Will Chelsea Spoil Liverpool’s Party?
Last updated: July 22, 2020 by Leon Marshal
|Last Meeting:||Chelsea 2 – 0 Liverpool|
The football on the pitch is likely to play second fiddle as far as Liverpool fans are concerned as tonight, is the night, they have waited thirty years for and they finally get to lift the Premier League trophy. Don’t expect Chelsea to roll over though; they desperately need points for Champions League qualification.
All eyes will be on Merseyside tonight as Liverpool finally get their hands on their first Premier League trophy. The Champions are unbeaten in 58 Premier League home games, and If they manage to avoid defeat against the Blues, it will be their ninth season finishing a top-flight campaign unbeaten at home. They have however dipped in standards since their coronation was confirmed, dropping eight points in the last five games. With the senior players focused on celebrating, there has been little about football in the camp ahead of their glorious night.
Arsenal beat Jürgen Klopp’s team for the first time coming from behind to win 2 – 1. The Champions took the lead in the 20th minute through Sadio Mane only for the Alexander Lacazette to pounce on Van Dijk error to go around Alisson and slot home in the 32nd minute. A minute before the break, Alisson was at fault, giving the ball possession away and was punished clinically by Reiss Nelson. The loss meant they cannot now reach the 100-point mark.
Liverpool’s success this side has owed much to the involvement to their attack by defenders; Robertson has had an impressive season with 26 assists and 28 big chances created while Trent Alexander-Arnold has 12 League assists. Firmino has also been instrumental, especially away from home as he has scored a record eight for Liverpool on their travels. Firminho is much more than goals, though; his inclusion brings balance to the side.
Chelsea comes into this game on the back of a comfortable 3 – 1 FA Cup semi-final win against Manchester United. Goals by Oliver Giroud, Mason Mount, and an own goal by Harry Maguire means it’s going to be a London derby at the Wembley finals. Chelsea barely needed to go into second gear against a lacklustre United side.
It has been a very successful season for debutant manager Frank Lampard with the potential of finishing third in the table, qualify for the UEFA Champions League, and could get his first managerial silverware in the FA Cup. The Blues legend has surpassed his expectation having to start his career on a transfer ban and losing their best player Eden Hazard. They trail the German Bundesliga champion’s three-nil in the Round of 16 ahead of the return leg at the Allianz Arena.
There is a thirty point difference between the sides, the visitors having scored 13 fewer goals and have conceded 20 more goals, showing how high the bar has been set. This gap between the clubs has prompted Chelsea to boost their squad, acquiring two of the most exceptional young talents in Europe, Hakim Ziyech and Timo Werner.
There is also the likelihood of bringing in highly-rated Kai Havertz to boost the squad and attempt to make ground on the Champions. Frank Lampard’s side has everything to play for in this match with UEFA qualification still not secured yet and stiff competition from Manchester United and Leicester who are breathing down their neck.
Chelsea has been perennial party poopers, securing 18 wins (the highest in the division) against sides that start the day on top of the table. Giroud is on form in front of goal with six goals in the last ten, more than he managed in his previous 46 games for the Blues. Only Kante is likely to be missing in what is an almost a full-strength team to pick from for Chelsea.
Liverpool will be handed the trophy regardless of the result. They were confirmed as Champions with seven games to go with a massive point difference over Manchester City.
James Milner is back in training and could feature, but Henderson and Matip are out for the season.
The Blues have a successful season on sit third in the table and are in the finals of the FA Cup. They are still in contention in the Round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League.
Chelsea has lost just one of the last nine away game against Liverpool.
|Liverpool (4-3-3):||Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson, Fabinho, Wijnaldum, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Salah, Firmino, Mane|
|Subs:||Adrian, Kelleher, Gomez, Lovren, Henderson, Lallana, Williams, Jones, Elliott, Keita, Minnamino|
|Injured:||Milner, Henderson, Matip|
|Chelsea (3-4-2-1):||Arrizabalaga, Azpiliqueta, Rudiger, Zouma, Christensen, Alonso, Kovacic, Jorginho, Mount, Willian, Giroud|
|Subs:||Caballero, Barkley, Christensen, Hudson-Odoi, Kante, Loftus-Cheek, Pulisic, Van Ginel, Emerson, Abraham, Tomori|
So Far This Season
|Liverpool This Season||Chelsea This Season|
|30 (13)||Wins (away)||19 (9)|
|4 – 0 v Crystal Palace||Biggest Win||4 – 0 v Everton|
|3 (2)||Draws (away)||6 (3)|
|0 – 4 v Man City||Biggest Defeat||0 – 4 v Man United|
|Salah (19)||Top Goal Scorer||Abraham (14)|
|Y37, R1||Discipline||Y58, R0|
|3||Failures to Score||5|
|53%||Both Teams to Score Games||56%|
|67%||Over 2.5 Goals||67%|
|33%||Under 2.5 Goals||33%|
- The Reds and Blue have played each other 64 times. Chelsea have been superior in this fixture with 26 wins against Liverpool’s 21 wins with 17 draws between them.
- Liverpool has been susceptible to errors conceding four in the last three games as the campaign draws to a close while Chelsea’s backline has not been totally solid either.
- Giroud has scored six goals in his last ten and would lead the Chelsea line ahead of their top scorer Abraham who has 14 goals.
- Salah (19) and Mane (17) have been involved in a combined 55 goals this season but are still behind this season’s top scorer Vardy (23).
Head to Head
|Last 5 meetings between the two sides|
|Date||Competition||Game Result||First Goal-scorer|
|03/03/2020||FA Cup||Chelsea 2 – 0 Liverpool||Willian 13’|
|22/08/2019||EPL||Chelsea 1 – 2 Liverpool||Arnold 14’|
|14/08/2019||UEFA Super Cup||Liverpool 2 – 2 Chelsea||Giroud 36′|
|29/09/2018||EPL||Chelsea 1 – 1 Liverpool||Hazard 2’|
|26/09/2018||EPL||Liverpool 1 – 2 Chelsea||Sturridge 58’|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
It’s no big surprise that Liverpool’s form has dropped off since the restart, the gap between the champions and City meant Liverpool could simply jog over the line. Klopp will want his players to put on a show tonight though, the stadium might be empty, but millions will be watching, and Liverpool would love to reward their fans for their patience over thirty years.
Chelsea are the masters of taking advantage of teams when they lower their guard. They have beaten a club that is in the top spot on eighteen occasions, more than any other team. They also desperately need the points, failure to win here and a defeat to 6th placed Wolves on the last day would allow Leicester and Manchester United to settle for a draw and take the last two Champions League spots.
With defeat being costly for either side, we feel a draw is likely in this game and the stats back that up with Chelsea being undefeated in nine of the last ten away matches against Liverpool and Liverpool being unbeaten at home in 56 games. 1-1 @ 7/1 with bet365 is good value, 2-2 is also available @ 12/1.