Desperate Title Contenders Against Top Four Hopefuls
Last updated: December 11, 2019 by Leon Marshal
|Last Meeting:||Man City 3 – 1 Arsenal|
The Premier League rollercoaster has produced yet more spins and turns as we head into a busy Christmas schedule. The champions have seen their title challenge go off-track, while Arsenal finally got back to winning ways against West Ham. How will this one end? Here are our thoughts;
Freddie Ljungberg hasn’t benefited from the manager bounce that we have started to become accustomed to in the Premier League. Since taking over from Unai Emery, Ljungberg has won just one in three. The Gunners seem to have lost their identity with little of the confidence, attitude and individual skill that became synonymous with the London side. A lack of a decisive defensive midfielder who would anchor their flimsy defence. Evidence of this need is provided by the debt of gratitude they owe to goalkeeper Bernd Leno; he has made the most number of saves in the league at 69.
Off the field, things are also worrying for Arsenal fans. Captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is stalling on putting pen to paper and only has 18 months left on his contract. The club are also distracted with finding a candidate to take over the vacant hot seat. Brendan Rodgers has ruled himself out of the running by signing a new contract with Leicester. Wolves manager, Nuno Espirito Santo, was rumoured for the role, but it seems unlikely with his team’s progression in the Europa League. Mauricio Pochettino and Massimiliano Allegri are available but are more likely to consider other options such as Bayern Munich.
There is trouble at the Etihad camp, just sixteen games to the new season, the team has dropped the same number of point’s they dropped last season in its entirety. When Jose Mourinho was an analyst at Sky Sports, he commented that the Manchester City B team could have a shot at winning the title. They have needed the B team in swathes this season, with injuries to important players. The latest culprit being John Stones who has joined David Silva and Sergio Aguero in the treatment room. The most significant loss to injury was to Aymeric Laporte whose absence has left a big gap in the defence. This time City will not have the supreme firepower of Aguero to rely on. The Argentine scored all three City goals when they last faced Arsenal, his goals securing a 3-1 win.
Sterling had a tough game against Manchester United having a constant battle with Aaron Wan-Bissaka. The inability of Pep side to crack teams, especially given their credentials, should be worrying for the reigning champions. This was evident in their 2 – 0 loss to Wolves and the recent loss 2 – 1 to United prove that there are loopholes in this City side that can be exploited. The title is still within reach, but consistency in performances would set the pace especially with the January window looming, seems like they will splash big money to reinforce the squad.
Arsenal has lost all the last five consecutive matches against Manchester City in all competitions.
Arsenal’s win at West Ham on Monday night ended a seven-match winless streak that stretched to 6th October.
The defending Champions are 14 points adrift the current league leaders Liverpool, six behind second-placed Leicester City.
Aguero who scored a hat trick the last time these two met is set to miss with a bad muscle injury sustained in their 2 – 1 win against Chelsea.
|Arsenal (4-2-3-1):||Leno, Maitland-Niles, Chambers, Sokratis, Kolasnic, Torreira, Xhaka, Pepe, Ozil, Aubameyang, Lacazette|
|Subs:||Martinez, Guendouzi, Mustafi Martinelli, Nelson, Saka|
|Manchester City (4-3-3):||Ederson, Walker, Otamendi, Fernandinho, Mendy, Rodrigo, D.Silva, De Byrne, Sterling, B.Silva, G.Jesus|
|Subs:||Bravo, Mahrez, Gundogan, Angelino, Cancelo, Foden|
|Injured:||Laporte, Sane, Zinchenko, Aguero|
So Far This Season
|Arsenal This Season||Man City This Season|
|5 (2)||Wins (away)||10 (5)|
|3 – 1 v West Ham||Biggest Win||8 – 0 v Watford|
|7 (3)||Draws (away)||2 (1)|
|1 – 3 v Liverpool||Biggest Defeat||1 – 3 v Liverpool|
|Aubameyang (11)||Top Goal Scorer||Aguero (9) Sterling (8)|
|Y37, R1||Discipline||Y31, R1|
|2||Failures to Score||1|
|75%||Both Teams to Score Games||62.5%|
|62.5%||Over 2.5 Goals||87.5%|
|37.5%||Under 2.5 Goals||12.5%|
- Arsenal has played Man City 44 times; The Gunners have dominated this fixture with 23 wins against Man City 11 wins with ten draws between them.
- Only Jamie Vardy (16) has more goals than Aubameyang (11).
- Manchester City resurgence under Pep Guardiola has seen them dominating a fixture that has been for them winning the last five consecutive games in all competitions.
- The Citizens have an average of 2.75 goals scored per match compared to the Gunners 1.5.
Head to Head
|Last 5 meetings between the two sides|
|Date||Competition||Game Result||First Goal-scorer|
|03/02/2019||EPL||Man City 3 – 1 Arsenal||Aguero 1’|
|12/08/2018||EPL||Arsenal 0 – 2 Man City||Sterling 14′|
|01/03/2018||EPL||Arsenal 0 – 3 Man City||B.Silva 15’|
|25/02/2018||Carabao Cup||Arsenal 0 – 3 Man City||Aguero 18’|
|05/11/2017||EPL||Man City 3 – 1 Arsenal||De Bruyne 19’|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Manchester City will be fuming about their defeat against Manchester United, and in many ways, this is the ideal fixture for that. City, in the mood, could exploit Arsenal’s defensive frailties.
For Arsenal, they can build on the albeit small foundations they have laid with the West Ham victory. City are also weak defensively so an Aubameyang goal wouldn’t be surprising. So with all things considered, we expect a high scoring encounter with the Over 3.5 and the BTTS option are favourable options. You can bet on this at MoPlay.