Can struggling Swansea stop high-flying Liverpool?

Last updated: January 18, 2018 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Monday, 20:00
Venue: Liberty Stadium
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Team Form: DLWLD
Away Team Form: DWWWW
Last Meeting: Liverpool 5 – 0 Swansea
Competition: Premier League

These two teams meet for the second time within four weeks on Monday night. Liverpool made easy work of Swansea in the reverse fixture just a few weeks ago and with the Reds having just beaten Manchester City, Swansea must be fearing the worse here.

Swansea sit bottom of the league and haven’t fared well against top opposition this season, with a draw against Tottenham back in September the only points they’ve taken from a top eight side. This doesn’t bode well for their chances then, especially with Liverpool the form team in the league. Home advantage should help, but Swansea will also be looking to Jordan Ayew, as the striker has three goals in his last five games. Swansea have only managed to score more than once in a game once since late October. Against a high-scoring team like Liverpool, you have to fear for the Swans here. Climbing up off the bottom of the table from this match may be an impossible task.

A win against previously unbeaten Manchester City last weekend means Liverpool are now the team to beat in the league. Fans may have feared that the post-Coutinho era could be one of doom and gloom but Klopp and the players made sure that wasn’t the case. Even without Coutinho, the future looks bright for Liverpool. The Reds haven’t been beaten in fourteen games and will be confident of extending that run here. The attacking trio of Firmino, Salah and Mané all got on the scoresheet last week. You wouldn’t put it past each of them scoring once again.

Team News

Jordan Ayew has scored two goals in his last three and appears to be the preferred striker under Carlos Carvalhal.

Renato Sanches missed the draw with Newcastle due to a hamstring injury and will be assessed ahead of this match.

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain stepped up and made Coutinho’s former role his own last week. His performance should assure him of another starting place here.

New signing Virgil van Dijk missed the Manchester City match with a hamstring injury and is unlikely to be fit in time for this one.

Expected Line-Ups:

Swansea (4-3-3): Fabianski, Roberts, Bartley, Mawson, Olsson, Dyer, Ki Sung-yeung, Clucas, Carroll, J Ayew, McBurnie
Subs: Bony, Fer, Narsingh, Nordfeldt, Fernandez, Mesa, Van der Hoorn
Injured: Rangel,
Doubtful: Van der Hoorn, Sanches, Abraham
Not available:
Liverpool (4-3-3): Mignolet, Alexander-Arnold, Lovren, Matip, Gomez, Can, Wijnaldum, Mané, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Firmino, Salah
Subs: Milner, Klavan, Lallana, Karius, Ings, Solanke, Alexander-Arnold
Injured: Moreno, Clyne, Henderson
Doubtful: van Dijk, Can, Sturridge
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Swansea So Far This Season Liverpool So Far This Season
4th League Position 1st
2 (2) Wins (away) 7 (6)
2 – 0 vs. Crystal Palace Biggest Win 5 – 0 vs. Swansea
2 (3) Draws (away) 5 (3)
0 – 5 vs Liverpoool Biggest Defeat 0 – 5 vs Manchester City
Tammy Abraham (4) Top Goal Scorer Salah (18)
Y34, R0 Discipline Y28, R1
12 Failures to Score 3
6 Clean Sheets 9
34% Both Teams to Score Games 56%
39% Over 2.5 Goals 69%
61% Under 2.5 Goals 31%
  • The Swans have failed to score in twelve matches this season, more than half of their games.
  • All of Liverpool’s last six games have featured over 2.5 goals, with Firmino, Mané and Salah in fine goal-scoring form.
  • Swansea’s lack of goals means that just 34% of their games have featured both teams to score and 39% of their games have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • Liverpool thrashed Swansea just a few weeks back at home. With the form they’re in, we could see more of the same here.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
26/12/2017 Liverpool 5 – 0 Swansea Premier League Coutinho 6′
21/01/2017 Liverpool 2 – 3 Swansea Premier League Llorente 48′
01/10/2016 Swansea 1 – 2 Liverpool Premier League Fer 8′
01/05/2016 Swansea 3 – 1 Liverpool Premier League Ayew 20′
29/11/2015 Liverpool 1 – 0 Swansea Premier League Milner 62′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Barring a miracle, Liverpool will emerge winners here. The Reds, having just beaten the league leaders, are unlikely to slip up and let their winning run come to an end against the team at the bottom of the table.

This outcome will be no surprise and is priced by the bookies accordingly. With Liverpool scoring for fun, we think combining the win with over 2.5 goals is a great bet. You can get this at a good price at William Hill.