Fans Return for the London Derby Between Tottenham & Arsenal
Last updated: December 3, 2020 by Leon Marshal
|Venue:||Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium|
|Last Meeting:||Spurs 2 – 1 Arsenal|
The London derby graces the Premier League with 2,000 fans set to return. League leaders Tottenham host local rivals Arsenal who are struggling in 14th place. Will the crowd’s cheers spur Tottenham to success or will Arsenal be party poopers?
Jose Mourinho is top of the league and is unbeaten since the opening weekend and will be against a side that sits 14th with just a single win in the last five. They have been unbeaten at this venue in the last six Premier League meetings, winning four times, three of the victories were by a one-goal margin.
Tottenham will be regretting that they failed to capitalise on Liverpool’s failure to win last weekend, as the champions were pegged back to a 1 – 1 draw by Brighton in the dying moments of that game. A win against Chelsea would have taken Tottenham two points clear of the Reds at the top, but in the end, they were lucky to get a point in the 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge, with the Blues being by far the much better side throughout the match.
A worry for the London side is they recorded just a single shot on target, a far cry from the usual attacking quality making the match a damp squib. The new formation played against Chelsea strangles Harry Kane (7 goals nine assists) and Heung-Min Son (9 goals two assists) who were longing for a gasp of attacking flair to increase their tallies. Kane has scored in 9 in the last 11 derbies.
The recent change of tactic could have greater repercussions with Son deployed on the right-wing where he has managed two shots in the last two games with Kane isolated upfront with just one shot. The three attempts from the duo came from outside the box, and the team’s total of 9 shots was the lowest they have achieved in the league. They need to fix this quickly with the next run of fixtures against Arsenal, Liverpool, Leicester City, and Wolverhampton.
One of the positives from Tottenham’s match with Chelsea was a great performance by Welsh youngster Joe Rodon. His whose defensive efforts kept Tammy Abraham at bay for a clean sheet in the lacklustre goalless draw. The 23-year old was a perfect replacement for Toby Alderweireld, who after an impressive game against Man City, suffered a groin injury.
Arsenal are skating on thin ice, even at this early stage of the season. In Mikel Arteta they have an underfire manager who is facing his first major storm after enjoying a great start to his managerial debut, winning two trophies and earning the confidence of fans and his players.
This trust is quickly eroding with the club nearer the bottom three than they are to the league leaders, a defeat in this game and the gap will be even wider. They have just one point from three games and have suffered defeat five times already this season. The goals have been hard to come by; only teams in the bottom three have less than the ten Arsenal have scored. Gabriel’s header against Wolves in the 1-1 draw was the first goal from open play in nearly 8 hours of football.
The problems in the Emirates is the lack of creativity with Mesut Ozil not included in the Premier League squad leaving the team to depend on Bakayo Saka. William Saliba was signed from St.Ettiene last season and is yet to play for the club at senior level, even though Arsenal need reinforcements at the back.
Arsenal’s poor showing this season coincides with a dip in the form of their captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. The player who often bailed out his young Spaniard manager last season has failed to spark this campaign, receiving as many yellow cards (two) as he has goals. Arsenal’s top scorer this season is Alexandre Lacazette. The Frenchman has blown hot and cold in games but leads the team’s scoring charts with three goals.
Perhaps the biggest blow to Arsenal’s chances this weekend will be the absence of Nicholas Pepe who is suspended for the game. The Ivorian has been in stunning form in Europe, scoring three and making two goals in his four appearances. The 25-year-old would have caused Tottenham problems with his pace.
Despite Arsenal’s problems in defence, their best performing player in the league hs been centre-back Gabriel Magalhães. The Brazilian has a passing % rate of 87.6 and has scored two league goals, the same number as Aubameyang.
After firing blanks against Chelsea, Son (nine goals) and Kane (seven goals) will be keen to resume normal service.
Jose Mourinho side are unbeaten by the top-six. Drawing against Chelsea, and victorious against the two Manchester teams.
Arsenal needs this win to ease the pressure on their underfire manager and stay on track with just one win in the last five games.
David Luiz is added to the long list of injuries for Arsenal, especially in their defence with William Saliba still frozen out.
|Spurs (4-3-3):||Lloris, Doherty, Alderweireld, Dier, Reguilon, Hojbjerg, Sissoko, Bale, Ndombele, Son, Kane|
|Subs:||Hart, Rodon, Aurier, Davies, Lo Celso, Moura, Vinicius|
|Arsenal (4-3-2-1):||Leno, Bellerin, Mustafi, Gabriel, Tierney, Thomas, Ceballos, Xhaka, Aubameyang, Pepe, Lacazette|
|Subs:||Runarsson, Cedric, Maitland-Miles, Elneny, Willock, Nketiah, Saka|
|Injured:||Holding, Mari, Martinelli, Chambers, Luiz|
So Far This Season
|Spurs This Season||Arsenal This Season|
|6 (3)||Wins (away)||4 (2)|
|4 – 0 v Crystal Palace||Biggest Win||0 – 3 v Fulham|
|3 (2)||Draws (away)||2 (0)|
|0 – 2 v Liverpool||Biggest Defeat||0 – 3 v Aston Villa|
|Son (9)||Top Goal Scorer||Lacazette (3)|
|Y12, R0||Discipline||Y14, R1|
|2||Failures to Score||4|
|50%||Both Teams to Score Games||40%|
|40%||Over 2.5 Goals||60%|
|60%||Under 2.5 Goals||40%|
- The two sides have met 56 times; The Gunners have been superior with 20 wins against Tottenham’s 13 wins with 23 draws between them.
- The Gunners are short in creativity averaging just 1.0 chances created per match scoring 1.0 goals per match while Spurs have an average of 2.3 chances created and 2.1 goals scored.
- Spurs are on a great scoring form netting in every game except two, while Arsenal scored just two goals in the entirety of November.
- Kane and Aubamayang have battled each other for the Golden Boot for the last three consecutive seasons.
Head to Head
|Last 5 meetings between the two sides|
|Date||Competition||Game Result||First Goal-scorer|
|12/07/2020||EPL||Spurs 2 – 1 Arsenal||Son 19’|
|01/09/2019||EPL||Arsenal 2 – 2 Spurs||Eriksen 10’|
|02/03/2019||EPL||Spurs 1 – 1 Arsenal||Ramsey 16’|
|19/12/2018||Capital One||Arsenal 0 – 2 Spurs||Son 20’|
|02/12/2018||EPL||Arsenal 4 – 2 Spurs||Dier 30’|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
It was almost inevitable after all the hype about the attacking talents on display in Tottenham’s last game against Chelsea that the game would end 0-0. The manager’s decision to play a 4-2-3-1 formation was effective but came at an attacking cost. We don’t think he’ll be so respectful against Arsenal.
Arsenal started the season well with a 3-0 win against Wolves, a 2-1 win against West Ham before being soundly beaten 3-1 by Liverpool. Since then further defeats by Leicester (1-0), Aston Villa (0-3) and Wolves (2-1) have seen them fall into the bottom half of the table. Will they pull off a result as they did in the 1-0 win away at Manchester United?
We can’t see past a Tottenham win here and by a healthy margin to put serious pressure on Arsenal. The Tottenham win is priced @ 19/20. For the more adventurous, we fancy Harry Kane is score anytime and Tottenham to win 3-0 that is available @ 22/1 with bet365.