Tottenham move to Wembley to host champions Chelsea
Last updated: August 18, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Kick-off:||Sunday, 16:00 pm|
|Home Team Form:||W|
|Away Team Form:||L|
|Last Meeting:||Chelsea 4 – 2 Tottenham|
Chelsea are in crisis mode again after a shock 3-2 loss against Burnley last weekend. With echoes of Mourinho’s disastrous season after winning the league two seasons ago, it looks like Chelsea could implode once again. With Matic gone to rivals Manchester United, Hazard and Pedro out injured, Rüdiger hardly the stalwart his £35 million price tag suggested and Costa hiding out in Brazil, Chelsea have had quite the disastrous start to the season. What made the team work last season was the strength of their starting 11, but now they seriously lack depth in numbers. With their star players currently injured or permanently gone, they will have to re-strategise if they have any chance to recoup the league. Conte wants to sign more players, but now faces Mourinho-syndrome; using his previous success as an excuse to lash out against the Chelsea administration.
This consistency may not come in time for their match this Sunday against Tottenham. Although Spurs haven’t bought anyone particularly good yet and have lost their best right back in Kyle Walker, they put in a decent performance against Newcastle last week to win by two goals. They should be comfortable here, especially when considering Chelsea won’t have Fabregas or Cahill either due to some soft red cards last week. They have one of the best young players in the form of Dele Alli, and they have the top striker in the form of Harry Kane.
But there is some hope for the boys in blue. The first is the presence of Álvaro Morata, the brightest spark in their disappointing home loss; scoring one goal and setting up another. He should definitely start over Batshauyi. The other is Tottenham’s change of location. Used to playing at White Hart Lane – previously one of the narrowest pitches in the Premier League, and the club’s home for 118 years – the temporary move to Wembley will frustrate their high-pressing game and lack the same kind of atmosphere. Their record at Wembley is also pretty bad, having lost six out of their last ten fixtures at the national stadium, most recently a 4-2 loss to Chelsea in the FA Cup.
But the final (and most convincing) reason one could expect a Chelsea win is that Chelsea have only lost to Tottenham five times in the entire history of the Premier League. When Tottenham do manage to beat the Blues – and they have managed it more times this decade than any other – it requires them to be at their very, very best. Therefore, the outcome of this result is a fight between two competing possibilities. One is Tottenham, the stronger team at the moment, winning on skill alone. The other is, against the odds, Chelsea doing what they do best; sticking in there and beating Tottenham anyway. Both perfectly reasonably outcomes hang together in flux; its really impossible to call…
Tottenham are considering signing Denis Suarez for a fee of £27 million. The Barcelona midfielder was previously tipped for Napoli this season.
You might be wondering why Tottenham wait so late before they sign anyone. Well according to Peterborough Chairman Darragh MacAnthony: “Spurs evaluate their youngsters through pre season before making call for new additions. It’s good/sensible policy and good for home grown players.” Now it all makes sense!
It looks like Conte might be losing the plot. Without enough players to bolster the squad (despite already spending over £120 million) a source close to Yahoo Sport has said that: “This is the kind of situation Antonio cannot cope with. When he starts losing matches that is when he gets really crazy.”
If you needed any more proof that the price tags in football are getting out of hand, Chelsea are apparently considering around £50 million for Tottenham’s Danny Rose. Yes that’s right: Danny Rose. For £50 million.
|Tottenham (4-2-3-1):||Lloris, Walker-Peters, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Davies; Dier, Dembele; Eriksen, Sissoko, Alli; Kane|
|Subs:||Vorm, Carter-Vickers, Wimmer, Wanyama, Winks, Son, Janssen.|
|Injured:||Trippier, N’Koudou, Rose, Lamela|
|Chelsea (3-4-2-1):||Courtois; Rüdiger, Luiz, Azpilicueta; Alonso, Kante, Boga, Moses; Kenedy, Willian; Morata|
|Subs:||Caballero, Musonda, Batshauyi, Christensen, Tomori, Rémy , Scott|
|Injured:||Pedro, Bakayoko, Hazard|
|Not available:||Cahill, Fabregas|
|Tottenham So Far This Season||Chelsea So Far This Season|
|1 (1)||Wins (away)||0 (0)|
|2-0 vs. Newcastle||Biggest Win||—|
|0 (0)||Draws (away)||0 (0)|
|3-2 vs. Burnley||Biggest Defeat||—|
|Alli/Davies (1)||Top Goal Scorer||Morata/Luiz (1)|
|Y2, R0||Discipline||Y3, R2|
|0||Failures to Score||0|
|0%||Both Teams to Score Games||100%|
|0%||Over 2.5 Goals||100%|
|100%||Under 2.5 Goals||0%|
- Harry Kane is one of the best strikers in Premier League, with six hat-tricks over his career. Odds of 28/1 for him to score three.
- Hopefully Morata will prove a solid investment for my Fantasy Football team this year. Odds of 11/1 for him to score 2 or more.
- Luiz loves to score dramatic goals every now and again. Massive odds of 22/1 for him to score from outside the box.
- Dele Alli scored two headers against Chelsea in a 2-0 win last season. Odds of 17/2 for him to score one in this game.
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|22/04/2017||Chelsea 4 – 2 Tottenham||FA Cup||Willian 5′|
|04/01/2017||Tottenham 2 – 0 Chelsea||Premier League||Alli 45′|
|26/11/2016||Chelsea 2 – 1 Tottenham||Premier League||Eriksen 11′|
|2/05/2016||Chelsea 2 – 2 Tottenham||Premier League||Kane 35′|
|29/11/2015||Tottenham 0 – 0 Chelsea||Premier League||—|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Chelsea are looking for their first points on the board, Tottenham are looking to get to the top of the Premier League. At William Hill Tottenham are the favourites at 21/20, while Chelsea lag noticeably behind at 13/5. This game really represents some potential to get well ahead of the bookies and find an angle they haven’t. As a great bet, I would recommend both teams to score and there to be a draw at a ridiculous 16/5. If you fancy even bigger returns, an exact score of 1-1 is touted at an even bigger 6/1, while 2-2 (ok, maybe now a little improbable) is ranked at 14/1.
For your “to score and…” markets I would recommend either a Morata goal and Chelsea to win at 9/1, or Kane to score and Tottenham to win at a ridiculous 19/10. Because the game is on such an even tightrope there is a great chance for a combination bet to rack up some serious money. Try around with different outcomes in order to find the best bet for you. But for me personally, a 1-1 draw is your best punt.