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Is this the year Red Devils dominate the FA Cup?

Last updated: January 5, 2018 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Friday, 20:00
Venue: Old Trafford
Coverage: Radio 5Live
Home Team Form: WDDDL
Away Team Form: DWDWW
Last Meeting: Derby 1 – 3 Man Utd
Competition: FA Cup

Man Utd have dominated lower league opponents throughout their FA Cup history – losing just one of the last 35 such matches – and Mourinho will be pushing his squad to carry out another decisive victory this Friday. But with a long list of injuries at Old Trafford and some questionable league performances over the past weeks, can the Rams pull off an upset?

Despite dropping points in their previous two home matches, Man Utd returned to playing elite-quality football after easily brushing aside Everton on New Years Day. With fantastic individual performances from Lingard and Pogba, the latter voted Man of the Match, many suggested the change in formation inspired the Frenchman’s influential performance. Mourinho’s men will certainly be feeling confident going into the cup match on home soil. It is by no means an easy tie, but Mourinho will be looking for a chance of silverware as the Premier League trophy is on the brink of being draped in sky-blue ribbons.

Derby will be relishing the prospect for this match, and will certainly be no pushovers. Every lower-league player dreams of these sort of matches, away from home at a Premier League powerhouse is the time to showcase your talent and raise individual stock. The Championship side have been picking up points consistently this season and find themselves sitting comfortably 2nd in the table with a +18 goal difference. The Rams are riding off the confidence of a 7-game unbeaten run in all competitions, including 5 wins. With all their key-players firing, this is a great time for a clash with an elite club.

Man Utd however have maintained the fortress reputation affiliated with Old Trafford throughout this season, losing just one game in front of the home fans. The squad are young and hungry to impress the manager, the likes of Lingard, Rashford and Pogba are fully firing now, and will most likely overwhelm their opponents. The Red Devils typically do well in the FA Cup and always start particularly strong in domestic tournaments. FA Cup ties are famous for unlikely victories, and Derby will come into this game as if it is a cup final, but if Man Utd get time and space on the ball this has the potential to be a very one-sided match given the quality in the Man Utd ranks.


Team News

The Swedish forward, Ibrahimovic, will miss the Cup match. He is currently recovering from a knee injury.

Mourinho is expected to change the squad that beat Everton, his options are limited given the large injury list..

Derby manager Gary Rowett has suggested he will bring in young players after a grueling festive period.

Derby men, Ledley and Johnson, are both sidelined from injuries sustained in the league campaign.


Expected Line-Ups:

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Man Utd (4-3-3): Romero; Rojo, Darmian, Tuanzebe, Blind; McTominay, Herrera, Pogba; Martial, Lingard, Rashford
Subs: Mata, Shaw, Lindeloef, Mkhitaryan, Castro Pereira, Jones
Injured: Ibrahimovic, Fellaini, Valencia, Carrick, Bailly
Doubtful: Smalling, Lukaku
Not available: Young
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Derby (4-3-3): Carson; Baird, Keogh, Davies, Forsyth; Huddlestone, Johnson, Russell; Vydra, Weimann, Nugent
Subs: Martin, Wisdom, Pearce, Winnall, Bennett, Thorne, Mitchell
Injured: Ledley
Doubtful:
Not available:

So Far This Season

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Man Utd’s Last FA Cup Campaign Derby’s Last FA Cup Campaign
Sixth Round Stage Reched Fourth Round
3 (1) Wins (away) 1 (1)
4 – 0 vs. Wigan Athletic Biggest Win 1 – 2 vs. West Brom
0 (0) Draws (away) 1 (1)
1 – 0 vs. Chelsea KO’d by 3 – 1 vs. Leicester
Rashford (3) Top Goal Scorer Bent (2)
Y5, R1 Discipline Y4, R0
1 Failures to Score 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
25% Both Teams to Score Games 100%
75% Over 2.5 Goals 66%
25% Under 2.5 Goals 33%
  • Man Utd have drawn Derby 10 times in the FA Cup, as recently as January 2016, with Man Utd winning 3 – 1 at the iPro stadium.
  • Derby have been on great form in the Championship and are currently on an unbeaten 7 game run.
  • Mourinho will be hoping to field his £75m striker, Romelu Lukaku. His starting spot is still unsure for the cup clash.
  • Derby have maintained a strong defensive record on the road this season, keeping a clean sheet in 3 out of the last 5 games.

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Competition First Goal-scorer
29/01/2016 Derby 1 – 3 Man Utd FA Cup Rooney ’16
15/02/2009 Derby 1 – 4 Man Utd FA Cup Nani ’29
20/01/2009 Man Utd 4 – 2 Derby League Cup Nani ’16
07/01/2009 Derby 1 – 0 Man Utd League Cup Commons ’30
15/03/2008 Derby 0 – 1 Man Utd Premier League Ronaldo ’76

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Looking at the form of both teams, it is wise to look at goals for value in this fixture. Man Utd to win & over 2.5 goals is 37/40 at William Hill. The straight win is at 2/7 at many top bookies.