A London derby to look forward to as Arsenal host West Ham
Last updated: April 19, 2018 by Leon Marshal
|Home Team Form:||LWWWL|
|Away Team Form:||LLWDD|
|Last Meeting:||Arsenal 1 – 0 West Ham|
North London’s Arsenal host East London’s West Ham in one of just six fixtures taking place over this weekend. With the FA Cup semi-finals being played, many teams have no Premier League fixture this week. Arsenal look to hold onto their sixth place as Burnley threaten, while West Ham still haven’t assured themselves of Premier League football next season.
Arsenal looked to have turned a corner and found some form in the league. Three wins on the bounce, along with strong victories in the Europa League against AC Milan and CSKA Moscow that saw them through to the semi-final of the competition, made it appear for a second as though Arsenal could challenge Chelsea for fifth place. Shock defeat to Newcastle last week has changed that once again though. With said semi-final against Athletico Madrid coming up next week, Wenger may rotate players here, as his focus lies squarely on winning the European competition as the only available passage into next season’s Champions League. Poor away form has cost Arsenal’s domestic season; the Gunners have won just three away games all season. Their home form is different though, winning thirteen, drawing two and losing two. That would suggest that an Arsenal victory is on the cards here.
West Ham have plenty to fight for though and have shown plenty of fighting spirit to match. Last week’s draw against Stoke must go down as a missed opportunity for three points, but it was a spirited comeback and a late equaliser that avoided what would have been an extremely costly defeat. The Hammers need another win at least to stay up, but David Moyes will be aware of the size of that task, with a daunting fixture list comprising the remaining five games of the season. Moyes can welcome back some key players though. Andy Carroll and Manuel Lanzini returned from injury to come off the bench against Stoke. Carroll had an instant impact in his first game since January when he scored the vital equaliser. With the Hammer’s squad getting stronger, earning that draw sooner, rather than later, would lift a load of pressure and could result in the team finishing the season strongly, despite tough opposition.
Henrikh Mkhitaryan is out for the rest of the season for the hosts while Aaron Ramsey is also a doubt for the match.
Arsène Wenger will have one eye on next week’s crucial Europa League semi-final and may rest some key players here.
Andy Carroll came on as a substitute to score the equaliser in the Hammers last match in the striker’s first match since January.
Carroll was also joined by Manuel Lanzini’s return from injury. Both were on the bench last weekend, but will be pushing for a start here.
|Arsenal (4-4-2):||Cech, Chambers, Mustafi, Holding, Monreal, El Neny, Xhaka, Özil, Iwobi, Lacazette, Aubameyang|
|Subs:||Mertesacker, Macey, Welbeck, Maitland-Niles, Kolasinac, Nelson, Willock|
|Injured:||Ospina, Mkhitaryan, Cazorla|
|West Ham (3-2-4-1):||Adrián, Rice, Ogbonna, Cresswell, Zabaleta, Noble, Kouyaté, Masuaku, Lanzini, João Mário, Arnautovic|
|Subs:||Carroll, Fernandes, Hugill, Hart, Hernández, Evra, Cullen|
|Injured:||Reid, Byram, Antonio, Obiang|
So Far This Season
|Arsenal So Far This Season||West Ham So Far This Season|
|13 (3)||Wins (away)||6 (2)|
|3 – 0 vs. Watford||Biggest Win||3 – 0 vs. Southampton|
|2 (4)||Draws (away)||5 (6)|
|0 – 4 vs Livepool||Biggest Defeat||0 – 4 vs Manchester United|
|Andre Lacazette (11)||Top Goal Scorer||Marko Arnautovic (9)|
|Y49, R1||Discipline||Y66, R2|
|6||Failures to Score||8|
|52%||Both Teams to Score Games||55%|
|64%||Over 2.5 Goals||55%|
|36%||Under 2.5 Goals||45%|
- Both teams have had more than half of their games featuring both teams to score, making it likely we could see that occurring here.
- West Ham have the league’s worst discipline record, picking up an average of two cards a game. As they dig in for a point here, it could be wise betting on a discipline points bet.
- Arsenal’s away form this year has been dire, but their home record is formidable, with just two defeats and draws each and thirteen wins at home.
- The reverse fixture back in December last year was a goalless draw. Taking Arsenal’s home form and West Ham’s away form into account – two wins and six draws – then West Ham look set to earn a point at best here.
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|19/12/2017||Arsenal 1 – 0 West Ham||League Cup||Welbeck 42′|
|13/12/2017||West Ham 0 – 0 Arsenal||Premier League||—|
|05/04/2017||Arsenal 3 – 0 West Ham||Premier League||Özil 58′|
|03/12/2016||Wset Ham 1 – 5 Arsenal||Premier League||Özil 24′|
|09/04/2016||West Ham 3 – 3 Arsenal||Premier League||Özil 18′|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
As with all of the teams floating around the relegation zone, this is a must win game. West Ham can all but ensure survival if they win. Arsenal have less to play for, even though they should try to ensure a top six finish and at least Europa League football next season.
But Wenger’s focus is, rightly so, on the Europa League this season and the upcoming semi-final against Athletico Madrid. With that in mind, Wenger is likely to play a somewhat weakened side. West Ham should have a chance, but it will be tough against an Arsenal team that is very strong at home. Arsenal should win, but there’s little value in that bet. We see goals though, so will be going for over 2.5 goals which you can get at Coral.