Youth Takes On Wisdom As Muguruza Challenges Williams
Last updated: July 14, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Last Meeting:||Muguruza 2-1|
Its youth versus experience as youngster Garbiñe Muguruza takes on veteran Venus Williams in the Wimbledon Tennis Final. Turning pro in 1994, Venus has been playing only one year less than Muguruza has been alive, making this an excellent chance to see if the elder Williams sister is ready to relinquish the torch to the younger generation just yet.
The American is one of the greatest athletes across any sport. Along with her sister, she has come back time and time again, defying her age (37) and a recent personal crisis to overcome the odds. Ranked as a real outsider when the tournament started, now she is at EVENs to lift the Trophy. People quite rightly have been impressed with Federer’s form, but given the peaks and troughs of Williams’ career, lifting her sixth trophy will be by far the greater achievement. Her experience should give her strength. For example, against Konta, she showed extreme composure to put away the British hopeful, rarely screwing up a point. Additionally, she is a more powerful hitter in the game than any other current player bar Lisicki, regularly able to serve over 110 miles per hour, and her fastest ever serve coming in at a blistering 129 miles. If Muguruza tries to play her on grass on her own terms, she will be walked over completely. Instead Garbiñe will have to try to dictate the game in a different way from her usual style of baseline play.
The Spaniard has had more of a rest than Williams, disposing of outsider Rybarikova with the kind of speedy panache this writer reserves for pizza. She definitely has what it takes to lift her first Wimbledon trophy and second grand slam overall, and has the hunger to succeed. Her wide stance and deep concentration makes her a great returner, which should be enough to keep calm when defending Venus’ serve. But she needs to bring the game to Venus when she is serving, making use of backspin, strong positional shots and serve-and-volley to break up a simple baseline game. In addition to this, her vicious forehand, being able to find the tiniest corners of the court, may be just too tactical for the slower American.
It will be question of continual invention for the Spaniard, especially away from her preferred clay surface, at the same time making sure she doesn’t commit any unforced errors or double faults. It will be, without doubt, the hardest game of her career so far, but something about this game makes this writer believe she has the slight edge to win in a probable three game marathon.
Serena Williams – who missed Wimbledon because she’s pregnant – has said she feels like she has been with Venus “for the whole journey”.
Muguruza credits her coach for her success, stating that “I have more confidence thanks to Conchita Martinez”.
Recently defeated Konta is out but not down, stating that she now knows she can win a Grand Slam.
Muguruza has displayed a large surge of national pride, saying she is determined to ‘put a Spanish name’ on the trophy.
Head to Head
|Last 4 meetings between the two players|
|19/5/2017||Rome Masters||Quarter-Final||Clay||Muguruza (6-3, 3-6, 6-2)|
|03/10/2015||Wuhan Open||Final||Hard||Williams (6-3, 3-0 Ret.)|
|02/1/2014||ASB Classic Auckland||Quarter-Final||Hard||Williams (6-3, 6-3)|
|28/02/2013||Brasil Tennis Cup||Round 2||Hard||Williams (6-4, 2-6, 7-5)|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Muguruza is the favourite, but not by much, her odds of 4/5 giving her a slight edge over Venus Williams at 21/20. We would recommend you to make use of the cash-out feature at many bookmakers, in order to back Williams at first, then if she goes up by a few points in a game, or even breaks the serve (which she is likely to do), cashing out and having more emphasis to back Muguruza at higher odds. The trick is to follow the game quickly because in tennis things move fast. Also be conscious that the scores on bookmakers will move faster than a live stream, so unless you are at the game itself (in that case, get off your phone and just enjoy it) you should be more focused on live stats than watching the match itself.
As for the overall score, our main tip, courtesy of William Hill is to back Muguruza at odds of 3/1. Additionally, with these two great players facing each other off, we can definitely see the game going to three sets. If you can’t tell which player will do it, simply bet that there will be three sets at pretty decent odds of 5/4. Additionally, if you believe that Venus Williams will perform an awesome comeback, then the odds of 7/1 to lose first set but win the game are simply too tasty to miss. Nonetheless, we’re giving Muguruza the go-ahead here.
Top Betting Tip
2-1 Murguruza, 3/1 @ William Hill