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Can Arsenal bring Man City’s winning run to an end?

Last updated: November 2, 2017 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Sunday, 14:15pm
Venue: The Etihad
Coverage: Sky Sports 1
Home Team Form: WWWWW
Away Team Form: WWLWW
Last Meeting: Arsenal 2 – 1 Man City
Competition: Premier League

Another weekend of Premier League football, another Manchester City win. It wasn’t perhaps as straight forward for the Citizens last week, who emerged 3-2 winners over West Brom, but the scoreline makes it seem perhaps closer than it was in reality. Arsenal had to fight back from a goal down to earn a win, as they continue a solid run since losing two of their opening three games.

Manchester City qualified for the final stages of the Champions League with an impressive win against Napoli on Wednesday night. Their flawless record in that competition is almost matched by a flawless domestic record; they’ve dropped just two points after ten games so far. Despite the success, Guardiola has consistently rotated his players and he will likely do so again here. Sergio Agüero is the team’s top-scorer with seven goals but he played almost the full game in Italy on Wednesday, suggesting he may me swapped for Gabriel Jesus. City have scored an incredible 21 goals in five home games this season and they’re odds on to add a few more to that tally here.

Arsenal on the other hand, have a tendency to roll-over in these big games. This is as big as they come for any Premier League team at the minute, with City looking like they could run away with the title already. Nevertheless, Arsenal showed great spirit to fight back from a goal behind last week against Swansea. A goal and assist from Sead Kolasinac was the difference, but the defender limped off late into the game, with his fitness a question mark for this match. He will be a big loss, but other than that, there are no new injury concerns for Arsenal. The Gunners like to control games, but even Wenger must concede that City are likely to dominate possession. Just how Arsenal will go about trying to get a victory is an interesting question in itself then, let alone whether they can take anything from this match.


Team News

Guardiola has stated that Vincent Kompany is nearing a return from injury, but there is still no date set to when he will be back.

City’s depth means rotation has been a key feature this season. The Champions League team on Wednesday featured many changes from the match before. Expect more rotation from Pep.

Wenger will be sweating on the fitness of Sead Kolasinac. The Bosnian was instrumental in last weekend’s win but could miss out due to a hip complaint.

We all know City’s form is intimidating, but Arsenal have some of their own. They’ve won five, drawn one, and lost one of their last seven games.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Man City (3-4-2-1): Ederson, Walker, Stones, Otamendi, Delph, De Bruyne, Fernandinho, D Silva, Sterling, Jesus, Sané
Subs: Bravo, Danilo, Agüero, B Silva, , Mangala, Y Touré
Injured: Mendy, Kompany,
Doubtful:
Not available:
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Arsenal (4-3-3): Cech, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Monreal, Bellerin, Ramsey, Xhaka, Kolasinac, Özil, Sánchez, Lacazette
Subs: Wilshere, Giroud, Walcott, Holding, Iwobi, Coquelin, Macey
Injured: Ospina, Mustafi, Chambers, Cazorla, Welbeck
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Campaign

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Man City So Far This Campaign Arsenal So Far This Campaign
1st League Position 5th
4 (5) Wins (away) 5 (1)
6-0 vs. Watford Biggest Win 5-2 vs. Everton
1 (0) Draws (away) 0 (1)
Biggest Defeat 0 – 4 vs Liverpool
Sergio Agüero (7) Top Goal Scorer Alexandre Lacazette (5)
Y19, R2 Discipline Y9, R0
0 Failures to Score 3
6 Clean Sheets 4
40% Both Teams to Score Games 40%
70% Over 2.5 Goals 60%
30% Under 2.5 Goals 40%
  • City’s stats this season are scary. Nine games out of ten won, none lost and 35 goals scored with just six conceded.
  • Arsenal have four clean sheets this season but the chances of earning another one here are low, as City have not failed to score in a league game yet this season.
  • Both teams feature in high scoring games often, with 70% of City’s games and 60% Arsenal’s featuring over 2.5 goals.
  • Arsenal’s away form doesn’t bode well for their chances in this match. They’ve won just one game away from home, drawing one and losing three.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
23/04/2017 Arsenal 2 – 1 Manchester City FA Cup Agüero 62′
02/04/2017 Arsenal 2 – 2 Manchester City Premier League Sané 5′
18/12/2016 Manchester City 2 – 1 Arsenal Premier League Walcott 5′
08/05/2016 Manchester City 2 – 2 Arsenal Premier League Agüero 8′
21/12/2015 Arsenal 2 – 1 Manchester City Premier League Walcott 33′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

City’s strength means there has been little value in betting on them to win in most games this season. With Arsenal a stronger opposition, the price for City to win is slightly better, though still low in terms of value. We do however strongly fancy Man City to win and also for there to be goals.

With that in mind, we’ll be backing City to win plus over 2.5 goals in the game. Both teams have featured over 2.5 goals in the majority of their games and this seems a good shout. You can get this bet and many more at 888 Sport for around 8/11.