First takes on third in a classic EPL clash
Last updated: April 12, 2019 by Leon Marshal
|Last Meeting:||Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea|
Every game is key for both of these teams at this stage in the season, but this one is especially important. Liverpool, fighting to win their first league title for 28 years, are as close as they have ever been. Chelsea, battling for a top four finish and Champions League football next season, cannot afford to drop points, with four teams fighting for essentially two UCL places.
Despite just two places separating these two teams, Liverpool are firm favourites. The Reds are simply immense at home. They’ve dropped points just twice at Anfield this season, drawing twice, and have lost just one goal all season, to title contenders Manchester City. Liverpool played in the UCL on Tuesday and a comfortable win against Porto has put them in a very strong position to make it through to the semi finals. There are no new injuries and the team is back winning, after a patchy run that saw them draw five out of seven games. Now, it’s four wins in a row, including a win against Tottenham at the end of March.
Chelsea too have bounced back from a might stutter, and have somehow found themselves back in third spot. The Blues have won three in a row, after a bad run that included defeats to Everton, Arsenal, Manchester City and Bournemouth. With the battle for the two other Champions League spots incredibly tight between four teams, Chelsea cannot afford to drop points. The Blues have two significant disadvantages here. First, they are playing away from home. Liverpool, as we mentioned, are almost unbeatable at home, so the omens for Chelsea are bad. Secondly, Chelsea played on Tuesday in the Europa League, against Prague. While many players were rested, a trip to Czech just three days before this match is hardly the best prep.
Liverpool have welcomed Joe Gomez back to the team recently, and the defender is pushing for a start once again.
Klopp doesn’t like to rotate often, but with a UCL match next week, we may see changes in the midfield.
Chelsea played in the Europa League on Thursday night. Olivier Giroud started that match, meaning we should see Higuain start here.
Eden Hazard is in fine form and the star is sure to return to the starting lineup here.
|Liverpool (4-3-3):||Alisson, Robertson, van Dijk, Matip, Alexander-Arnold, Milner, Wijnaldum, Fabinho, Salah, Mane, Firmino|
|Subs:||Lovren, Moreno, Shaqiri, Henderson, Keita, Origi, Mignolet|
|Chelsea (4-3-3):||Kepa, Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Luiz, Emerson, Kante, Jorginho, Loftus-Cheek, Hudson-Odoi, Higuain, Hazard|
|Subs:||Barkley, Pedro, Caballero, Kovacic, Girous, Willian, Christensen|
So Far This Season
|Liverpool This Season||Chelsea This Season|
|14 (11)||Wins (away)||11 (9)|
|5 – 0 v Watford||Biggest Win||5 – 0 v Huddersfield|
|2 (5)||Draws (away)||5 (1)|
|1 – 2 v Man City||Biggest Defeat||0 – 6 v Man City|
|Salah (18)||Top Goal Scorer||Hazard (16)|
|Y35, R2||Discipline||Y43, R0|
|3||Failures to Score||7|
|48.4%||Both Teams to Score Games||42.4%|
|57.6%||Over 2.5 Goals||57.5%|
|42.4%||Under 2.5 Goals||42.5%|
- Liverpool are unbeaten at home and have drawn just two. That sort of form is difficult to ignore, whoever the opponent.
- Chelsea have struggled a bit on the road, drawing many of their games.
- Liverpool also have the best defence in the league, especially at home. They have clean sheets in more than half of their games.
- These two teams rank in the top three for best discipline records. That would suggest we shouldn’t see many cards, but the nature of this encounter means it could get heated.
Head to Head
|Last 5 meetings between the two sides|
|Date||Competition||Game Result||First Goal-scorer|
|29/09/2018||EPL||Chelsea 1 – 1 Liverpool||Hazard 25′|
|26/09/2018||League Cup||Liverpool 1 – 2 Chelsea||Sturridge 58′|
|06/05/2018||EPL||Chelsea 1 – 0 Liverpool||Giroud 32′|
|25/11/2017||EPL||Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea||Salah 65’|
|31/01/2017||EPL||Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea||Luiz 24’|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
You have to go back to 2016 for Liverpool’s last win against Chelsea. The Blues have won 2 of the last five meetings between the teams, with the other two draws. However, Liverpool have improved each year since that last win, and are now in fairness a much better team that Chelsea. You only have to look at their home record all season to see that they are huge favourites here, so we’ll be going for the Liverpool win, which you can get at Betfred.