Betway Lincoln Handicap Preview – Saturday 24th March
Last updated: March 22, 2018 by Leon Marshal
The Lincoln Handicap over one mile at Doncaster is the traditional curtain-raiser to the new flat turf season. The race is frequently run on soft ground where a low draw can prove advantageous.
Penitent was the last successful favourite in 2010 with the seven subsequent winners averaging odds of over 17-1. The last winning favourite in the Lincoln was Penitent for William Haggas in 2010. The average SP of the winner over the last six years has been over 16-1. Richard Fahey has a good recent Lincoln record, having won with Brae Hill (2012) and Gabrial (2015). Paul Cole and William Haggas have also enjoyed success in this competitive handicap over the years.
Addeybb represents Haggas in Lincoln
Haggas has another leading fancy this year in Addeybb, a four-year-old gelding by Pivotal. He has won three of his five races, most recently winning a Newmarket handicap in September. He had previously finished third at Goodwood in August in soft ground and now races off a 6lbs higher mark.
David O’Meara won the race last year with Bravery who is in the field again along with Lord Glitters. The latter was expected to make a successful step up to Listed class at Newmarket in November but was held by Bravo Zolo. He had previously come from a seemingly hopeless position to catch Gm Hopkins in the valuable Balmoral Handicap at Ascot. The going was soft that day and he has gone up 5lbs in the weights.
Ballard Down has been raised 9lbs since his easy win at Newmarket in July. William Knight has booked Harry Bentley for the ride on the improving five-year-old. Henry Spiller’s Leader Writer ran poorly in the Cambridgeshire in September but has been sharpened up with a run at Lingfield on the all-weather.
Moore booked for Fire Brigade
Ryan Moore has been booked to ride Michael Bell’s Fire Brigade, a four-year-old gelding by Firebreak. He gained his fourth career win when beating Chatez at Leicester in October. That followed a close third to Addeybb at Newmarket and he is 2lbs worse off with that rival. Fire Brigade’s odds have tumbled from 12-1 to 6-1 this week.
Chelsea Lad proved very expensive to follow last year, being a beaten favourite on five occasions. That includes when sixth to Dark Red at York in October. He stepped up to a mile and a half for the first time in the November Handicap and was second to Saunter. Martyn Meade’s gelding may find the mile on the sharp side.
Dark Red has won three of his 21 starts and has also been placed on nine occasions. He thoroughly deserved his York success having been harshly demoted after winning at Goodwood. Dark Red will be sharper for his recent fourth at Kempton in a muddling race, although he is arguably best at ten furlongs. Abe Lincoln ran a decent trial when finishing strongly behind C Note at Wolverhampton last weekend. His best form has been on the all-weather but he did finish second at Ascot in soft ground back in 2016.
Big Country won the Lincoln Trial at Wolverhampton when holding Pactolus by three-quarters of a length. That was his first race since finishing fifth to Dark Red at York in October. Repercussion won a Newmarket handicap by five lengths in September for Charlie Fellowes. The handicapper has put him up 10lbs as a result.
Betway Lincoln Handicap Betting Tips
Addeyb @7-1 Betway*
Dark Red @33-1
Each-way ¼ odds, 1,2,3,4
*If your horse finishes second, Betway will refund your win stake as a free bet (up to a maximum £60).
The Betway Lincoln Handicap is due off at 3.35 on Saturday 24th March and will be televised live on ITV4.