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Champions City Travel to A Relieved Newcastle

Last updated: May 12, 2021 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Friday, 20:00
Venue: St. James’ Park
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: WWDLW
Away Form: WLWWL
Last Meeting: Man City 2 – 0 Newcastle
Competition: Premier League

Newcastle’s best form of the season has ensured that they will play top-flight football for a sixth consecutive season. The Magpies welcome Manchester City, who play their first match after being confirmed as champions. With no pressure on either side, it could be an interesting game.

Newcastle is on top form, winning three and drawing one in the last five games to secure safety, losing just one game in this run. Steve Bruce’s side is now thirteenth, successful last gasp strides at the right time have turned their season around.

In the last five matches, Magpies have gathered as many points (three wins, one draw, one defeat) as they did in the last fifteen games (two wins, four draws, nine defeats). Their place in the Premier League confirmed after Fulham lost 2 – 0 to Burnley to join West Brom and Sheffield United en route to the Championship.

Both sides have found the back of the net in four of the last seven meetings, while three of the last Man City’s six fixtures have produced goals at both ends of the pitch. Furthermore, five of the last six games in this fixture have produced over 2.5 goals. These are ingredients for an enticing attacking football that promises lots of goals.

Newcastle’s performance against the top sides has been incredible, drawing 2 – 2 against Tottenham Hotspur, 1 – 1 against Liverpool, and beating Leicester City 4 – 2 in their most recent games. Callum Wilson is the first player to score twelve goals in his debut seasons just since Loic Remy managed fourteen in 2013-14. Apart from being the top scorer, the England international is also the top provider with five assists to his name. He has returned from injury alongside Allan Saint-Maximin (four assists) to marshal the impressive form. Wilson netted twice in the last four full ninety minutes he has played, and his double against the Foxes helped secure those valuable three points.

Joe Willock has scored five Premier League for the Magpies; no player from his parent club (Arsenal) has scored more goals than him during this period. Whether he stays or leaves, he has lived enjoyed his best spell in the Premier League career at St. James’ Park and would be looking to make a mark in yet another big tie hoping Gareth Southgate will be watching.

Manchester City had an incredible second half of the season to earn a third Premier League title in four years. They have an average of 2.06 in goals and chances created per game and have conceded an average of 0.74 goals per game. Their defence has been their stronghold this season, keeping eighteen clean sheets. Ruben Dias was an immediate buy after their biggest defeat of the season, where they succumbed to a 5 – 2 defeat at the Etihad Stadium against Leicester. While the 23-year-old doesn’t often make the headlines, his 93.3% passing accuracy allows Pep’s favourite tactic of building from the back.

Despite all the high profiled names in the division, Ruben Dias is a contender to win the PFA Player of the year award. Still, he faces stiff competition against Bruno Fernandes, who has marshalled Man United’s second-place finish, and Harry Kane. Kane could be the first player in Premier League history to top both goals and assist charts. The Portuguese defender has been the de-facto commander of the City defence. His competence in defence has meant that City could cope with a less attacking side this campaign, with the goal per game dropping from 2.68 last season to 2.09 this term.

The team has conceded over one goal in just three of the twenty-eight games that Ruben Dias has featured. Moreover, 34.8% of the conceded goals have come in games where the maestro has not played. Another stat to show his impact is that when Van Djik joined Liverpool, in the season he debuted, their goals per game figure went from 1.21 to 0.64. Dias reduced an already low figure of 0.92 to 0.52 goals conceded per game.

Ikay Gundogan is the team’s unlikely top scorer with twelve goals, with Raheem Sterling their highest-scoring forward with ten goals. The undervalued German has been one of the season’s biggest surprises, with sixteen goals in all competitions, stepping up when the high-profile names were side-lined.

Although City’s dreams of a quadruple are over, they have already claimed two trophies, including the Carabao Cup. The Citizens could have sealed the title last weekend but lost to Chelsea 2-1, and Sergio Aguero missed a panenka style penalty which was the fourth time the Citizens have failed to convert from the spot.

The defeat against Chelsea was a real scare, especially because the game was a dress rehearsal of the Champions League final. Pep Guardiola won his first three encounters against Thomas Tuchel but is winless in the last four (two wins. two draws).


Team News

Joe Willock has scored five Premier League for the Magpies; no player from his parent club, Arsenal has scored more goals than him during this period.

Newcastle’s recent performance against the top sides, drawing 2 – 2 against Tottenham Hotspurs, 1 – 1 against Liverpool, and beating Leicester City 4 – 2 in their most recent games.

Ruben Dias has a chance to win the PFA Player of the year award, reducing their average conceded goals from 0.92 goals last season to 0.52 goals.

Ikay Gundogan is the team’s top goalscorer, managing sixteen goals with fourteen coming in the league.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Newcastle (5-3-2): Dubravka, Murphy, Krafth, Fernandez, Dummett, Ritchie, Willock, Shelvey, Almiron, Joelinton, Saint-Maximin
Subs: Gillespie, Clark, Carroll, Gayle, Lewis, Hendrick, Manquillo, Longstaff
Injured: Fraser, Darlow, Hayden, Lascelles, Anderson, Wilson
Doubtful:
Not available: Schar
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Man City (3-2-4-1): Ederson, Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo, Rodri, Gundogan, Fernandinho, Torres, Sterling, Jesus
Subs: Steffen, Ake, Zinchenko, B. Silva, Foden, Garcia, Mendy, Barnaba, Mahrez, Aguero, Ake, De Bruyne
Injured:
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Newcastle This Season City This Season
15th League Position 1st
10 (5) Wins (away) 21 (13)
4 – 2 v Leicester Biggest Win 5 – 0 v Burnley
9 (4) Draws (away) 5 (3)
2 – 5 v Leeds Biggest Defeat 2 – 5 v Leicester City
Wilson (12) Top Goal Scorer Gundogan (12)
Y63, R3 Discipline Y39, R1
9 Failures to Score 3
14% Clean Sheets 51%
57% Both Teams to Score Games 43%
49% Over 2.5 Goals 46%
51% Under 2.5 Goals 54%
  • Newcastle and Manchester City have played against each other forty-one time, the Citizens have been dominant with twenty-five wins against the Magpies, eight wins with eight draws between them.
  • Man City squad selection could play a pivotal factor in this game as they focus on keeping fit for the Champions League.
  • Gundogan scored in the previous game between the two sides and has been their most dynamic player this season and could be the one to watch.
  • Wilson and Saint-Maximin returned from injury at the optimum moment to save their season and have rewarded their team with another season of Premier League football.

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
26/12/2020 EPL Man City 2 – 0 Newcastle Gundogan 14’
08/07/2020 EPL Man City 5 – 0 Newcastle Jesus 10’
28/06/2020 FA Cup Newcastle 0 – 2 Man City Sterling 68’
30/11/2019 EPL Newcastle 2 – 2 Man City Sterling 22’
29/01/2019 EPL Newcastle 2 – 1 Man City Aguero 1’

Conclusion & Betting Tips

If City’s neighbours United had managed at least a point in their game against Aston Villa and Fulham had beaten Burnley, this would be a totally different game. There is very little riding on this game which could mean we might see a transformed Newcastle with the creative players they have at the club. However, the hamstring injury to Newcastle’s Callum Wilson is a big blow. City could also be forgiven for having both eyes on their first-ever Champions League final. With this in mind, we are going for a draw priced @ 9/2 with 888sport.