A midweek clash between the Hornets and the Red Devils
Last updated: November 27, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Home Team Form:||LLLWW|
|Away Team Form:||LWLWW|
|Last Meeting:||Man United 2 – 0 Watford|
There’s little rest for the Premier League’s stars this week, as we’re treated to a full fixture-list over Tuesday and Wednesday. With most of the top six facing winnable home matches, we’re focusing our attention on a very tricky away fixture for second place Manchester United.
Watford were emphatic against Newcastle at the weekend and fully deserving of three goals and three points. It’s the kind of performance that Marco Silva has become known for, but the Hornets can expect a much tougher defensive test than they faced in that match. Conceding goals has been a problem for Watford, but they have managed to put together back-to-back clean sheets. Off the pitch, Watford are expected to make a formal complaint about Everton’s courting of Silva, though his refusal to rule out a move has ensured that speculation persists. Neverthless, Watford have still been doing the business on the pitch. Richarlison is still in fine form and picked up an assist on Saturday. His marauding runs down the left hand side against Antonio Valencia will be a particular area of interest in this match.
José Mourinho said that Saturday’s match against Brighton was the toughest his team have faced this season. United certainly made hard work of it, emerging victorious by a single, fortuitous goal. This one will likely also be tricky, but for different reasons. While Brighton were difficult to break down and slick on the counter, Watford are likely to really take the game to United. This approach could be fruitful; Mourinho is likely to once again be without Phil Jones and Eric Bailly in central defence, while United’s away form is not great. Either way, we’re expecting an exciting match where a win for Manchester United is far from a given.
Watford’s Will Hughes has two goals in his last three starts and should be in line to earn his fourth start in a row under Marco Silva.
Sebastian Prödl played his first minutes since the second week of the season after an injury, as Watford start to welcome back defensive personnel from injury.
First-choice defenders Phil Jones and Eric Bailly are both unlikely to be fit, meaning the partnership of Chris Smalling and Victor Lindelöf should start again.
Lukaku looks to have escaped retrospective action from the FA after a kick out at Brighton’s Gaëtan Bong during Saturday’s match.
|Watford (4-3-3):||Gomes, Mariappa, Kabasele, Britos, Femenia, Hughes, Doucouré, Cleverley, Zeegelaar, Richarlison, Gray|
|Subs:||Janmaat, Prödl, Watson, Carillo, Capoue, Karnezis, Pereyra|
|Injured:||Kaboul, Cathcart, Chalobah, Success|
|Man United (4-3-3):||de Gea, A Valencia, Lindelöf, Smalling, Young, Pogba, Matic, Mata, Rashford, Martial, Lukaku|
|Subs:||Rojo, Ibrahimovic, Romero, Herrera, Mkhitaryan, Fellaini, McTominay|
|Doubtful:||Jones, Bailly, Carrick|
So Far This Season
|Watford So Far This Season||Man United So Far This Season|
|2 (4)||Wins (away)||7 (2)|
|3 – 0 vs. Newcastle||Biggest Win||4 – 0 vs. Crystal Palace|
|2 (1)||Draws (away)||0 (2)|
|0 – 6 vs Manchester City||Biggest Defeat||1 – 2 vs Huddersfield|
|Richarlison (5)||Top Goal Scorer||Lukaku (8)|
|Y21, R1||Discipline||Y18, R0|
|3||Failures to Score||3|
|46%||Both Teams to Score Games||38%|
|61%||Over 2.5 Goals||53%|
|39%||Under 2.5 Goals||47%|
- Watford’s attacking prowess coupled with a defensive fragility has led to many of their games featuring over 2.5 goals. They are improving in defence of late however.
- Manchester United have kept an incredible nine out of thirteen clean sheets. However, Watford have failed to score in just three games and will threaten United’s record here.
- Interestingly, Watford’s away form is much better than at home. They’ve won just two home games, compared with four away.
- United’s form is much the opposite. United have won all seven of their home games, but just two on the road, with two defeats and two draws. This suggests that both teams could be far from their best.
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|11/02/2017||Manchester United 2 – 0 Watford||Premier League||Mata 32′|
|18/09/2016||Watford 3 – 1 Manchester United||Premier League||Capoue 34′|
|02/03/2016||Manchester United 1 – 0 Watford||Premier League||Mata 83′|
|21/11/2015||Watford 1 – 2 Manchester United||Premier League||Depay 11′|
|14/04/2007||Manchester United 4 – 1 Watford||FA Cup||Rooney 7′|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Watford’s attacking style mean that they could be the one to bring the game to Manchester United. However, Watford’s home form is noticeably worse than their away form this season. That said, the occasion should be enough to lift their performance here.
United have played for the draw away against tough opposition numerous times already this season. The question is, is the gap between them and the leaders already too big to mean Mourinho will see playing for the win as essential. With the Manchester derby upcoming, he will surely want to prevent the gap widening, at the very least.
With that in mind, we see an exciting affair that will feature goals. For this reason, we’ll be going for over 2.5 goals. Almost two-thirds of Watford’s games have featured over 2.5 goals and due to the circumstances, we see this as a big possibility. You can get this bet for around 3/4 at Betway.