitive. And then we’ve got the two McLaren drivers, Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri. Beyond them — which is basically three and a half teams — no one else counts. There will not be a winner from any other team, I believe, this year.

Roy: From a betting viewpoint of this race, I can’t see too much, but I am drawn to the winning margin. This type of track doesn’t string them out too much. And if you look at the winning margins historically, it makes for interesting reading. So last year, 2.7 seconds; the year before, 1.9; and then there was an anomaly — Max at one second, in a vastly superior car. Then we’ve got Bottas winning at 2.7, Verstappen at 2.6, Verstappen again at 1.5. And even before that, Valtteri Bottas at less than a second. So every indication that this is going to be won by a narrow margin. And then you look at this year’s results, and that kind of buggers up your algorithm, because Barcelona last week was won by 19.5. Monaco, which is always won by a short margin, was 6.2. Canada — like I said, lots of similarities with this track — was won by 10.7 seconds.

Roy: I believe, from a betting standpoint, that a winning distance between 5 and 10 seconds is overpriced — it’s a 5-to-2 shot. Now, bookmakers, understandably, given the course form, make under 5 seconds a 21-to-20 punt. But I think if you throw everything into the mix, five-to-two for this winning margin makes a lot of sense. Lots of time penalties recently — a lot of people getting five seconds added to their time at the end of the race. And it’s a bit of a just-in-case scenario now: if you’re going to win, you kind of want to win by more than five seconds, just in case you’ve got a post-race penalty for something or other. So, my one and only bet this weekend, in the race that will be dominated by — obviously — Mercedes. The only bet for me in this race is that winning margin, between five and 10 seconds. Lewis Hamilton, just one more last word — four podiums this year. He’s back on the top step; he won last time out in Barcelona. And Charles Leclerc, the golden boy at Ferrari, just the two podiums. Who could have predicted that?

Roy: Another angle, possibly: I would predict quite a few retirements in this race as well. I’ve seen so many of them, and it’s all the teams at the bottom — Aston Martin continue to struggle, rarely getting two cars over the line. So maybe, for a second bet opportunity, go low on the number of race finishes, particularly because we’ve got a heatwave over Europe right now. And that hot weather plays a lot of havoc with those engines, those turbos, those ECUs, etc. So another angle there could be the total number of finishes. I’ve mumbled on a lot there, Adrian, but that’s how I see the Austrian Grand Prix. And I just want to say, thank you for asking.

Roy: Adrian, darts. I think we’re both darts heads, aren’t we? The US Darts Masters. Luke Humphries won it last year. I think he beat the North American guy, Leonard Gates, if I recall — might be wrong. We’ve had events in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Copenhagen. This World Series of Darts roadshow continues to roll. Madison Square Garden — and not the huge stadium, it’s a little room off to the side of it. But even so, the crowd do seem enthusiastic. It’s going to be televised. Is it on, Adrian?

AD: Yes, it is, mate. The action starts on Friday, I believe. We’ve got the American qualifiers up first, and then we’ll get the big boys involved at the weekend.

Roy: Yeah, well, we’ve got the draw already. First round, Luke Littler takes on David Cameron, the Canadian. Now, David Cameron won the World Seniors Masters in 2022. So we’ve got a bit of an age gap there — a 56-year-old takes him on. How old is Luke now? Is he 20 yet?

AD: I think he’s 19.

Roy: Very wealthy young man for 19. Yeah, indeed, he’s 19. These matches can, obviously and regularly, be a real mismatch. And I’ll just go through the first-round games, then. Josh Rock versus Jim Long, the Canadian player. Gerwyn Price takes on Braden Hall — I’ve got to say, I’ve never heard of another Canadian. Veteran James Wade against Adam Savada; Luke Humphries, Leonard Gates; Stephen Bunting’s got Alex Spellman; Gian van Veen plays the little-known Fred Kruger; and Jonny Clayton has got Gary Mawson. Is this really the case — that we have eight absolute whitewashes and we just quite simply back the eight recognised top-ranking pros in an accumulator?

AD: Well, I’m surprised you’ve never heard of Freddy Krueger. I still have nightmares about him to this day. But no.

Roy: I’m still laughing at David Cameron.

AD: Oh, but again, they’re almost exhibition matches, these, to be honest, my friend. And again, you only need to look at the betting. You’ve got Luke Littler at 13-10, Gerwyn Price at thirteen-to-two, van Veen at 7 — and that would be my each-way pick, to be honest. I think the young lad’s always in Littler’s shadow, but on this sort of event… Also, you can’t forget Jonny Clayton at 17-2 — a good outside shot as well.

Roy: Right, so what do you quote me for the competition outright prices?

AD: Yeah, that’s right.

Roy: Okay, I still think I might go for my eight-leg accumulator on first-round matches. First round takes place, well, later today, the 25th, and then we’ve got the quarterfinals, semifinals and finals all on the one day. This field’s only just been confirmed. They’re not really messing around here too much, are they? It’s bish-bash-bosh. Albeit, you know what, it’s a £100,000 prize fund, and £30,000 goes to the winner. Who travels the best? I mean, that could be the question. Who’s got a bit of jet lag? Who’s had too many beers when they’ve arrived? Who’s your long shot? Sounds like Jonny Clayton to me.

AD: I don’t know — Bunting. I’ve seen him posting on his socials. It looks like he was in first class, enjoying his trip and listening to podcasts. He seems very relaxed. So, yeah, I would…

Roy: Well, let’s not forget, Stephen Bunting’s a friend of the site, and you can find a lot of original, novel content from Stephen, who’s been really, really helpful with us. Of course, the big one’s just around the corner next month anyway, the Blackpool event. Some serious stars — probably the second biggest one on the calendar. Is it going to be another Lukla? That’s a new one — we’ll call it the Luklas. The two Lukes. Will it be another sort of exhibition round for those two?

AD: You can’t really see past it. Again, it’s van Veen, you know. He owes a little one, so if the Jaws puts the two of them together, I would expect a classic.

Roy: Josh Rock. Let’s talk Josh Rock. He was going to be the next big thing. Very disappointing in the Premier League. Has he peaked, or is he still going to make that breakthrough — from being exceptionally talented to being a serial major-tournament winner?

AD: To be honest, it reminds me a bit of the stage Bunting went through, especially with the Premier League, bottom of the table. But on his day, the quality of darts is outstanding. I don’t think he’s peaked — I think it’s just one of them lulls that too many players get into.

Roy: Yeah, Gerwyn Price got into the Premier League first time around and never won a match. And then he went on to incredible things. And Peter Wright — you know, let’s not forget Peter Wright. OK, he’s gone now, with great respect; I don’t think he’s coming back. But, I mean, he couldn’t win a final. He went years. He was a veteran by the time he started winning, and then when he started winning, two world championships and a whole lot more. So this game is very much about form horses, isn’t it?

AD: Well, funny you should mention Peter Wright. I was looking at the rankings earlier — he’s down to 34th, you know. And Michael Smith just above him on 33. These are giant names in the sport.

Roy: Two world champions. Two world champions! Well, you’ve got to keep your finger on the pulse. If you’re staying up late, good luck tonight, Dane. I think I am going to play that eight-runner accumulator.

AD: So Roy, talk to me about horses.

Roy: They’ve got four legs and they can run quite quickly. How’s that? Or — I’ve backed too many slow ones? On a serious note, we’re talking after the Lord Mayor’s Show here, aren’t we? Royal Ascot was, as usual, a great occasion. And, you know, we’re not going to have so many Group Ones for a week or two. Exceptionally busy on Saturday, which concerns me with the weather being as hot as it is — transporting horses, asking them to perform, etc. I think it will cool down a bit for the weekend, but I’ve got to say, we’re blighted with small fields this weekend. Plenty of racing Saturday: Newcastle, York, Chester, Windsor, Lingfield, Chepstow, and across in Ireland, the Curragh.

Roy: Newcastle — well, they’ve got two big fields there, and that is because it’s the Northumberland Plate, better known as the Pitmen’s Derby. We’ve got a full 20-runner field for the plate, and we’ve got a 20-runner field for the consolation race. Newcastle, to me — I don’t know, since it went all-weather, I just don’t like it. There’s just something not right about watching horses run down. I can watch them on a beach — you know, I don’t mind some of the beach race meetings that we have, and I’ve attended a few of them — but an artificial surface, predominantly down a straight line, aka Newcastle… But that said, I have had a word for a two-year-old from the Andrew Balding stable, which is going to be sent up to Newcastle on Saturday. It goes in the 4.23. It’s a novice stakes. And James Fanshawe does have a previous winner in the field. But apparently this two-year-old of Andrew Balding’s, Paper Cut, has been burning up the gallops. Now, I don’t know why he’s been sent north; I don’t know why he’s making his debut on the all-weather.

Roy: But he’s by Night of Thunder, an exceptional stallion, and they are expecting big things for this King Power Racing-owned horse. Let’s see who’s booked for the ride: PJ McDonald, bit of a go-to man for Andrew Balding when he goes north. So, the one horse racing bet I’ve got for you for the weekend — Paper Cut. And it’s a word-of-mouth job. Goes in the 4.23 at Newcastle. Personally, can’t see much else elsewhere — the fields are small. Chepstow: six, seven and eight runners.

AD: Mm-hmm.

Roy: Lingfield: five-runner races, four- or five-runner races, a couple of six-runner contests. Is it a case there’s not enough horses to go round? Is it bad planning? That’s what we always say. Is it just a case they’re not going to go on the ground? There’s a four-runner race at Chester as well. Anyway, you’ve got my view on it. Just the one tip for me this week, because it is very much after the Lord Mayor’s Show. Next weekend, the Irish Derby at the Curragh — I might try and make it up there. That’s always a good day. And the Curragh, unlike Epsom — I don’t know, it’s just nowhere near as busy as it used to be. But, I mean, it’s comfortable, whereby you’ll still get crammed into the main grandstand at Epsom — and that’s good, well, that is a bit of a posh cattle market. Adrian, I think I’ve rambled on enough about my horses for this weekend, but quite simply, I’ll be more of a watcher, or maybe even a bit of an exchange layer, than a player.

AD: So, what are your thoughts on tennis, with Wimbledon coming up, Roy?

Roy: Well, yeah, Wimbledon — what can you say? 14 days. Isn’t it amazing that enormous complex is only used 14 days a year for tennis? I’m really staggered. At the same time, they’re knocking down dog tracks all over the place, saying we need them for housing and whatever, you know — and speedway venues — and Wimbledon sits there vacant like the Mary Celeste. But anyway, 14 days it is. Starts on Monday, the 29th of June. It’s going to conclude, as it does, with the men’s final on Sunday, the 12th of July. The big story is Serena Williams. I mean, 44 years of age now, 23-time Grand Slam winner. And she’s got a wild card — the former seven-time Wimbledon champion has a wild card. Tell me, what do you make of Serena Williams? And I think you’ve read somewhere that her sister might be coming back as well?

AD: I think it was rumours, to be honest, Roy — I’ve not heard anything more. No, just to carry on what you’re saying there, it’s one of them romantic bets that’s not likely to happen, but she’s the third most successful of all time at Wimbledon, and I think she’s only one short of Australia’s Margaret Court in that. So I’d like her to win, but I don’t really see it.

Roy: Yeah, well, if you’ve got a crystal ball and you do see her winning — now, one of our betting partners is going some outrageous odds on a lot of the favourites, and also on Serena Williams. So, industry top-priced 40-to-1 Serena Williams for the fairytale comeback. But heading the betting, for obvious reasons — and you’re going to have to forgive me for my pronunciation — but Aryna Sabalenka, the current world number one. She’s been really consistent this year, but she’s not won Wimbledon before. 7-2, market leader this time around.

Roy: Last year’s winner, Elena Rybakina — it was great last year. Really powerful serving, ground strokes were just great. That’s why she thrives on grass, I think. But, I don’t know, is the form there? And then we’ve got seven-to-one joint third favourites: Mirra Andreeva. They don’t make these names any easier, do they? But anyway, the breakthrough star of 2026 is Andreeva. And then I did mention Iga Swiatek before — yeah, the defending champion. She’s not been in great form, Iga Swiatek, but of course, distant form goes a long way. Seven-to-one there. So, yeah, down the card: seven-to-two is the jolly, Aryna Sabalenka; Elena Rybakina, six-to-one. And then, joint third favourites: Iga Swiatek and, of course, Mirra Andreeva. God, I don’t like those names. Should we talk about the men? That would make it a bit easier for me.

AD: Sounds good to me, Roy.

Roy: Jannik Sinner, world number one, defending champion. He has dominated much of this year and is the outstanding, outright betting favourite. Two-to-one on. Once again, one of our betting partners is going industry top, eight-to-13. In his way is the great, the incomparable… How about Djokovic? He’s chasing a 25th Grand Slam title now, and an eighth Wimbledon crown, at 39 years of age. Can he do it? Big question. I think a lot of people would like to see him do it. Many possibly wouldn’t. Those two dominate. I mean, we’re talking the 2s-on and 11-2 — it’s 10-to-1 bar. So, unlike the World Cup, a bit of a close shot, maybe. Third favourite, Alexander Zverev. I mean, he got a major breakthrough at Roland Garros, but he hasn’t been strong at Wimbledon. So, the form’s not in the book on grass, but no one’s going to arrive with more confidence.

Roy: That’s the top three in the tennis. Again, how’s the heat going to play? I mean, the last couple of days have been incredible. If it maintains its current level, I can honestly see a few people proverbially melting down. And maybe this is the year. Maybe we’re overdue another sort of Emma Raducanu-type result, aren’t we? A big treble-digit winner. Maybe this year might be the year. I hope so, because I like to see outsiders do well, particularly in tennis.

AD: Well, as soon as we’ve got most of the sport out of the way, Roy, let’s talk about British politics — everyone’s favourite subject. So, it looks like Andy Burnham’s not going to be facing much competition, and he’s going to be our next Prime Minister. But I was just looking at the odds for who’s going to get the most seats in the next general election. And I’m actually quite surprised to see that Labour are actually favourites. It’s six-to-four, just ahead of the Reform Party at four-to-seven. Conservatives are back at nine-to-two. And Restore Britain and the Green Party, you get nines and 18s on them. Who do you reckon is going to be in charge after the next election, Roy?

Roy: Well, Andy Burnham — who Kemi Badenoch quite cleverly described as a pair of eyelashes and a black T-shirt, and I think that will stick. I mean, you know, he’s really got to turn the ship around. You know, let’s not forget that Labour’s popularity — I mean, landslide two years ago, and now, you know, they’re on the wane. But… Reform’s the story, isn’t it? I mean, it won’t be long before Reform are clear favourites to win the most seats at the next general election. Well, I don’t think so — that’s my opinion on it. I suppose the question now is, when’s Andy Burnham going to be walking into Number 10 as Prime Minister? They’re saying it could be three weeks away, mid-July. He could be the man.

Roy: Look, we’ve got a long way to go — long, long way to go. And certain global events do have an effect on things. I mean, we know this historically with the Conservative Party, with the Falklands War. I mean, Maggie was so unpopular at the time, it was incredible. But one good war later — best of British and all that. And, you know, people do not vote out the ruling party at the time of war. For example — I’m not predicting a war. But there’s plenty of things that could happen. And, you know, because of that, maybe we should look elsewhere. Restore Britain, only 12-to-one. I mean, did anyone even know the phrase ‘Restore Britain’, or the term, or the political party, just a few years ago? You know.

Roy: Once again, I think we’re due an upset, and the days of ‘it’s always a two-horse race’, with the Lib Dems sort of, you know, taking a share of the vote or whatever — I mean, no, this one’s really interesting, but it is a slow-maturing market. And, you know, if you were confident that Reform were going to win the most seats at the next election, do you really want your money tied up for two years? Because, you know, inflation could account for 20% of that money — you know what I mean? At this point, I don’t think there’s any point in backing a shorty to win the most seats. A lot of these markets with the bookmaking firms, I think they’re just a bit of PR — they look good on a press release. Are they taking fortunes? Is anyone weighing in with a hundred-grand bet on Reform or Labour to win most seats next election? Probably not.

AD: So, if you had 5 million, would you be backing Reform?

Roy: I think I would. I really don’t think Labour’s chances are great on the current trajectory.

AD: Yeah.

Roy: And this guy’s got to… I don’t think he’s got to turn the political ship around and change too many policies. Listen, people vote out of their pocket. I mean, the bottom line is, you can say what you like, up and down — if people feel better off, if they have a job, if they feel wealthier, if they’ve got that dream of joining the middle classes, and they’ve got a car in the driveway and a mortgage, and they haven’t got to worry too much, that they can have their week in Malaga at the end of the summer — people are happy. I mean, Starmer went wrong when he cut the subsidies for pensioners on fuel. That was him, and that was one of his first moves, and that was catastrophic. So it’s going to depend on how Burnham performs. But Farage — say what you like about him — he’s a great showman. And Donald Trump was a showman courtesy of The Apprentice. And, you know, let’s not forget Ronald Reagan. People over here knew him as an actor, but ultimately he hosted a very popular chat show for years. And this is why, if Oprah Winfrey was to run for the job in the States, she’d win in a landslide. And that’s the way politics is. And more people can relate to Farage as a person. So, Andy Burnham, you know — the eyelashes and the T-shirt have got to go, and he’s got to be a man of the street rather than a man out of a shop window.

AD: Right, Roy, it’s kind of the end of the road for us. I’ve enjoyed our time together. But before we wrap it up, any other sporting events that we should know about this weekend?

Roy: Well, Love Island’s ongoing, and I love a TV game show, which is what it is. But I am eagerly awaiting it to end, with a family that are pretty much glued to it. Cannot believe that thing’s going to carry on, probably until the 27th of July. I mean, torturous — very similar to politics. If you’re going to have a bet on it… Do not bet couples. Okay, that’s the golden rule of that one. And certainly play the bigger-price selections at this stage. But I’ve never known a TV show that’s been so volatile as that one, from a betting point of view. So that’s ongoing. Of course, the one I’m looking forward to, on a serious note — the Tour de France, the classic cycle race.

Roy: Tadej Pogačar, three-to-one on; his old foe Jonas Vingegaard, second favourite — they’ve finished one-two every year since 2021. Now, I won’t do it this week, we’ll do it next week, because the race starts… it’s a way away, I think it’s July the 4th, in Barcelona. So let’s do that one next week. But there’s definitely going to be some value betting on the Tour de France this year. You’ve got riders that go stage-hunting, and you’ve got Paul Seixas, 19 years of age — he could be a pain in everyone’s side, not just for stages, but outright. So, looking forward to the Tour de France. That’s a long answer to a very short question, but let’s do that next time around. I think I’ll join you in thanking everyone for joining us this week. And, don’t forget those messages. Please always gamble responsibly. Check out the tools we have available at bestbettingsites.co.uk if you think you’ve any hint of some sort of gambling issue. It’s fun and it needs to stay fun. So let’s keep our stakes small. Big smiles, hopefully, next week when we speak again, Adrian. We’ll both have a few more quid in the bank.

AD: Excellent. Thank you very much, Roy.

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Your hosts

  • Adrian Dane

    Adrian Dane

    Football & Predictions

    Thirteen years of research-driven football betting analysis, founder of Whatchan.co.uk and a lifelong fan off the Blundell Park terraces. AD leads on the Premier League, the Champions League and the weekend acca.

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