Can Chelsea keep the dream of a top four finish alive?

Last updated: May 4, 2018 by Leon Marshal

Game details

. .

Kick-off: Sunday, 16:30
Venue: Stamford Bridge
Coverage: Talk Sport
Home Team Form: WLLDL
Away Team Form: WDDLL
Last Meeting: Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea
Competition: Premier League

Two teams with much different outlooks on the season so far meet on Saturday on Stamford Bridge. Chelsea, currently sitting outside of the Champions League places for next season, will face Liverpool, who recently made it through to this season’s Champions League final.

Chelsea’s chances of making it into a Champions League spot have long been written off but it’s not impossible yet. A few recent slip ups from Liverpool have meant that Chelsea can take over either Liverpool or Tottenham, but they will need to win all of their remaining three games and for results to go their way. That means starting with a win here. Chelsea have won their last three and might actually fancy themselves here. Despite Liverpool just making it past Roma on aggregate in the second leg of the Champions League semi-final, they lost that match 4-2, meaning they are without a win in all competitions in three games. Antonio Conte will have a full strength squad to choose from and will be especially pleased at Marcos Alonso’s return from injury.

However, Liverpool will be on a high after reaching said Champions League final. A thrilling semi-final finished 7-6 to the Reds on aggregate and they will face Real Madrid in Kiev in the final. There are still two Premier League matches to play though and getting the job of finishing in the top four done. A point here would be enough to clinch it and for Chelsea to overtake Liverpool, they’d have to win all of their remaining three games, while Liverpool would have to lose here and lose their last match against Brighton. That’s very unlikely but Klopp will not be complacent. There’s a two week break for his players to prepare for the final after the last league match, so Klopp will likely play his strongest team, including Mohamed Salah, as the Egyptian looks to consolidate his position as the top scorer in his incredible first season at Anfield.

Team News

David Luiz is the only first team absentee as Conte has an almost fully fit squad to choose from.

The questions are in attack, where Willian hasn’t featured much in recent weeks and Conte must choose between Giroud or Morata up front.

There are no new injuries for Liverpool and Joe Gomez is nearing a return from an arm injury.

The injuries have stacked up in midfield though and Klopp has to tough decisions to make about resting players, as he can ill afford another injury to a key player.

Expected Line-Ups:

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Courtois, Azpilicueta, Cahill, Alonso, Moses, Fàbregas, Kanté, Bakayoko, Willian, Hazard, Giroud
Subs: Caballero, Barkley, Morata, Pedro, Rüdiger, Emerson, Christensen
Injured: Luiz
Not available:
Liverpool (4-3-3): Karius, Alexander-Arnold, Lovren, van Dijk, Robertson, Wijnaldum, Henderson, Milner, Firmino, Salah, Mané
Subs: Clyne, Klavan, Moreno, Mignolet, Ings, Solanke, Woodburn
Injured: Matip, Chamberlain, Can, Lallana
Doubtful: Gomez
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Chelsea So Far This Season Liverpool So Far This Season
5th League Position 3rd
10 (10) Wins (away) 11 (9)
5 – 0 vs. Stoke Biggest Win 5 – 0 vs. Watford
3 (3) Draws (away) 7 (5)
1 – 4 vs Watford Biggest Defeat 0 – 5 vs Manchester City
Eden Hazard (12) Top Goal Scorer Mohamed Salah (31)
Y38, R4 Discipline Y42, R1
6 Failures to Score 6
15 Clean Sheets 15
41% Both Teams to Score Games 50%
55% Over 2.5 Goals 66%
45% Under 2.5 Goals 34%
  • These two teams have similar stats for the season in many respects, with the same number of clean sheets, failures to score and a similar percentage of both teams to score games.
  • Liverpool have outdone Chelsea by the number of draws and defeats though, with just four losses all season compared to Chelsea’s nine.
  • While Liverpool haven’t lost a home game all season, Chelsea have lost at Stamford Bridge four times in the league, suggesting they can be beaten here.
  • Liverpool have one of the best attacks in the league but it’s likely that at least one of their front three will be rested after Wednesday’s Champions League exertions.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
25/11/2017 Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea Premier Leagye Salah 65′
31/01/2017 Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea Premier League Luiz 24′
16/09/2016 Chelsea 1 – 2 Liverpool Premier League Lovren 17′
11/05/2016 Liverpool 1 – 1 Chelsea Premier League Hazard 32′
31/10/2015 Chelsea 1 – 3 Liverpool Premier League Ramires 4′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Three of the last five games between these two have been score draws, while Liverpool have won the other two. Interestingly, both teams have scored in all of the last five meetings.

We don’t see that changing, especially with Chelsea having to push for the win and Liverpool’s defending leaving a lot to be deserved. We’ll be going for both teams to score then, which you can get at Paddy Power.