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Struggling United Travel to Fortress Goodison

Last updated: November 4, 2020 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Saturday, 12:30
Venue: Goodison Park
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: WWDLL
Away Form: WLWDL
Last Meeting: Everton 1 – 1 Man United
Competition: Premier League

Manchester United are on their worst start to a campaign for years heading to Goodison Park against Everton who had an explosive start to the season, despite struggling lately. Both sides lost their previous games and will be looking to bounce back; it should be a thrilling encounter.

Everton lost their chance to return to the top of the Premier League losing 2 – 1 to Newcastle United and now sit three-point behind the champions Liverpool.

The reality for Everton is that James Rodriguez has in his career struggled with injuries. Last year for Real Madrid, the highly talented star missed 14 games due to four separate injuries. The year before he missed 16 games for Bayern Munich and Everton fans may well have to get used to him being sidelined. Without the Colombian, and Richarlison, they looked outwitted and ordinary going forward. Rodriguez is rated 50/50 for this game.

Everton boasts the second-best home record only eclipsed by Liverpool with 7 points out of the possible 9, scoring 11 goals and conceding 6. Despite missing some key players, they have found a sense of identity under the experienced manager who has been impressive with the little investment and time he has had on Merseyside.

Carlo Ancelotti’s decision to drop The Three Lions number one, Jordan Pickford, comes after a series of costly mistakes. It was a brave decision to drop the player who had made 120 consecutive Premier League games for the Toffees, but his replacement Robin Olsen made some good saves in the loss at Newcastle, it will be interesting to see who gets the nod in goal.

Lucas Digne, who has had great input to the team, with runs from the left side will be an important miss after seeing red on the South Coast against Brighton and will miss this game. Richarlison will feature though after completing his suspension.

The defeat against Newcastle could be deemed unfair, conceding a penalty after Andre Gomes was adjudged to have fouled Callum Wilson who converted having previously scored from a tap in from close range. Calvert scored in the 84th minute which was his 11th goal of the season but was too late to marshal a comeback. The youngster has been nothing but exceptional scoring in every game this season except their 2 – 0 loss to Southampton including two hat tricks ranking him among the greats in the league and a real contender for the golden boot.

They have now gone three games without a win since drawing against Liverpool 2 – 2, losing 2 – 0 to Southampton and now 2 – 1 against Newcastle, both losses were away from home.

Everton and Manchester United will also face each other in the EFL quarterfinals later this season, with the date yet to be announced.

A bad centurion game for Ole Gunnar Solskjear against Arsenal, October has been a microcosm of the highs and lows of his tenure at the club.

It started with the chastening 6 – 1 loss against Tottenham and ended with the 1 – 0 loss to Arsenal. In between, there was a jaw-dropping 5 – 0 win against RB Leipzig, who many expected to pose a serious problem for the Red Devils. This European victory was after beating the star-studded PSG 2 – 1 away from home. It is, however, their league form that is worrying fans, especially their home form. They have matched an embarrassing 48-year old record dating back to the 1972-73 season in which they finished 18th. They have scored two goals and conceded ten at home.

United in recent years has abandoned the nurturing philosophy that served them so well in the ’90s onwards, resorting instead to the chequebook. During the Alex Ferguson era, scouting players such as Cristiano Ronaldo (who has achieved everything in football) and Wayne Rooney (who became United’s and England’s all-time top goal scorer) were scouted as juveniles and integrated into the squad.

They boast the most expensive defender Harry Maguire and the most expensive midfielder in Paul Pogba in the star-studded side but still look like a side that are far adrift from the success they attained in the past. Rome wasn’t built in a day, of course, but you wonder if patience will run out at the theatre of dreams.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s second-half penalty sealed a first win for the Gunners on United territory in more than 14 years, inflicting a third home defeat in the Premier League this season on the Red Devils in the process. With that in mind, United bosses are growing under increasing pressure to make a decision as far as Solskjaer’s future is concerned, with the Red Devils currently sitting 15th in the Premier League table after six matches. Massimiliano Allegri and Mauricio Pochettino conversations don’t seem so far.


Team News

Everton will be without suspended Digne, but Everton is confident that injured Rodriguez will be available for selection.

The Toffees had an explosive start to the season winning their first four before drawing to Liverpool and losing two in a row.

United are likely to be without Jesse Lingard who didn’t travel to Istanbul, Eric Bailly and Alex Telles who was tested positive for coronavirus.

United have won all their away matches this season three in the league, two in the EFL Cup, and one in the Champions League.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Everton (4-3-1-2): Pickford, Coleman, Mina, Keane, Nkounkou, Doucoure, Davies, Sigurdsson, Rodriguez, Cenk, Calvert-Lewin
Subs: Lossi, Delph, Iwobi, Bernard, Gordon, Tosun, Branthwaite
Injured: Holgate, Gbamin, Coleman
Doubtful: Gomes, Godfrey
Not available: Digne, Richarlison
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Manchester United (4-3-3): De Gea, Wan-Bissaka, Lindeloef, Maguire, Shaw, McTominay, Pogba, Fernandes, Rashford, James, Greenwood
Subs: Henderson, Tuanzebe, Fred, Rojo, Mata, Dalot, McTominay, Matic, Van Beek
Injured: Jones, Bailly, Lingard
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Everton This Season Man United This Season
4th League Position 15th
4 (2) Wins (away) 2 (2)
5 – 2 v West Brom Biggest Win 4 – 1 v Newcastle
1 (0) Draws (away) 1 (0)
0 – 2 v Southampton Biggest Defeat 1 – 6 v Spurs
Calvert-Lewin (8) Top Goal Scorer Fernandes (3)
Y11, R2 Discipline Y13, R1
1 Failures to Score 2
14% Clean Sheets 17%
71% Both Teams to Score Games 67%
71% Over 2.5 Goals 67%
29% Under 2.5 Goals 33%
  • The two sides have met 56 times; The Red Devils have been dominant with 36 wins against The Toffees who have just nine wins with 11 draws between them.
  • On average, Everton scores 2.14 goals and concede 1.57 goals per match. On average Manchester United scores 1.5 goals and concede 2.17 goals per match.
  • Calvert-Lewin has eight goals in seven games only failing to score once against Southampton this season.
  • Rashford, who has two goals, has the best tally for United in open play. Bruno, who has three goals, is another threat, especially from the penalty spot.

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
01/03/2020 EPL Everton 1 – 1 Man U Calvert-Lewin 3’
15/12/2019 EPL Man U 1 – 1 Everton Greenwood 77’
21/04/2019 EPL Everton 4 – 0 Man U Richarlison 13’
28/10/2019 EPL Man U 2 – 1 Everton Pogba 27’
01/01/2018 EPL Everton 0 – 2 Man U Martial 57’

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Everton’s bubble seems to have burst after a storming start to the season, ill-discipline and players carrying injuries has hurt the Toffees hard. That said, they have players in the shape of Dominic Calvert-Lewin and James Rodríguez who can change a game in an instant. They are an attacking team, full of spirit that no team will fancy playing.

United seem to be suffering from Schizophrenia. At home they are woeful, averaging 0.25 points per game, away, they are a different beast with a 100% record. While Everton’s team seems to pick itself, Ole Gunnar Solskjær seems to struggle to pick his best eleven. Rotation is sensible with a packed schedule, but the price he is paying is consistency from his team.

All things considered, we are going for an Everton win here. Everton may have hit a bump in the road, but you sense unity in the Everton side, something the United team seem to lack. Recently this United team don’t start playing the football we know they are capable of until the last quarter of a game; it could be all over by then. Everton are priced @ 19/10, remember at bet365 they will pay out if a team takes a two-goal lead, we think that will happen.