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Can Stoke take points from United for the second time this season?

Last updated: January 10, 2018 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Monday, 20:00
Venue: Old Trafford
Coverage: Sky Sports
Home Team Form: WDDDW
Away Team Form: LWDLL
Last Meeting: Stoke 2 – 2 Man U
Competition: Premier League

Back in September, in the fourth week of the new Premier League season, Stoke became the first team to take points from Manchester United after earning a 2-2 draw. United returned immediately to winning ways before hitting some poor form at the end of October. That was nothing compared to Stoke though. The Potters have won just three times since then, along with picking up three draws. That form has seen Stoke – who parted ways with manager Mark Hughes last week – occupy the final relegation place at the start of the new year.

Up until the end of December, United had only drawn once more since the meeting with Stoke. Now though, they’ve drawn three of their last four league games and, despite being second in the table, the gap between them and first place Manchester City seems insurmountable. Looking more closely at this game, it’s difficult to see the Red Devils dropping points here, which they’ve done just three times at home. The team is almost back to full-strength, with Romelu Luakaku returning to head the line and Phil Jones re-finding his feet in defence. Antonio Valencia is the only key figure missing, along with Eric Bailly who has been a long-term absentee.

Stoke sacked manager Mark Hughes after they were knocked out of the FA Cup by Coventry City. The search for a replacement continues at the time of writing, but the club has stated they plan to make the appointment by Friday. Key victories against fellow strugglers Swansea and West Brom have been all Stoke fans have had to smile about in the last month. But that won’t be enough if they want to stay up. Stoke will need to start taking points from other teams too, but starting here is perhaps not on the cards, as Stoke have won just one away match all season.


Team News

Ashley Young is suspended for Man United after retrospective action by the FA from Young elbowing Southampton’s Dusan Tadic.

Romelu Lukaku missed the last league match due to a head injury, but the Belgian is back fit and should start.

Stoke are still managerless at the time of writing, so their starting lineup could be subject to change.

Stoke still have lots of injuries in defence, with Shawcross and Pieters likely to miss out.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Man Utd (4-3-3): de Gea, Lindelöf, Jones, Rojo, Shaw, Herrera, Matic, Pogba, Martial, Lingard, Lukaku
Subs: Smalling, Blind, Rashford, Romero, Mkhitaryan, Darmian, Mata
Injured: Valencia, Bailly, Carrick, Ibrahimovic
Doubtful:
Not available: Young
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Stoke (4-3-3): Butland, Edwards, Zouma, Wimmer, Pieters, Allen, Cameron, Adam, Shaqiri, Crouch, Choupo-Moting
Subs: Ireland, Berahino, Diouf, Fletcher, Sobhi, Grant, Souttar
Injured: Shawcross, Martins Indi, Johnson
Doubtful: Jesé, Pieters
Not available:

So Far This Season

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Man Utd So Far This Season Stoke So Far This Season
2nd League Position 16th
8 (6) Wins (away) 4 (1)
4 – 0 vs. Swansea Biggest Win 3 – 1 vs. West Brom
2 (3) Draws (away) 2 (3)
1 – 2 vs Man City Biggest Defeat 2 – 7 vs Man City
Lukaku (10) Top Goal Scorer Choupo-Moting (4)
Y36, R1 Discipline Y27, R0
4 Failures to Score 6
12 Clean Sheets 2
40% Both Teams to Score Games 68%
40% Over 2.5 Goals 68%
60% Under 2.5 Goals 32%
  • Stoke were the first team to take points from Manchester United this season, holding them to a draw. United have dropped points just three times at home this season since.
  • A poor run has seen Stoke take just four points from the last twenty-one. They’ve also only scored more than one goal in a game once in that time.
  • United have drawn five matches this season, but three of those have been in the last four games.
  • Stoke have kept an embarrassing two clean sheets all season. With United scoring in all but four matches, a clean sheet here seems very unlikely.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
09/09/2017 Stoke 2 – 2 Manchester United Premier League Choupo-Moting 43′
21/01/2017 Stoke 1 – 1 Manchester United Premier League Mata OG 19′
02/10/2016 Manchester United 1 – 1 Stoke Premier League Martial 69′
02/02/2016 Manchester United 3 – 0 Stoke Premier League Lingard 14′
26/12/2015 Stoke 2 – 0 Manchester United Premier League Bojan 19′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

As we highlighted above, there’s little to suggest an upset here. A new manager being appointed would raise confidence and breathe some new life into the players and fans, but a victory in that manager’s first match away to Manchester United would be fairytale stuff.

Stoke also still have injuries in defence, which saw them lose to fellow strugglers Newcastle and concede five against Chelsea. We expect more of the same here and will therefore be going for a Manchester United win combined with over 2.5 goals, which you can get at Betway.