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It’s a Scrap for Points as 13th Take on 15th in the Bundesliga

Last updated: June 10, 2020 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Sunday, 14:30
Venue: Opel Arena
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Form: DLDLW
Away Form: LWDLD
Last Meeting: Augsburg 2 – 1 FSV Mainz
Competition: Bundesliga

Things are far from settled at the bottom of the Bundesliga with just six games left for the league to end, eighteen precious points to play for, and nine teams are potential candidates to face the drop. For this week’s match preview we will feature two of those clubs as 13th placed Augsburg travel to 15th placed Mainz. A must-win game for both teams.

Last Saturday, Mainz faced a tricky looking trip to Eintracht Frankfurt. Made even more difficult as it was supposed to be a night of celebration for Frankfurt’s Makoto Hasebe. The 36-year-old midfielder broke the record for the most games by an Asian player in the Bundesliga. His appearance was his 309th for Frankfurt. However, sentiment meant nothing as the Japanese midfielder was powerless to prevent a 2-0 win for Mainz; his team didn’t manage a single shot on target.

Achim Beierlorzer’s boys struck on the cusp of half time when the big centre half Moussa Niakhate met Daniel Brosinki’s corner kick. Pierre Malong Kunde sealed their first win in six games with a solo run after winning possession from midfield, taking the three precious points and a boost in their survival hopes. That result keeps Mainz three points above the relegation play-off spot and a first clean sheet in six is also a big confidence boost.

Mainz’s highest-profile player is Robin Quaison who has twelve goals, and two assists so far this campaign. The 26-year old Swedish international has intelligent movement and always makes an impact on the pitch, and predicted to be their relegation saviour if they stay up. The most improved player and one to watch is Nigerian and Liverpool striker, Taiwo Awoniyi, who is on a season-long loan spell. Used sparingly before the enforced break in March (6 played), he has since featured in all the five matches since the resumption. He has only one goal to his name in Germany, but in his last loan spell at Royal Excel Mouscron, the 22-year-old scored 11 goals in 16 games.

Augsburg missed an early penalty with their forward Florian Niederlechner blaming the empty stadium as he couldn’t listen to the spectator’s taunts. Both sides scored in the final minutes to settle for a 1 – 1 draw. Philipp Max 88th minute goal gave his team a crucial point on their poor run of just two wins in the last 12 games hanging four points above the drop. The visitors had gone ahead through a lovely volley on the edge of the box by Antony Modeste on 85 minutes.

Philipp Max will be a player to watch with the left-back taking matters to his own hands after his team’s offensive players have failed to deliver on numerous opportunities. Maxx’s goal against Koln was remarkably his eighth goal of the season, and with five assists, he is a real maestro for the side.

Augsburg appears safe in the table, but a poor run of just one win in the last ten games will be worrying for the fans who had a very entertaining spell towards the end of last year. From 9th November to 9th January, Augsburg recorded five wins, one draw, and just one loss; they will hope to enjoy another purple patch to stay clear the drop zone. They have an excellent record in this fixture recently, winning the last three consecutive matches.

Mainz have more wins away from home while Augsburg has more wins at home, so both sides will not be at their favoured locations.

There is a ten point’s difference between the mid-table team, Hertha Berlin, and the final relegation play-off spot habited by Dusseldorf. This weekend features two big matches that could change the face of the drop as last-placed SC Paderborn face off against the side above them, Werder Bremen, and the game we are featuring is 15th placed Mainz against 13th placed Augsburg. None of the four or should we say nine sides are safe from the drop in an entertaining mini-league that seems likely will go down to the last day. If we haven’t all defected back to the Premier League by then, it should be entertaining!


Team News

Mainz are 15th in the table, just three points away from the relegation play-off spot (position 16).

Makoto Hasebe’s record for the most games by an Asian player in the Bundesliga racking up his 309th in a night Mainz kept a first clean sheet in five games.

Augsburg has just two wins in the last twelve games but has won the last three consecutive matches against their weekend opponents.

Niederlechner is the main man for the visiting side and will be looking to make up for a missed penalty against FC Koln in their previous match.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Mainz (4-2-3-1): Mueller, Mwene, Juste, Niakhate, Brosinski, Barreiro, Latza, Oztunali, Quaison, Awoniyi, Mateta
Subs: Dahmen, Caricol, Bruma, Hack, Boetius, Kunde, Fernandes, Onisiwo, Szalai
Injured: Zentner
Doubtful:
Not available:
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Augsburg (4-2-3-1): Luthe, Framberger, Jedvaj, Uduokhai, Max, Khedira, Gruezo, Saranren-Bazee, Richter, Vargas, Niederlechner
Subs: Koubek, Lichtsteiner, Suchy, Gouweleeuw, Oxford, Loewen, Teigl, Schieber, Finnbogason
Injured: Asta, Hahn, Moravek
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
Mainz This Season Augsburg This Season
15th League Position 13th
9 (5) Wins (away) 8 (3)
5 – 0 v Werder Bremen Biggest Win 4 – 0 v Hertha Berlin
4 (2) Draws (away) 8 (3)
0 – 8 v Leipzig Biggest Defeat 0 – 5 v Frankfurt
Quaison (12) Top Goal Scorer Niederlechner (11)
Y65, R1 Discipline Y56, R0
10 Failures to Score 8
13% Clean Sheets 20%
57% Both Teams to Score Games 60%
70% Over 2.5 Goals 63%
30% Under 2.5 Goals 37%
  • The sides have met 22 times, with little between them. Both sides recording nine wins and four draws between them.
  • Quaison’s twelve goals and two assists will be the best numbers by any player on the pitch with Augsburg goal threat Niederlechner of eleven following closely.
  • Likely to be a fairly even match between two weak defensive sides. Mainz have kept just four clean sheets in thirty games while Augsburg has kept two more (6) clean sheets.
  • This season both have both not enjoyed a stellar goal-scoring season as both are below the two goals average, FSV Mainz (1.74) against Augsburg (1.77).

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
07/12/2019 Bundesliga Augsburg 2 – 1 FSV Mainz Oztunali 15’
03/02/2019 Bundesliga Augsburg 3 – 0 FSV Mainz Finnbogason 8′
20/10/2018 Bundesliga Augsburg 3 – 2 FSV Mainz Mwene 20’
15/08/2018 Bundesliga FSV Mainz 2 – 1 Augsburg Dong-Won 2’
22/04/2018 Bundesliga Augsburg 2 – 0 FSV Mainz Gregoritsch 29’

Conclusion & Betting Tips

With so much at stake for the teams, it’s easy to imagine a tight, cagey affair. The hope for goals is due to both sides having such a poor defensive record as Mainz have only kept a clean sheet in 13% of games, Augsburg is slightly better on 20%.

The Over 2.5 goals market has been profitable with these teams (70% Mainz and 63% Augsburg), so we would be tempted to stick with a winning formula. Over 2.5 goals is available @ 4/5 with bet365.

Don’t forget that bet365 are streaming all Bundesliga games this season; you don’t need to bet, just ensure you have a positive balance.