It’s Leicester City vs Liverpool for the second time in a week!
Last updated: September 21, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Venue:||King Power Stadium|
|Coverage:||BT Sport 1|
|Home Team Form:||LWLLD|
|Away Team Form:||DWWLD|
|Last Meeting:||Leicester 2 – 0 Liverpool|
Football rewards efficiency. It doesn’t matter how many chances you create if you cannot convert them in the final field of the pitch. For example, in Liverpool’s last five games, they have had 87 shots but only managed to score 3 goals. That’s a conversion rate of just four percent. They had 21 shots alone and scored no goals on Tuesday. Leicester, on the other hand, managed to win 2-0 with only 8 shots – a 25% success rate. The reason for their success was simple. Leicester could more or less absorb the pressure of a constant Liverpool attack as their conversion rate was so wasteful. Leicester on the other hand, easily capitalised on the higher quality chances gifted to them by sloppy defensive play. A return leg, albeit at the same stadium, will require Liverpool to switch up their tactics while Leicester can more or less knuckle down and play the same.
At this early stage neither team is doing particularly well. Liverpool have yet to win a game since they demolished Arsenal 4-0 last month. Their battering by Manchester City seems to have affected their confidence, seeing them draw in the Champions League, draw against Burnley, and get knocked out of the League Cup. Leicester, with only four points in five games, are also struggling; new signing Iheanacho failing to make much of a mark. It is evident that they are still suffering from the departure of Danny Drinkwater, and will need to restrategise in the middle in order to regain their form.
One thing now Liverpool might have in their favour is Coutinho fully recovered from injury. Easily their best player, he showed promise in the first half of Tuesday’s game before being subbed off. If he doesn’t do an Özil and commits to the team after all this Barcelona transfer talk, he could be the difference between the two sides. Additionally, the Mane-Firmino-Salah trio was missing in action, and should be back to genuinely threaten the Leicester defence. As for Oxlade-Chamberlain – I’m still not sure what his purpose in the team is, given his poor finishing ability and unenthusiastic play. Maybe put him on the bench.
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain was widely criticised by the Liverpool Echo after his debut, with one writer asking: “Do they do fitness training at Arsenal?”
Speaking about Tuesday’s game, Jürgen Klopp has remarked that he felt sick regarding Liverpool’s disastrous defending.
Shinji Okazaki should start after his assist and goal on Tuesday, Craig Shakespeare lavishing upon him a lot of praise: “”He has walked away with the man of the match trophy and he didn’t even play half the game. That just shows you the level of his contribution and impact he was able to make from the bench.”
The Japanese striker also had a lot of kinds words regarding his team-mate Islam Slimani – stating that: “Islam has good quality and, if he has more confidence, he will score more goals like this.”
|Leicester City (4-4-2):||Hamer; Amartey, Dragovic, Morgan, Chilwell; Albrighton, Iborra, Ndidi, Gray; Okazaki, Iheanacho|
|Subs:||Jakupovic, Benalouane, Choudhury, Mahrez, Musa, Slimani, Musa|
|Doubtful:||Vardy, Fuchs, James|
|Liverpool (4-3-3):||Mignolet; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Klavan, Moreno; Henderson, Can, Wijnaldum; Salah, Mane, Firmino|
|Subs:||Karius, Lovren, Gomez, Milner, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Solanke, Sturridge|
|Injured:||Lallana, Clyne, Bogdan|
So Far This Campaign
|Leicester City So Far This Campaign||Liverpool So Far This Campaign|
|1 (0)||Wins (away)||2 (0)|
|2-0 vs. Brighton & Hove||Biggest Win||4-0 vs. Arsenal|
|2 (1)||Draws (away)||1 (1)|
|0 – 2 vs Manchester United||Biggest Defeat||0 – 5 vs Manchester City|
|Vardy (4)||Top Goal Scorer||Mane (3)|
|Y6, R0||Discipline||Y9, R1|
|1||Failures to Score||1|
|60%||Both Teams to Score Games||40%|
|60%||Over 2.5 Goals||60%|
|40%||Under 2.5 Goals||40%|
- Leicester have scored in their last five games against Liverpool. They will probably do it again here.
- Neither team has won away yet this season. This could prove problematic for the visiting Liverpool side.
- With both teams featuring in games with over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, could we see a goal-fest this weekend?
- Vardy has four goals in five games. If he is match-fit, will we see him score again here?
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|19/09/2017||Leicester City 2 – 0 Liverpool||League Cup||Okazaki 65′|
|22/07/2017||Leicester 1 – 2 Liverpool||Premier League Asia Trophy Final||Slimani 12′|
|27/02/2017||Leicester City 3 – 1 Liverpool||Premier League||Vardy 28′|
|10/09/2016||Liverpool 4 – 1 Leicester City||Premier League||Firmino 13′|
|02/02/2016||Leciester City 2 – 0 Liverpool||Premier League||Vardy 60′|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Despite their defeat on Tuesday, Liverpool remain the favourites this weekend at odds of 10/11 at William Hill. On the other hand, Leicester remain quite tasty opposition, and are a good team to back at odds of 14/5. If you are looking to add extra value to your bet, a great idea is to back a player and a team to win. For example, you can get great odds for Mohamed Salah to score and Liverpool to win at 11/4, or Vardy to score and Leicester to win at 5/1. My best tip however, considering the amount of goals both teams can stack up, is Liverpool to win and both teams to score at a respectful 13/5. Happy punting!