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Can West Ham Claim A Second Scalp On The Trot?

Last updated: May 11, 2017 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Sunday, 2.15 pm
Venue: London Stadium
Coverage: Sky Sports 1 (HD, Ultra HD)
Home Form: WDDDW
Away Form: WWLWD
Last Meeting: Liverpool 2 – 2  West Ham
Competition: English Premier League

Jürgen Klopp understands the importance of legacy. Having left Borussia Dortmund as a legend, recent statistics show that his first 65 games with Liverpool match exactly with Brendan Rodgers. With his 66th game resulting in a draw, while Brendan won his, it seems that Klopp’s influence on The Reds has been rather minimal. A victory against West Ham, thus more or less confirming Champions League football next season, would be a great way for Klopp to prove that he is a better manager than Rodgers, and one who can firmly reestablish Liverpool as a great footballing force.

For West Ham, things are much different. They know that their own chances for success are non-existent, so their greatest pride in the latter half of the season simply consists in ruining it for other teams. After preventing Tottenham from winning the league, they will be hyped to repeat their success in battering Liverpool’s chances of finishing in the top four. As for Slaven Bilić, this could mean holding on to his job to the end of the season, with the hope that they can buy some better players in the Summer Transfer Market.

Nevertheless, West Ham have only won once against the top eight sides all season. If they have any hope of beating the free-flowing Liverpool, they will have to shut up shop, work their set-pieces, and hope to eke out a one-nil win. This will require Adrian – who pulled out showstopping saves from Harry Kane and Eric Dier last week – to be at his superlative best. Lanzini – who scored the winner against Tottenham – will have to be patient, hoping for that one special chance to make him a hero.

Klopp, on the other hand, will need to be inventive, as he has struggled recently against teams such as Southampton and Crystal Palace – who defended deep and parked the bus. Playing at the intimidating London Stadium, they will have to really make a go of it if they want to achieve a positive result. Perhaps its time to give old James Milner – who missed a penalty against Southampton – a rest, and allow Moreno to work down that left channel.

Team News

Kouyate will miss this game, and the rest of the season, after undergoing wrist surgery

There has yet to be any confirmation on a return date for West Ham striker Andy Carroll.

Although Jordan Henderson will miss this game, Jürgen Klopp is confident he will be back before the end of the season.

Sadio Mane reveals he will return next week after recovering from knee surgery.


Expected Line-Ups:

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West Ham (3-4-2-1) : Adrian; Fonte, Reid, Collins; Byram, Noble, Fernandes, Cresswell; Ayew. Lanzini; Calleri
Subs: Randolph, Nordtveit, Feghouli, Snodgrass, Fletcher, Quina, Rice
Injured: Kouyate, Sakho Carroll, Antonio, Obiang, Ogbonna, Tore
Doubtful: Masuaku
Not available:
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Liverpool (4-3-3): Mignolet; Clyne, Matip, Lovren, Milner; Can, Lucas, Wijnaldum; Sturridge, Origi, Coutinho
Subs: Karius, Firmino, Grujic, Klavan, Moreno, Lallana, Alexander-Arnold
Injured: Mane, Henderson, Bogdan, Ings
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

. . .
West Ham This Season Liverpool This Season
12th League Position 3rd
11(4) Wins (away) 20(9)
1-4 vs. Swansea City Biggest Win 6-1 vs. Watford
8 (5) Draws (away) 10 (4)
1-5 vs. Arsenal Biggest Defeat 3-1 vs. Leicester City
Michail Antonio (9) Top Goal Scorer Sadio Mané (13)
Y74, R5 Discipline Y54
8 Failures to Score 5
10 Clean Sheets 10
56% Both Teams to Score Games 67%
56% Over 2.5 Goals 58%
44% Under 2.5 Goals 42%
  • Without their star-man Antonio, West Ham will play Calleri upfront. William Hill give him odds of 12/5 on scoring anytime.
  • Mark Noble has set his sights on a top ten finish, stating: “We can’t worry about Spurs any more, it was a great performance and a great win but we want to beat Liverpool at home.”
  • Ex-Liverpool legend Michael Owen believes that Klopp will still be supported even if the team doesn’t finish in the top four this season. As he says: “No matter what happens in these final four games of the season, I don’t think there will be a huge outcry against the manager.”
  • Philip Coutinho’s days at Liverpool could be numbered, with both Real Madrid and Barcelona vying to sign him. Coral give odds of 11/2 that he nets two goals

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings between the two sides
Date Competition Game Result First Goal-scorer
11/12/2016 English Premier League Liverpool 2 – 2 West Ham Lallana 5′
09/02/2016 FA Cup West Ham 2 – 1 Liverpool Antonio 45′
30/01/2016 FA Cup Liverpool 0 – 0 West Ham
02/01/2016 English Premier League West Ham 2 – 0 Liverpool Antoinio 0′
29/08/2015 English Premier League Liverpool 0 – 3 West Ham Lanzini 3′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Liverpool are the bookies’ favorite for this game, with odds of 7/10 for the win at Paddy Power. This is probably due to the fact that West Ham struggle against the top premier leagues. Yet, given Liverpool’s track record against defensive teams, and bearing in mind that West Ham have won 1-0 at home in 1/3 of all their London Stadium games, punters looking for real value might do well to bet on a 1-0 West Ham win, with fantastic odds of 14/1 given. Nevertheless, given Daniel Sturridge’s natural poaching ability; perhaps a decent punt is their 20/1 odds for him to score a hat-trick.

Perhaps the most lucrative value can be found by hoping for an interesting game. Once Liverpool find an avenue, their games can involve a lot of goals, with 67% of their matches seeing both teams score. As a reflection of that, Betway are offering a highly valuable 23/10 for Liverpool to win and both teams to score. However, if you are feeling safe, why not back under 2.5 goals (as seen in 3 out of Liverpool’s and four out of West Ham’s last five games) at the same operator for a decent 1/1 return? Predicting this game may be a little complicated, but once you look under the surface, there is a lot of great value to be had!