Chelsea, slowly returning to form, take on Everton at home
Last updated: August 25, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Kick-off:||Sunday, 13:30 pm|
|Home Team Form:||LW|
|Away Team Form:||WD|
|Last Meeting:||Chelsea 3 – 0 Everton|
Chelsea’s smart counterattacking performance against a dominant Tottenham last weekend has mostly dispelled talk of a crisis. Additionally, with Fabregas back in the fold against Everton, and Hazard expected to return soon after, Chelsea will soon have a strong enough squad to mount a convincing title defence. Their next match is a home encounter against Everton, a team they brushed away easily the last time at Stamford Bridge, but may find more difficult to beat this time around.
Everton have started strongly, aided by the revival of Wayne Rooney’s career and the coming-of-age of Calvert-Lewin. Despite the team having multiple injuries, their adoption of a fluid formation against Manchester City allowed them to frustrate their uber-attacking pose and grind out a much deserved draw. Lukaku may be sorely missed, but the money from his sale should be more than recouped in strong signings before the transfer window closes. The one thing they don’t need so urgently is another striker, as Rooney’s two goals so far have proven. Having been written off for Manchester United, his career looks far from over.
The key problem for Chelsea is in finding a striker, like Everton’s Rooney, to replace the ebullient Diego Costa. The best Chelsea strikers in the last fifteen years or so – characters such as Didier Drogba, Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink and Nicholas Anelka – have been able to hold up the ball when Chelsea clear, setting their dazzling wingers free. Morata simply isn’t that kind of player. He is great at link-up play, making darting runs, and scoring goals from the cleverest of angles. This is what made him such an asset for Real Madrid. But in the Premier League, games are won in a much different manner. Batshauyi, likewise, has been impressive in bursts, but has hardly set the league on fire. Chelsea are best when they have strongmen, and need a second option for when Morata cannot make the difference. This is something that Conte is keenly aware of, and this is why he has been pushing for more signings. Despite this, as Chelsea can hold most of the possession against Everton, we can expect them to find a road to victory here. These types of matches will also get a lot easier once Hazard is back leading the line.
It looks like Chelsea are now seriously considering a move for Jamie Vardy. The odds have been slashed by Ladbrokes to a very slim 6/4.
Perennial sideman Batshauyi may have his prayers for constant game time answered soon, with rumors that Lille are considering a whopping €40 million offer.
Rooney’s goal against City now puts him in the Premier League’s “200 club”. The only other member? Alan Shearer with 260! Rooney has a long way to go.
Spurs are looking to sign Everton midfielder, the currently injured Ross Barkley, for the reasonable sum (for football these days) of £28 million.
|Chelsea (3-4-2-1):||Courtois, Luiz, Rüdiger, Azpilicueta, Alonso, Fabregas, Kante, Moses, Pedro, Willian, Morata|
|Subs:||Caballero, Bakayoko, Batshauyi, Christensen, Boga, Rémy, Scott|
|Everton (3-5-2):||Pickford; Keane, Williams, Jagielka; Holgate, Davies, Gueye, Sigurdsson, Baines; Rooney, Calvert-Lewin|
|Subs:||Stekelenburg, Martina, Kenny, Lennon, Sandro, Rodriguez, Niasse|
|Injured:||Barkley, McCarthy, Mori, Coleman, Bolasie, Klaasen|
So Far This Season
|Chelsea So Far This Season||Everton So Far This Season|
|1 (1)||Wins (away)||1 (0)|
|2-1 vs. Tottenham||Biggest Win||1-0 vs Stoke|
|0 (0)||Draws (away)||0 (1)|
|3-2 vs. Burnley||Biggest Defeat||—|
|Alonso (2)||Top Goal Scorer||Rooney (2)|
|Y6, R2||Discipline||Y3, R1|
|0||Failures to Score||0|
|100%||Both Teams to Score Games||50%|
|100%||Over 2.5 Goals||0%|
|0%||Under 2.5 Goals||100%|
- Alonso bagged two goals for Chelsea last weekend. Odds of 20/1 for him to get a brace this time around.
- Rooney has scored in his last two games for Everton. Odds of 5/2 to score at any time.
- Batshauyi scored an own goal against Chelsea last weekend. Odds of 13/2 for this game to have an own goal at any time.
- Last time Chelsea played Everton, it took them until the second half to bang in three goals. Odds of 6/5 for no Chelsea goals in first half.
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|30/04/2017||Everton 0 – 3 Chelsea||Premier League||Pedro 66′|
|05/11/2016||Chelsea 5 – 0 Everton||Premier League||Hazard 19′|
|12/03/2016||Everton 2 – 0 Chelsea||FA Cup||Lukaku 77′|
|16/01/2016||Chelsea 3 – 3 Everton||Premier League||Terry 50′ (og)|
|12/09/2015||Everton 3 – 1 Chelsea||Premier League||Naismith 17′|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Chelsea are the favourites, but the shaky start to their season gives them extremely strong opening odds. William Hill have particularly good odds for Chelsea at 4/9 while Everton are given a decent ranking at 6/1. Therefore with this game, you can get a really decent return simply betting on Chelsea to win and both teams to score, at a highly decent 11/5. Additionally, if you aren’t sure who will win, perhaps it is worth betting on both teams to score and there to be no draw; at a really good 8/5.
As for Everton’s chances, I wouldn’t confidently back them here: yet if you have reason to think they can win, go for the great odds of 16/1 for them to eke out a 1-0 victory. For some real value, my premier betting tip would be in the Score/Win markets. Backing Chelsea to win 2-1 and Wayne Rooney to score is at a ridiculous 20/1, with a Morata goal for the same result at a still impressive 16/1. Additionally, given Alonso’s Chelsea record so far, a bet of Chelsea to win and Alonso to score anytime is at a remarkably 14/5. So have fun and try and find the best angle for yourself.