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Arsenal Travel to Tottenham in the London Derby

Last updated: July 10, 2020 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Sunday, 16:30
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: DWLWD
Away Form: WWWWD
Last Meeting: Arsenal 2 – 2 Spurs
Competition: EPL

The London Derby is our focus this weekend as Arsenal make the short trip to Tottenham. Just a point separates the teams, and both will be desperate for points as they chase a Europa League spot. Inexperienced Mikel Arteta faces José Mourinho, who will prevail?

The ‘Special One’ on the team’s current form could lead Spurs to finish outside the top six for the first time since 2009. The standards are high as his predecessor, Mauricio Pochettino, transformed the side to a consistent top-four club and even led them to the finals of the Champions League. Jose Mourinho has a fully recovered squad with Harry Kane and Son as well as players he longed to sign while at Old Trafford such as Toby Alderweireld, who has played just 13 minutes since the restart.

Tottenham’s win against Everton on Monday night was courtesy of an own goal by Michael Keane that gave them the victory. Ben Davies at left-back was the best player on the pitch, and there were also good performances from Eric Dier, Harry Winks and Hugo Lloris in goal.

Tottenham’s next fixture, a 0 – 0 draw against Bournemouth, highlighted Tottenham’s lack of attacking prowess. They were short of creativity and fluidity going forward, which seems almost unbelievable to say with players of the calibre of Harry Keane and Son Heung-Min in the team.

A match deemed the worst game since the restart, a full-strength Spurs attack couldn’t penetrate the most porous defence since the restart and didn’t even record a shot on target. The first time that a Mourinho side had failed to register a shot on goal since April 2007 when he was Chelsea manager against Newcastle. A silver lining for Jose was the first back to back clean sheet in the Premier League since April 2019. This clean sheet was just their second on the road in 24 away League games.

Jose Mourinho was in a frosty mood after the Bournemouth draw and controversially called out VAR official Michael Oliver. Mourinho had already criticised Oliver’s decision to rule out Lucas Moura’s goal at Sheffield United and was incensed when the same official failed to award Tottenham a penalty after what appeared to be a blatant push on Harry Kane by Josh King. Referee Paul Tierney was unmoved, and Oliver chose not to intervene.

However, it was VAR that was Tottenham’s saviour in the game when Callum Wilson’s acrobatic stoppage-time effort was adjudged to have struck Joshua King’s arm as it went in. And despite Mourinho’s issues with Oliver, technology has been kind to Spurs, they have had six goals against them ruled out by VAR, only Southampton (7) has more.

Harry Kane has managed over 20 goals in the PL for four consecutive seasons since the 2014-15 season with last season’s tally of 17 his lowest numbers and currently on just 13 goals.

Arsenal could well be forgiven for not being the greatest fans of VAR, as they have had the most decisions go against them in the ‘big six’. The most recent example is the red card shown to Eddie Nketiah in the 1-1 draw with Leicester. The referee initially showed Nketiah a yellow card for his high tackle on James Justin, but after consulting with the VAR officials and viewing a replay himself at the pitchside monitor, he changed this to red. This decision infuriated manager Mikel Arteta, especially as VAR inexplicably missed a flying boot into the temple of Mustafi by Jamie Vardy. Arsenal should have really killed off the game in the first half, but the Foxes fought back to kill off Arsenal’s Champion League hopes.

Dani Ceballos is the new creative heartbeat in the Gunners midfield and is forming a formidable partnership with Granit Xhaka. The only game the Real Madrid loanee didn’t start was the FA Cup quarterfinal against Sheffield United, in that game he came off the bench to score the winning goal.

Another standout player is Bakayo Saka. Trent Alexander-Arnold and Kevin De Bruyne are the only top-flight players to have created more goals than Saka this season. His performances have been that good that the club has just agreed on a new long-term contract with the youngster that sees his wages jump from £3,000 a week to £30,000.

Aubamyang’s 20 goals are only eclipsed by Jamie Vardy’s 22 in the race to the golden boot race. The 31-year old was on target in the 1-1 with Leicester, and the Arsenal’s captain is already in the Emirates record books as the fastest player in the club’s history to get to 50 goals. He also matched legend Thierry Henry, becoming the second player to score 20 in two consecutive seasons.

Arsenal’s goalkeeping woes seem to be way behind them as Emiliano Martinez proving himself as a worthy deputy to Benard Leno, conceding just once in the last four games in all competitions. Before the 1-1 draw with Leicester, Arsenal had three consecutive clean sheets.

Both sides will be featuring their club’s record buys, Tanguy Ndombele was signed for Spurs for £55.45m & £8.97m in add-ons, and Nicholas Pepe cost Arsenal £72m. Ndombele featured for only 19 minutes in their 3 – 1 defeat to Sheffield United and has had limited game time, a thousand minutes in which he has two goals and two assists. Pepe has also struggled to justify his price tag but has five goals and six assists.


Team News

Harry Kane has managed over 20 goals in the Premier League for four consecutive seasons since the 2014-15 season with last season’s tally of 17 his lowest numbers and is currently on just 13 goals.

If Mourinho doesn’t lead Spurs to a top-six finish, it would be the first time the club has failed to do so since 2009.

Arsenal is looking well-structured and disciplined defensively, conceding just once and keeping three clean sheets in the last four games.

Aubameyang is in the golden boot race looking to win it for a second consecutive time. He has 20 goals and is the second player after Thierry Henry to score 20 goals in two successive seasons for Arsenal.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Spurs (4–3-1): Lloris, Aurier, Alderwierld, Sanchez, Davies, Winks, Ndombele, Lo Celso,Bergwijn, Son, Kane
Subs: Gazzaniga, Vertonghen, Moura, Gedson, Skipp, Sissoko, Foyth
Injured: Tangatanga
Doubtful:
Not available: Alli, Dier
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Arsenal (3-4-2-1): Martinez, Bellerin, Mustafi, Luiz, Kolasnic, Ceballos, Xhaka, Pepe, Saka, Aubameyang, Lacazette
Subs: Holding, Willock, Nelson, Maitland-Niles, Torreira, Saka, Nketiah, Cedric, Tierney, Medley, Guendouzi
Injured: Chambers, Leno, Martinelli, Mari, Sokratis
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Spurs This Season Arsenal This Season
9th League Position 8th
13 (3) Wins (away) 12 (4)
5 – 0 v Burnley Biggest Win 4 – 0 v Norwich
10 (7) Draws (away) 14 (8)
0 – 3 v Brighton Biggest Defeat 0 – 3 v Man City
Kane (13) Top Goal Scorer Aubameyang (20)
Y70, R3 Discipline Y73, R5
7 Failures to Score 6
21% Clean Sheets 29%
65% Both Teams to Score Games 59%
59% Over 2.5 Goals 53%
41% Under 2.5 Goals 47%
  • This London Derby has been played 50 times; Arsenal have 22 wins, Spurs have ten wins with eight draws between them.
  • Two recent draws and home wins in the other three of the five matches is a good omen for Tottenham.
  • Since the restart, Kane has scored two goals compared to Aubameyang’s Three.
  • The hosts still have Leicester City to play while Arsenal has to face Liverpool and Manchester City in their next two games.

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
01/09/2019 EPL Arsenal 2 – 2 Spurs Eriksen 10’
02/03/2019 EPL Spurs 1 – 1 Arsenal Ramsey 16’
02/12/2018 EPL Arsenal 4 – 2 Spurs Aubameyang 10′
10/02/2018 EPL Spurs 1 – 0 Arsenal Kane 49’
18/11/2017 EPL Arsenal 2 – 0 Spurs Mustafi 36’

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Despite the attacking talent at his disposal, José Mourinho’s Tottenham is labouring to score goals as seen in the dire 0-0 draw with struggling Bournemouth. His rant about VAR referee Michael Oliver may end up costly as the man with the whistle on Sunday is of course.. Michael Oliver! So whatever happens in the game, we can expect Mourinho to be very vocal and the centre of attention after the match.

For Arsenal, this is a must-win game if they are to qualify for Europe via the league. They are on a nightmare run of fixtures though, after Tottenham they face champions Liverpool and then deposed champions Manchester City. There is a chance they could qualify for Europe by winning the FA Cup, although they face Manchester City in their semi-final.

This game is a tough one to call and one that could go either way and for that reason, we believe it will be a 1-1 draw. 888sport are offering 11/2 for that scoreline. As there have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Tottenham’s last six games, the under 2.5 goals market also seems sensible at 21/20.