Denmark and Republic of Ireland battle for a place at the World Cup

Last updated: November 9, 2017 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Saturday, 19:45pm
Venue: Parken Stadium
Coverage: Sky Sports 1
Home Team Form: WWWWD
Away Team Form: WLDDW
Last Meeting: Denmark 0 – 4 Ireland
Competition: World Cup 2018

Finishing off the first legs of the playoff stage will be Denmark and Ireland. Denmark’s away form was better than at home in the qualifying stages, while Ireland were also unbeaten away from home in the group. Two opposing styles will be on display as Ireland’s resolute, organised style will attempt to nullify the creativity of Denmark.

Denmark’s qualification campaign got off on the wrong foot as they lost two of their first three matches. They’re unbeaten since then however and are perhaps the form team among those left at this stage. Ending the campaign with a draw meant they couldn’t make it five wins in a row, but despite this, they are currently a formidable opponent. A lot of that is down to play-maker Christian Eriksen. The Spur’s star scored eight goals in qualifying, almost half of the team’s total of twenty. But the Danish squad has quality littered throughout. One upcoming name is Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen, who has found a way into the Chelsea first team and is likely to start here.

Ireland originally expressed relief that they had avoided Italy in the draw. Over the last few weeks reality has set in however, as the strength of the Danish team becomes clearer. The task will be made more difficult by the fact that Ireland will be without key personnel. David Meyler is suspended for the first leg, while James McCarthy, Richard Keogh and Sean Maguire have all pulled out of the squad due to injury. Ireland’s form was not too hot towards the end of the group stage, but the picture looks better when considering that the Irish lost just one match the whole campaign. That resilience will be key to making it through. This away leg will be a real test that Ireland will likely be happy to walk away from with a draw.

Team News

Christian Eriksen has eight goals in the competition already and is sure to start for Denmark.

Andreas Christensen has shone for Chelsea in recent weeks and could get the nod to feature in central defence.

David Meyler is suspended for the first leg, which means Glenn Whelan is likely to feature in midfield.

Ireland will be missing a number of key players; Jeff Hendrick is a doubt, while James McCarthy, Richard Keogh and Sean Maguire have all pulled out of the squad.

Expected Line-Ups:

Denmark (4-2-3-1): Schmeichel, Durmisi, Christensen, Kjaer, Kvist, Delaney, Eriksen, Bendtner, Dalsgaard, Poulsen, Emirmija
Subs: Lossl, Ronnow, Jensen, Vestergaard, Fischer, Bjelland, Jorgensen, Dolberg, Ankersen, Lerager, schone, Cornelius
Not available:
Republic of Ireland (4-5-1): Randolph, Christie, Murphy, Clark, Brady, McClean, Hendrick, Ward, Whelan, Duffy, Arter
Subs: Doyle, Elliot, O’Shea, McGeady, Hogan, O’Dowda, Hoolahan, Hourihane, Long
Injured: McCarthy, Keogh, Maguire
Doubtful: Hendrick
Not available: Meyler

So Far This Campaign

. . .
Denmark So Far This Campaign Republic of Ireland So Far This Campaign
2nd League Position 2nd
3 (3) Wins (away) 2 (3)
4-0 vs. Poland Biggest Win 3-1 vs. Moldova
1 (1) Draws (away) 2 (2)
2 – 3 vs. Poland Biggest Defeat 0 – 1 vs Serbia
Christian Eriksen (8) Top Goal Scorer James McClean (4)
Y12, R0 Discipline Y22, R0
2 Failures to Score 2
4 Clean Sheets 5
50% Both Teams to Score Games 40%
50% Over 2.5 Goals 20%
50% Under 2.5 Goals 80%
  • Denmark score more goals than Ireland, but they concede more too. Half of Denmark’s games have featured both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
  • Ireland have kept a clean sheet in half of their games in qualifying. Along with losing just one game, this is an impressive record in what was a tough group.
  • Christian Eriksen has eight goals in ten qualification games for Denmark. In form for club and country, he will be the one pulling the strings for the Danes.
  • Ireland won their last two games, but prior to that they were four games without a win, recording three draws and one defeat.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
22/08/20017 Denmark 0 – 4 Republic of Ireland International Friendly Robbie Keane 29′
27/03/2002 Republic of Ireland 3 – 0 Denmark International Friendly Harte 19′
28/04/1993 Republic of Ireland 1 – 1 Denmark World Cup Vilfort 27′
14/10/1992 Denmark 0 – 0 Republic of Ireland World Cup —‘
13/11/1985 Republic of Ireland 1 – 4 Denmark World Cup Stapleton 4′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Denmark scored twenty goals in qualifying, compared to Ireland’s twelve. The Danes can be free scoring when they turn on the flair, but Ireland are a tough nut to crack.

Ireland will likely approach this game as they have many away fixtures and prove difficult to break down, with a draw probably a satisfactory result for them. This tactic has worked well and 80% of Ireland’s group games featured under 2.5 goals. For this reason, we’re fancying that as a strong bet. Pushed for a winner, the onus is on Denmark and they could nick a slim victory. Combining the two with Denmark to win + over 2.5 goals gives a very enticing price of 9/4, while under 2.5 goals is priced around 7/5. You can these prices at Titanbet.