The Hornets host the Gunners in the Saturday afternoon fixture
Last updated: October 11, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Coverage:||Sky Sports 1|
|Home Team Form:||DWLWD|
|Away Team Form:||LWDWW|
|Last Meeting:||Arsenal 1 – 2 Watford|
The Saturday afternoon fixture is an interesting match between Watford and Arsenal. Other than a mauling by Manchester City, Watford haven’t lost this season. Arsenal have lost two after they had a typically poor start to the season, but seem to have bounced back, with three wins and a draw against Chelsea in their last four games.
Watford are likely to still be running a makeshift defence, with Sebastian Prödl and Younes Kaboul unlikely to be fit in time to feature. The Hornets have been a surprise package this year and are looking a great side under Marco Silva. Richarlison has proved a great signing and already has three goals and two assists to his name. Silva will be looking for more from his forwards though. Another new signing, Andre Gray, has just a goal and an assist so far. Not to worry at the minute though, as the goals are flying in from all over the pitch. But if Watford’s forwards can start finding the net, the Hornets could be a challenge for any team this season.
Arsenal too have injury concerns, with Shkodran Mustafi a casualty in Germany’s match against Azerbaijan. The defender could be out for up to seven games. His German teammate, Mesut Özil is also a doubt for the match, while Alexis Sánchez flew in late in the week after his match for Chile against Brazil. Laurent Koscielny is also a slight doubt, which would really stretch the Gunners defence. Aside from this, Arsenal are on a four game unbeaten run, in which they haven’t conceded a goal. Three of those matches were at home, but they did earn an impressive draw in the last away match against Chelsea.
Watford will still be fielding a makeshift defence, with Sebastian Prödl and Younes Kaboul not expected to be fit in time for this one.
Chelsea loanee Nathaniel Chalobah is also out with a knee injury and it’s not known when he’ll return.
Arsenal will be without Shkodran Mustafi after he limped off during a match for Germany. Fellow Germany teammate Mesut Özil is also a doubt.
Alexis Sánchez and Chile crashed out of the World Cup on Tuesday night. Sánchez flew straight back to London after the match and could be jet lagged.
|Watford (4-4-2):||Gomes, Femenia, Mariappa, Kabasele, Holebas, Doucouré, Capoue, Carillo, Cleverley, Richarlison, Gray|
|Subs:||Janmaat, Britos, Deeney, Hughes, Watson, Karnezis, Pereyra|
|Injured:||Prödl, Kaboul, Cathcart, Chalobah|
|Arsenal (3-4-2-1):||Cech, Holding, Monreal, Koscielny, Bellerin, Ramsey, Xhaka, Kolasinac, Iwobi, Sánchez, Lacazette|
|Subs:||Mertesacker, Wilshere, Giroud, Ospina, Walcott, Maitland-Niles, Elneny|
|Injured:||Mustafi, Chambers, Cazorla|
|Doubtful:||Welbeck, Koscielny, Coquelin, Özil|
So Far This Campaign
|Watford So Far This Campaign||Arsenal So Far This Campaign|
|0 (3)||Wins (away)||4 (0)|
|2-0 vs. Southampton||Biggest Win||3-0 vs. Bournemouth|
|2 (1)||Draws (away)||0 (1)|
|0 – 6 vs Manchester City||Biggest Defeat||0 – 4 vs Liverpool|
|Abdoulaye Doucouré (3)||Top Goal Scorer||Alexandre Lacazette (4)|
|Y8, R1||Discipline||Y8, R0|
|2||Failures to Score||3|
|42%||Both Teams to Score Games||14%|
|57%||Over 2.5 Goals||42%|
|43%||Under 2.5 Goals||58%|
- Despite their decent results, Watford haven’t won a game at home all season, having drawn two and lost one.
- Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in each of their last four games, while only one of their seven games has featured both teams to score.
- In fact, Watford haven’t scored a goal at home since the opening day of the season, when they put three past Liverpool. Arsenal have four clean sheets already, so the Hornets could find it hard to score.
- Arsenal have the third best discipline record in the league so far. Watford are only slightly worse, which means betting on a low number of cards in the game could pay off.
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|31/01/2017||Arsenal 1 – 2 Watford||Premier League||Kaboul 10′|
|27/08/2016||Watford 1 – 3 Arsenal||Premier League||Cazorla 9′|
|02/04/2016||Arsenal 4 – 0 Watford||Premier League||Sánchez 4′|
|13/03/2016||Arsenal 1 – 2 Watford||FA Cup||Ighalo 58′|
|17/10/2015||Watford 0 – 3 Arsenal||Premier League||Sánchez 62′|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
This is an interesting match up against two contrasting teams. Watford haven’t won at home yet this season, whereas Arsenal have only managed one draw from three away games. The stats suggest two teams that may not be at their best, while Arsenal especially will be waiting on the fitness of Özil and Koscielny.
Arsenal’s poor away form, coupled with the strong possibility many first team players will be out injured, leads us to fancy Watford in this one. A Watford or draw double chance is nicely priced at 13/10, while you can get them to win at 4/1, though we think that a double chance or draw no bet is the best option. These bets can be found at Grosvenor Sports.