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The old rivals begin their 2018 World Cup preparations

Last updated: November 8, 2017 by Leon Marshal

Game details

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Kick-off: Friday, 19:45pm
Venue: Wembley
Coverage: ITV
Home Team Form: WWLWW
Away Team Form: WWWWW
Last Meeting: Germany 1 – 0 England
Competition: International friendly

Is it ever really a friendly between England and Germany? The two have met many times in World Cups, European Championships, and International friendlies, and each time one gets the sense that there’s something extra at stake. Both teams finished top of their respective groups in qualification for the 2018 World Cup in Russia, meaning they can begin their preparations here with a string of friendlies. The two teams have already met once this year; in what was Lukas Podolski’s last match for Germany, the German legend scored a wonder goal to win the match in which England perhaps deserved to take something from.

England are the current World Champions at both under 20 and under 17 level, but the senior team still seems to have a way to go. A cursory glance over the squad for this friendly would suggest the Three Lions may struggle here, especially when compared to Germany’s squad-sheet. Key players Harry Kane, Harry Winks, Deli Alli, Jordan Henderson, and Raheem Sterling are all missing, meaning England are effectively without almost half of their first team. Manager Gareth Southgate also showed he had a ruthless streak in him with his squad selection. Regulars like Chris Smalling and Daniel Sturridge were all called to be told that they wouldn’t be featuring, as the manager finds it hard to justify selecting players that aren’t regularly playing for their club. Fair enough really, though it does mean the England squad is looking thin in midfield and experience.

Germany, unsurprisingly, were very convincing in their World Cup qualification group, with ten wins out of ten and just four goals conceded in the process. The team are ranked number one in the Fifa rankings and their performances of late have justified that. The German squad is full of talent, both new and old, and Germany will without doubt be a danger team at the World Cup next year. Die Mannschaft also won the Confederation Cup in that time even though they often fielded a second-string squad throughout the competition. But Germany too will likely play far from a first team in this match, as Joachim Löw will look to give some younger players some game time.


Team News

The Tottenham trio of Harry Kane, Dele Alli, and Harry Winks have all withdrawn from the squad due to injury.

There have been first time call ups for many young players, including Tammy Abraham, Joe Gomez and Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Mario Götze and İlkay Gündoğan have been recalled to the Germany team after being out for many months with injury.

The Bayern Munich players Thomas Müller and Manuel Neuer are both absent through injury.


Expected Line-Ups:

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England (4-2-3-1): Hart, Rose, Keane, Stones, Trippier, Dier, Livermore, Loftus-Cheek, Lingard, Rashford, Vardy,
Subs: Butland, Pickford, Bertrand, Cahill, Keane, Mcguire, Gomez, Walker, Young, Abraham
Injured: Kane, Winks, Alli, Sterling, Henderson
Doubtful:
Not available:
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Germany (4-2-3-1): Leno, Boateng, Hummels, Kimmich, Ginter, Can, Draxler, Khedira, Kroos, Sané, Werner
Subs: ter Stegen, Trapp, Halstenberg, Plattenhardt, Rüdiger, Gündoğan, Özil, Rudy, Stindl, Wagner, Younes
Injured: Müller, Neuer
Doubtful:
Not available:

Head to Head

Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides
Date Game Result Round First Goal-scorer
22/03/2017 Germany 1 – 0 England International Friendly Podolski 69′
26/03/2016 Germany 2 – 3 England International Friendly Kroos 43′
19/11/2013 England 0 – 1 Germany International Friendly Mertesacker 39′
27/06/2010 Germany 4 – 1 England World Cup Klose 20′
19/11/2008 Germany 1 – 2 England International Friendly Upson 23′

Conclusion & Betting Tips

England are unbeaten at Wembley since March 2016, but Germany haven’t lost in their twenty matches since EURO 2016, when they reached the semi-finals.

England’s matches under Southgate have mostly been unexciting, low-scoring affairs. With the lack of attacking options at his disposal for this match, more of the same is perhaps England’s most sensible option here. Germany however, to their credit, don’t know anything other than playing a high-tempo, attacking game. They are the more likely to win this one and we see it as more of a question of how well England can contain the visitors. For that reason, we’re thinking under 2.5 goals is a sensible option, which you can get for around 17/20 at Sun bets. But if you think Germany will have enough to win, you can get Die Mannschaft at around 11/10.