City Aiming to Bounce Back From Leicester Defeat Against Leeds

Last updated: September 30, 2020 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Saturday, 17:30
Venue: Elland Road
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: DLLWW
Away Form: WWWWL
Last Meeting: Man City 4 – 0 Leeds
Competition: Premier League

Man City have already tasted defeat this season and will be looking to bounce back against high flying Leeds United. Two high pressing sides that play on the front foot in what promises to be a high scoring encounter.

Leeds United are just three games old in the Premier League but look well acquainted with a good aspect of discipline, identity, and purpose with a perfect manager who gets his message across, despite needing a translator.

The Whites’ fanatical support is loving life at the moment, making up for lost time after their 16-year exodus from the top-tier of English football. On the opening weekend of the season, they gave champions Liverpool a mighty scare, scoring three goals at Anfield (Jack Harrison 12′ Patrick Bamford 30′ and Mateusz Klich 66′) but losing the seven-goal thriller 4-3. Their next game was another seven-goal spectacle, the Whites this time being on the right side of a 4-3 scoreline thanks to two goals from Hélder Costa (5′, 57′) and a goal each from Mateusz Klich (41′ P) and Patrick Bamford (50′).

In their third game, they showed their scrappy side, defending well against Yorkshire neighbours Sheffield United in a 1-0 win thanks to a Patrick Bamford goal and the heroics of goalkeeper Illan Meslier who produced a man-of-the-match performance. The 20-year-old Frenchman has kept seven clean sheets in the last ten games. While Patrick Bamford’s goal meant he had scored three goals in three games to make up for his previous poor record of just one goal in 27 appearances in the Premier League.

Their most expensive asset, Rodrigo Moreno, (who gave away the late penalty against Liverpool and substituted at half time against Fulham) is yet to impress since moving to England. Although the Spanish 29-year-old did show glimpses of his ability against Sheffield United, three shots on goal and he was an integral part in the buildup for the goal. The Spaniard won 100% of his defensive duels.

Manchester City had a night to forget the last time out against Brendan Rodger’s Leicester City. Pep Guardiola’s team were thumped 5-2 at home. They started the match well when Riyad Mahrez torpedoed a fierce shot to the top corner in the fourth minute. The Foxes came back, inspired by a Vardy scored hat trick. James Maddison came from the bench to riffle a terrific strike from outside the box to make it four. New acquisition, Nathan Ake headed a corner to reduce the deficit, but the Citizens conceded a third penalty on the night that was converted by Youri Tielemans to make it five. This game the first time in Premier League history that a team had scored three penalties.

Leicester planned to evade the first wave of City high press through possessing rather than hitting the channels early. This tactic could be seen in the first goal when Nampalys Mendy wriggled away from De Bruyne and Fernandinho to open up for Harvey Barnes to run at the frantically backpedalling defence.

The match prompted the immediate purchase of Benfica defender Ruben Dias from Benfica for £62m to add to the £320m that Guardiola has spent on defenders in the last four years. The 23-year old Portuguese man is a huge talent and a definite upgrade to Eric Garcia who was at fault for two of The Foxes’ goals on Sunday.

Brendan Rodgers became the latest man to exploit the flaws in City that seem to have been present for a while. The list of clubs who have taken advantage of these weaknesses is growing longer; Arsenal in the FA Cup, Wolves and Man United in the League, and Lyon in the Champions League.

Team News

Leeds games have been high scoring with goals for and against with two games having seven goals each.

Bamford has scored in each of the last three games.

Bernardo Silva is back in training, but Aguero and Jesus are both out leaving City without a true striker.

The defensive blunders need a quick fix, and it won’t be a surprise if Diaz jumps right into the starting line-up for the Leeds game.

Expected Line-Ups:

Leeds (3-2-4-1): Meslier, Ayling, White, Cooper, Dallas, Strujk, Klich, Alioski, Harrison, Rodrigo, Bramford
Subs: Mliazek, Davis, Douglas, Casey, Stevens, Shackleton, Bogusz, Poveda, Roberts, Costa
Injured: Hernandez, Berardi, Forshaw
Not available:
Man City (4-2-3-1): Ederson, Walker, Diaz, Ake, Mendy, Fernandinho, Rodri, Mahrez, De Bruyne, Foden, Sterling
Subs: Steffen, D.Silva, Zinchenko, Torres, Doyle, Laporte, Delap, Palmer
Injured: Aguero, G.Jesus, Cancelo, Gundogan, B.Silva
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Leeds This Season City This Season
7th League Position 13th
2 (1) Wins (away) 1 (1)
4 – 3 v Fulham Biggest Win 3 – 1 v Wolves
0 (0) Draws (away) 0 (0)
3 – 4 v Liverpool Biggest Defeat 2 – 5 v Leicester City
Bamford (3) Top Goal Scorer De Bruyne (1)
Y0, R0 Discipline Y0, R0
0 Failures to Score 0
33% Clean Sheets 0%
67% Both Teams to Score Games 100%
67% Over 2.5 Goals 100%
33% Under 2.5 Goals 0%
  • Man City and Leeds have faced each other 14 times, Leeds have been the dominant side with six wins against City’s four wins with four draws between them.
  • Manchester City averages 2.5 goals per match against Leeds’s average of 2.67 goals scored per game.
  • Patrick Bamford has netted in all the Premier League games so far this season with the best numbers on the pitch of 4 goal involvement.
  • Injuries for Man City have prompted Sterling to be used as the outright striker but will enjoy the creative services of Kevin De Bruyne who has a goal and an assist so far this season.

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
17/02/2013 FA Cup City 4 – 0 Leeds Toure 5’
22/03/2004 EPL Leeds 2 – 1 City McPhail 23’
22/12/2003 EPL City 1 – 1 Leeds Viduka 24′
11/01/2003 EPL City 2 – 1 Leeds Goater 29’
17/08/2002 EPL Leeds 3 – 0 City Barmby 15’

Conclusion & Betting Tips

We’ve often compared Leeds to marmite, but for the neutrals, the Yorkshire club has already earned their place at the top table and bring welcome entertainment to the Premier League. A spirited performance in defeat at Liverpool, a goal-fest against Fulham and a hard-fought win in the Yorkshire derby. The early signs are that Leeds are here to stay.

Two years ago it was widely believed that a new football dynasty had been created and the “Centurions” would dominate for a decade. A year later that aura of invincibility has gone and after just two games this season, City’s defensive frailties have already been exposed. New boy Ruben Dias is Pep’s solution; he’ll need to settle in fast.

This should be a great game to watch, and we expect plenty of goalscoring chances. Leeds have conceded seven goals and City six. Over 2.5 goals market seems almost a certainty but is priced accordingly @ 4/11. Better value can be found in the multi-scorer market; Sterling is priced @ 11/4 to score two and bet365 are offering 16/1 for Bamford to get two.