Arsenal vs Chelsea: Who Will Lift The Community Shield?

Last updated: August 4, 2017 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Sunday, 14:00 pm
Venue: Wembley Stadium
Coverage: BT Sport
Arsenal Shields: 14
Chelsea Shields: 4
Last Meeting: Chelsea 3 – 0 Arsenal
Competition: Community Shield

The football season is back off this Sunday as Arsenal and Chelsea fight for the Community shield. The match is ostensibly supposed to be a friendly, but given the rivalry between both sides, the meet will be anything but amiable.

Believe it or not, but this is actually the third time Chelsea and Arsenal will face one another since the culmination of the last Premier League season. The first time was at the FA Cup, where a brilliant Arsenal performance, buoyed by a fictional Sánchez goal, saw the Gunners lift the trophy. The second was a preseason warm up at the iconic Bird’s Nest Stadium in Beijing this July, where Chelsea easily triumphed 3-0 courtesy of a Batshuayi brace. If we were to view all three games as a test match, than this would be the ultimate decider.

This analogy is somewhat a false equivalence: the FA Cup is a much more highly esteemed competition than a friendly in China or even the Community Shield, yet the large swing between results here reflects how easily this game could go either way. When Arsenal play at their best, they can have what it takes to win games, but if Chelsea set up correctly on the defensive front, they become almost impossible to break down. It really depends on how psychologically ready both teams are after their lacklustre kickabouts across Asia.

What the match will really offer is an opportunity to see how both teams are feeling after their gruelling pre-season regime and ahead of the Premier League. Arguably Chelsea’s 1-0 loss to Arsenal at Wembley two seasons ago foretold their catastrophic season, while their win against Manchester United in 2009 marked the start of a great double campaign. As for this match, Chelsea possibly have the edge as key talisman Sánchez appears to be ill and Özil is throwing one of his annual temper tantrums. In addition, the new presence of Morata should give Chelsea the extra inspiration they need. The Blues to win, but not by much.

Team News

Sánchez flew recently to London with his Lawyer… via Paris, promoting speculation of a move to PSG.

For some reason, Conte wants to buy Oxlade-Chamberlain for £25 million, hoping that he can turn him into a wing-back.

It looks like Costa will not be playing this weekend, with the belief he will move to either Atletico Madrid or AC Milan. No more cold winters for you, Diego.

After selling Matic for a cool £50 million to Manchester United, Chelsea look keen to sign Danny Drinkwater from Leicester as a potential replacement.

Expected Line-Ups:

Arsenal(3-4-2-1): Čech; Monreal, Mustafi, Holding; Oxlade-Chamberlain, Xhaka, Ramsey, Bellerín; Walcott, Özil, Lacazette
Subs: Ospina, Elneny, Paulista, Iwobi, Lucas, Giroud, Mertesacker
Injured: Coquelin, Sánchez, Wilshere, Cazorla
Doubtful: Gibbs
Not available:
Chelsea(3-4-2-1): Courtois; Cahill, Luiz, Azpilicueta; Alonso, Kante, Fabregas, Moses; Willian, Batshauyi; Morata
Subs: Caballero, Rüdiger, Kenedy, Costa, Musonda Jr, Piazon, Zouma
Injured: Pedro, Hazard
Doubtful: Bakayoko
Not available:

  • Morata will see this as an opportunity to prove himself as Chelsea’s newest and best striker. Odds of 23/20 to score a brace.
  • Fancy Arsenal’s newest striker to score a hat-trick. Odds of 66/1 for Lacazette to score three times.
  • Giroud is known for scoring big goals in games like these. Odds of 10/1 for Arsenal to win and Giroud to score the last goal.
  • Games between Arsenal and Chelsea have been known to be high scoring. Massive odds of 15/2 for Chelsea to win and five or more goals to be scored in the match.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
27/05/2017 Arsenal 2 – 1 Chelsea FA Cup Final Sánchez 5′ (pen)
04/02/2017 Chelsea 3 – 1 Arsenal Premier League Alonso 13′
24/09/2016 Arsenal 3 – 0 Chelsea Premier League Sánchez 11′
24/01/2016 Arsenal 0 – 1 Chelsea Premier League Costa 23′
19/09/2015 Chelsea 2 – 0 Arsenal Premier League Zouma 53′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Chelsea are the Premier League defenders, so they are at pretty good odds of EVENs to win the game over at William Hill. Arsenal are lagging a fair bit behind at 23/10, making neither bet a particularly tasty one. A much more interesting and lucrative market is to predict a team to win and both teams to score, with Chelsea and Arsenal at 11/4 and 9/2 respectively.

Additionally, given the FA Cup final result, you can always bet on the exact same result, with odds of 10/1 for Arsenal to win at 2-1. Likewise, if you believe that Chelsea will replicate their friendly match in China, then there are massive odds of 18/1 for them to win 3-0. As I would plump for Chelsea to win the game, some combination of them to win and goals scored is your best bet.

Best Betting Tip:

Chelsea to win and 3 or more goals @ 2/1.