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First takes on third in a classic EPL clash

Last updated: April 12, 2019 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Sunday, 16:30
Venue: Anfield
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: WWLDW
Away Form: LWLWL
Last Meeting: Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea
Competition: EPL

Every game is key for both of these teams at this stage in the season, but this one is especially important. Liverpool, fighting to win their first league title for 28 years, are as close as they have ever been. Chelsea, battling for a top four finish and Champions League football next season, cannot afford to drop points, with four teams fighting for essentially two UCL places.

Despite just two places separating these two teams, Liverpool are firm favourites. The Reds are simply immense at home. They’ve dropped points just twice at Anfield this season, drawing twice, and have lost just one goal all season, to title contenders Manchester City. Liverpool played in the UCL on Tuesday and a comfortable win against Porto has put them in a very strong position to make it through to the semi finals. There are no new injuries and the team is back winning, after a patchy run that saw them draw five out of seven games. Now, it’s four wins in a row, including a win against Tottenham at the end of March.

Chelsea too have bounced back from a might stutter, and have somehow found themselves back in third spot. The Blues have won three in a row, after a bad run that included defeats to Everton, Arsenal, Manchester City and Bournemouth. With the battle for the two other Champions League spots incredibly tight between four teams, Chelsea cannot afford to drop points. The Blues have two significant disadvantages here. First, they are playing away from home. Liverpool, as we mentioned, are almost unbeatable at home, so the omens for Chelsea are bad. Secondly, Chelsea played on Tuesday in the Europa League, against Prague. While many players were rested, a trip to Czech just three days before this match is hardly the best prep.


Team News

Liverpool have welcomed Joe Gomez back to the team recently, and the defender is pushing for a start once again.

Klopp doesn’t like to rotate often, but with a UCL match next week, we may see changes in the midfield.

Chelsea played in the Europa League on Thursday night. Olivier Giroud started that match, meaning we should see Higuain start here.

Eden Hazard is in fine form and the star is sure to return to the starting lineup here.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Liverpool (4-3-3): Alisson, Robertson, van Dijk, Matip, Alexander-Arnold, Milner, Wijnaldum, Fabinho, Salah, Mane, Firmino
Subs: Lovren, Moreno, Shaqiri, Henderson, Keita, Origi, Mignolet
Injured:
Doubtful: Oxlade-Chamberlain, Lallana
Not available:
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Chelsea (4-3-3): Kepa, Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Luiz, Emerson, Kante, Jorginho, Loftus-Cheek, Hudson-Odoi, Higuain, Hazard
Subs: Barkley, Pedro, Caballero, Kovacic, Girous, Willian, Christensen
Injured:
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

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Liverpool This Season Chelsea This Season
1st League Position 3rd
14 (11) Wins (away) 11 (9)
5 – 0 v Watford Biggest Win 5 – 0 v Huddersfield
2 (5) Draws (away) 5 (1)
1 – 2 v Man City Biggest Defeat 0 – 6 v Man City
Salah (18) Top Goal Scorer Hazard (16)
Y35, R2 Discipline Y43, R0
3 Failures to Score 7
42.4% Clean Sheets 42.4%
48.4% Both Teams to Score Games 42.4%
57.6% Over 2.5 Goals 57.5%
42.4% Under 2.5 Goals 42.5%
  • Liverpool are unbeaten at home and have drawn just two. That sort of form is difficult to ignore, whoever the opponent.
  • Chelsea have struggled a bit on the road, drawing many of their games.
  • Liverpool also have the best defence in the league, especially at home. They have clean sheets in more than half of their games.
  • These two teams rank in the top three for best discipline records. That would suggest we shouldn’t see many cards, but the nature of this encounter means it could get heated.

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
29/09/2018 EPL Chelsea 1 – 1 Liverpool Hazard 25′
26/09/2018 League Cup Liverpool 1 – 2 Chelsea Sturridge 58′
06/05/2018 EPL Chelsea 1 – 0 Liverpool Giroud 32′
25/11/2017 EPL Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea Salah 65’
31/01/2017 EPL Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea Luiz 24’

Conclusion & Betting Tips

You have to go back to 2016 for Liverpool’s last win against Chelsea. The Blues have won 2 of the last five meetings between the teams, with the other two draws. However, Liverpool have improved each year since that last win, and are now in fairness a much better team that Chelsea. You only have to look at their home record all season to see that they are huge favourites here, so we’ll be going for the Liverpool win, which you can get at Betfred.