Will Liverpool Win Title at Bitter Local Rivals Ground?

Last updated: March 11, 2020 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Monday, 20:00
Venue: Goodison Park
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: WWLDL
Away Form: WWWLW
Last Meeting: Liverpool 1 – 0 Everton
Competition: EPL

Everton face Liverpool in a classic local derby of the two Merseyside teams. The postponement of Manchester City and Arsenal means Liverpool could settle the title at Goodison, a nightmare scenario for The Toffees. Can Everton delay the inevitable?

Liverpool could win the Premier League for the first time in thirty years if they win and Manchester City lose to Burnley on Saturday. The Toffees played a part in denying The Reds the title last season holding them to a goalless draw here. This year, Everton can at best hope to delay the title celebrations for a few more days.

Carlo Ancelloti returned to Stamford Bridge for the first time in over a decade as an opposition manager in the 4 – 0 loss to Chelsea. The total capitulation by the Italian’s team leaves Everton six points away from fifth place and a possible Champions League slot. A European football expert himself with three Champions League titles to his name, the Toffees fraternity would be exited to achieve European football to see what their high-profile manager could do with the chance.

The designated 4-4-2 formation has been in use since the 60-year old graced the Merseyside outfit, a system that has worked wonders for them in the attacking sense but has major defensive setbacks. A side that has had no away clean sheet in 14 games and conceded at least two goals in 9 of these matches.

The youthful Everton spine could use some experience within the side; the majority of the first team are below 26, which may explain the lack of consistency at times. However, with youth comes raw brilliance and Everton have some excellent prospects in their team. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the team’s star man with his career-high of 14 goals a significant milestone for the young England attacker. 22-year-old Richarlison is also producing the goods with ten goals in 27 games.

Everton have not won against Liverpool in 20 encounters in a period of nearly ten years, dating back to October 2010. Their visitor’s last goal at this stadium was in October 2015.

A thirty years wait for a title at Anfield is almost over with the only threat to Liverpool claiming that elusive crown coming from the COVID-19 virus. Already a record-equalling season with the number of consecutive wins (18) and home wins (21), more records are likely to tumble as Liverpool attempt to get over the finishing line in record time.

It’s hard to be consistently good, especially with the level of competition that is in the Premier League. And while performances have not always been great, a sign of champions is being able to grind out the bread and butter results. Something they have struggled with in the past.

You can cut the European Champions some slack after their 3 – 0 meltdown against Watford, especially after losing the first leg in their Champions League title defence against Athletico Madrid. Liverpool has hit a sticky patch just lately, but it’s unlikely to matter in the bigger scheme of things.

Mohammed Salah wrote his name among the greatest in the Premier League making his 100th appearance and scoring his 70th goal in their 2 -1 win against Bournemouth. The Egyptian king scored his 16th goal which places him third behind Pierre-Emerick Aubamayeng and Jamie Vardy in the race for the Golden Boot.

If Salah is the top scorer for the third consecutive season, having done so last season with 22 goals and the record-breaking 32 goals in 20117-18, he will become only the third player in the Premier League to do so after Shearer and Thierry Henry. The most impressive about this is that he is not an outright striker and will be doing it in the first three seasons in England.

Team News

Everton have not won in this derby in over a decade dating back to October 2010 when they last beat Liverpool.

The Toffees game against Liverpool marks the end a tough run of four fixtures against the top six teams where they have dropped points in all the three games.

Salah is the second most prolific scorer after Allan Shearer with 70 goals in 100 appearances and could match his record of three consecutive Golden Boots.

Liverpool quest for an invincible season was cut short with a shock 3 – 0 thumping by Watford and have now lost three of the last five games in all competitions.

Expected Line-Ups:

Everton (4-3-3): Pickford, Sidibe, Mina, Holgate, Digne, Davies, Gomes, Sigurdsson, Walcott, Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin
Subs: Stekelenburg, Keane, Baines, Iwobi, Kean, Bernard, Gordon, Delph
Injured: Gbamin, Coleman Schneiderlin, Tosun
Not available:
Liverpool (4-3-3): Adrian, Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Van Dijk, Milner, Fabinho, Wijnaldum, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Salah, Firmino, Mane
Subs: Lonergan, Matip, Minamino, Keita, Lovren, Origi, Lallana, Williams
Injured: Alisson, Larouci, Clyne, Shaqiri Henderson
Doubtful: Robertson
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Everton This Season Liverpool This Season
12th League Position 1st
10 (3) Wins (away) 27 (12)
4 – 0 v Chelsea Biggest Win 4 – 0 v Leicester
9 (4) Draws (away) 1 (1)
0 – 2 v West Ham Biggest Defeat 0 – 3 v Watford
Calvert-Lewin (13) Top Goal Scorer Salah (16)
Y53, R3 Discipline Y26, R1
7 Failures to Score 1
21% Clean Sheets 41%
62% Both Teams to Score Games 55%
52% Over 2.5 Goals 69%
48% Under 2.5 Goals 31%
  • The two Merseyside teams have played fifty-five games so far in the League, Everton have won 9 times while the Reds have 24 wins with 22 draws between the sides.
  • Mo Salah’s (16), Mane (14), and Firmino (8) have a combined total of 38 goals one more of the combined total of the entire Everton team that has 37 goals.
  • Liverpool’s ‘Invincible’ dream is over, having lost three of the last five matches in all competitions. Everton are on three games without a win.
  • Everton have an average of 1.79 chances created per match compared to Liverpool’s 2.45 chances and an average of 1.28 goals per game against Liverpool’s 2.28 goals per match.

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
05/01/2020 FA Cup Liverpool 1 – 0 Everton Jones 71′
04/12/2019 EPL Liverpool 5 – 2 Everton Origi 6′
03/03/2019 EPL Everton 0 – 0 Liverpool
02/12/2018 EPL Liverpool 1 – 0 Everton Origi 90′
07/04/2018 EPL Everton 0 – 0 Liverpool

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Liverpool’s quest for an unbeaten season was ended with the 3 – 0 loss to Watford. This may prove to be a blessing for Klopp’s side with the fear of defeat lifted, a return to the free-flowing football seems almost inevitable.

The timing of this game couldn’t be worse for Everton, a few weeks ago, only Liverpool were ahead of the Toffees in the form table. Losses to Arsenal and Chelsea and a draw against Manchester United have seen European hopes wobble. Also, the cancellation of the Manchester City v Arsenal game has been unkind, meaning their fierce rivals could hold the Premier League trophy at Goodison Park aloft. A nightmare scenario for the long-suffering Everton fans.

Expect to see a feisty encounter; Due to Liverpool goal shyness at Goodison, we are playing it safe and are going for the Over/Under market. Under 2.5 is available at 23/20 at 888sport and would be our call for the game.