Jose Faces Old Club United
Last updated: April 7, 2021 by Leon Marshal
|Venue:||Tottenham Hotspur Stadium|
|Last Meeting:||United 1 Tottenham 6|
Jose Mourinho welcomes his former club, Manchester United, to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday. Tottenham could break into the top-four with a win in this fixture, while United will be looking for revenge after being thrashed by Spurs in the last meeting between the clubs.
Tottenham wasted a glorious chance to break into the top-four last weekend, only managing a 2-2 draw with relegation-threatened Newcastle United. The point does mean Jose’s side are up to fifth, three points behind West Ham in fourth. Still, with Chelsea suffering their first defeat under Thomas Tuchel, the dropped two points could prove costly with as many as eight clubs fighting for the three available Champions League places once Manchester City claims the title.
In the game against Newcastle, it was the home side that struck first, Joelinton scoring only his second Premier League goal of the season in the 28th minute. It was a lead that only lasted two minutes, the ever-dependable Harry Kane taking full advantage of poor Newcastle defending to score his 18th league goal. The England captain scored his 19th goal just four minutes later, getting on the end of a great pass from Tanguy Ndombele and was through one-on-one with Dubravka in the Newcastle goal. Tottenham paid the price for not seeing out the game, and Newcastle were rewarded for their attacking intent with a goal from substitute Joseph Willock in the 85th minute. The Arsenal man who is on loan at Newcastle was able to bundle in the goal from close range. It was a deserved draw for Newcastle, the hosts having twenty-two shots on goal compared to Tottenham’s eleven.
Tottenham’s league position would have been much better if not for a disastrous run of games at the end of January. In a six-game span, Tottenham lost five times (Liverpool, Brighton, Chelsea, Manchester City & West Ham). The only points picked up was in a 2-0 win against West Bromwich. Recent form has been much improved; a 2-1 loss against Arsenal is their only loss in six, with wins against Burnley, Fulham, Crystal Palace and Aston Villa.
If Tottenham does not qualify for Europe, they still can qualify by winning the League Cup. They face Manchester City in the final, which will be played on the 25th of April. If Tottenham wins this final but fails to make the top six, they will qualify for the new Europa Conference League.
Manchester United picked up all three points in their last game, beating Brighton by a 2-1 scoreline, but as is often the case with the Red Devils this season, they did it the hard way. Brighton had given United a scare the last time the sides met, unlucky to lose by a 3-2 scoreline after being the better team throughout the match. They also made things difficult this time around and opened the scoring in the 13th minute thanks to a goal from former United player Danny Welbeck. Welbeck started his career at United before being sold to Arsenal in 2013. Goals in the second half from Rashford (62’) and Mason Greenwood (’83) gave United the win, but it was far from a vintage performance.
United are looking fairly comfortable in second, a huge fourteen points behind neighbours City, but they do have a four-point cushion on Leicester in third, due to City beating United’s closest rival 2-0 last Saturday. Chelsea’s shock 5-2 defeat to West Bromwich Albion was also good news for United, who are the only team in the division without a defeat in their last five. But they do have some very tricky fixtures on the horizon. After Tottenham (who hammered United 6-1 at Old Trafford in October), they face Burnley before meeting up with rivals Leeds United and Liverpool. They also face Leicester with three games to play, a match that could decide at least one of the Champions League places.
Tottenham failed to beat relegation-threatened Newcastle in their last game, drawing 2-2.
Ben Davies and Matt Doherty are ruled out, and Toby Alderweireld and Serge Aurier are rated at 75%.
Manchester United had to fight back in their 2-1 win against Brighton.
United have Eric Bailly, Juan Mata, Phil Jones and Anthony Martial all ruled out; Rashford is rated at 50%.
|Tottenham (4-3-2-1):||Lloris, Aurier, Alderweireld, Dier, Reguilon, Sissko, Højbjerg, Bale, Ndombele, Son, Kane|
|Subs:||Sanchez, Lo Celso, Moura, Bergwijn, Lamela, Rodon, Winks, Alli, Vin|
|United (4-3-3):||De Gea, Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Maguire, Shaw, Fred, McTominay, Pogba, Fernandes, Rashford, Greenwood|
|Subs:||Henderson, Tuanzebe, Telles, Diallo, Bailly, Dalot, McTominay, Matic, Beek, James|
|Injured:||Martial, Mata, Jones|
So Far This Season
|Tottenham This Season||United This Season|
|14 (7)||Wins (away)||17 (9)|
|6 – 1 v Man Utd||Biggest Win||9 – 0 v Southampton|
|7 (3)||Draws (away)||9 (6)|
|0 – 3 v Manchester City||Biggest Defeat||6-1 v Tottenham|
|Kane (19)||Top Goal Scorer||Fernandes (16)|
|Y42, R2||Discipline||Y50, R1|
|20%||Failures to Score||23%|
|50%||Both Teams to Score Games||57%|
|47%||Over 2.5 Goals||57%|
|53%||Under 2.5 Goals||47%|
- In the last six games between the clubs, Tottenham has won 33%, United 50% and 17% ended in a draw.
- Harry Kane and Bruno Fernandes have 35 goals between them and are likely to be the goal threat in this game.
- Tottenham will be the fresher of the two sides with United in Europa League action on Thursday.
- Tottenham handed United their heaviest defeat of the season last time they met, winning 6-1 at Old Trafford.
Head to Head
|Last 5 meetings between the two sides|
|Date||Competition||Game Result||First Goal-scorer|
|04-10-2020||EPL||United 1 – 6 Tottenham||Fernandes 2’|
|19-06-2020||EPL||Tottenham 1 – 1 United||Bergwijn 27’|
|04-12-2019||EPL||United 2 – 1 Tottenham||Rashford 6’|
|25-07-2019||ICC||Tottenham 1 – 2 United||Martial 21’|
|13-01-2019||EPL||Tottenham 0 – 1 United||Rashford 44’|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Jose Mourinho would love to do the double over his old club and will fancy his chances against a United team who have lost their goal threat recently; their average goal scored stat over the last eight games is 1.50, down 22.3% of their season average. And any team that has Harry Kane (19 goals and 13 assists) can hurt you. Tottenham also has other players such as Son Heung-Min (13 goals and nine assists) and Gareth Bale (five goals and two assists) who can cause damage.
United was well and truly beaten in October, and their defenders are probably still experiencing nightmares after being run ragged by Son and Kane. Normally, prolific scorers, United will have to do without Martial and with Rashford a doubt, they may have to start with Edison Cavani, who hasn’t shown his undoubted talent, only scoring six goals in nineteen appearances. United’s chances, as so often this season, are likely to rest with Bruno Fernandes.
We fancy Tottenham in this one, and as Jose blamed his players for the 2-2 draw with Newcastle, we expect to see a reaction, and there could be plenty of goals as United struggle to keep clean sheets. We feel Tottenham could go two goals up in the game; therefore, a Tottenham win @ 19/10 with bet365 would payout regardless of the final score.
Harry Kane to score at any time @ 5/6 is also worth backing.