The weekend starts with a North London derby
Last updated: November 16, 2017 by Leon Marshal
|Home Team Form:||WLWWL|
|Away Team Form:||WWWLW|
|Last Meeting:||Tottenham 2 – 0 Arsenal|
A North London derby is always a highly anticipated affair. With Tottenham now a major force in the Premier League – arguably more so than Arsenal – there is an extra slice of tension built into this one.
Arsenal come into this game with a perfect home record. They lost their last league game against Manchester City, but they at least went down fighting. Generally, the Gunners have improved since a terrible start to the league which saw them lose two of their first three games. They’ve only lost two since that third week of the Premiership, one of those the perhaps unavoidable loss to Manchester City. Arsène Wenger may have a defensive headache to sort, with a number of injuries at the back. Elsewhere things look rosier though. Arsenal are freely scoring and starting to find real cohesion among the individual brilliance they possess.
Tottenham too have injury concerns at the back. Jan Vertonghen has been passed fit, but defensive partner Toby Alderweireld looks set to miss out through injury. Elsewhere, Deli Alli and Harry Winks could also miss out. Tottenham do seem to have put the Wembley curse behind them, but they are still riding their luck at home from time to time. The win against Crystal Palace a fortnight ago was without doubt a fortunate one, as a lacklustre Spurs deserved little from the match. As it stands though, Tottenham are third in the table and four points ahead of the Gunners. Only Chelsea could leapfrog Tottenham if they lose, but if the chasing pack keep dropping points on Manchester City, the league could soon be a foregone conclusion.
Arsenal are looking very thin in defence, with Mustafi, Mertesacker, Holding, and Chambers all a doubt for this match.
Wenger didn’t start Andre Lacazette in Arsenal’s last game, a move widely criticised, especially after the Frenchman scored after coming on. He scored two for France on Tuesday and should start here.
Tottenham have defensive problems of their own with Alderweireld injured while on international duty and likely to miss out.
Other potential absentees are Hugo Lloris, along with Deli Alli and Harry Winks, who both withdrew from the England squad.
|Arsenal (4-3-3):||Cech; Koscielny, Mertesacker, Monreal, Bellerin, Ramsey, Xhaka, Kolasinac, Özil, Sánchez, Lacazette|
|Subs:||Debuchy, Iwobi, Walcott, Wilshere, Giroud, El Neny, Macey|
|Doubtful:||Mustafi, Welbeck, Ospina, Chambers, Giroud, Mertesacker, Holding|
|Tottenham (4-3-2-1):||Gazzaniga, Sánchez, Dier, Vertonghen, Trippier, Davies, Winks, Sissoko, Eriksen, Son-Heung-min, Kane|
|Subs:||Aurrier, Nkoudou, Llorente, Dembélé, Foyth, Rose, Alli|
|Injured:||Alderweireld, Wanyama, Lamela|
|Doubtful:||Alli, Winks, Lloris, Vorm, Vertongen|
So Far This Season
|Arsenal So Far This Season||Tottenham So Far This Season|
|5 (1)||Wins (away)||3 (4)|
|5 – 2 vs. Everton||Biggest Win||4 – 0 vs. Huddersfield|
|0 (1)||Draws (away)||2 (0)|
|0 – 4 vs Liverpool||Biggest Defeat||1 – 2 vs Chelsea|
|Alexandre Lacazette (6)||Top Goal Scorer||Harry Kane (8)|
|Y15, R0||Discipline||Y12, R1|
|3||Failures to Score||2|
|45%||Both Teams to Score Games||36%|
|63%||Over 2.5 Goals||45%|
|37%||Under 2.5 Goals||55%|
- New-signing Alexandre Lacazette is Arsenal’s top-scorer and the Frenchman will be expected to get on the scoresheet again here.
- Harry Kane has scored in all of the last four meetings between the two sides. Kane is always odds on to score, but he seems to especially like playing against Arsenal.
- Arsenal have three clean sheets from five home games this season, but Spurs have managed to score in all but one of their away games.
- Both teams have scored in all but one of the last seven games between these two teams.
Head to Head
|Last Five Competitive Meetings Between The Sides|
|Date||Game Result||Round||First Goal-scorer|
|30/04/2017||Tottenham 2 – 0 Arsenal||Premier League||Alli 55′|
|06/11/2016||Arsenal 1 – 1 Tottenham||Premier League||Wimmer OG 42′|
|05/03/2016||Tottenham 2 – 2 Arsenal||Premier League||Ramsey 39′|
|08/11/2015||Arsenal 1 – 1 Tottenham||Premier League||Kane 32′|
|23/09/2015||Tottenham 1 – 2 Arsenal||League Cup||Flamini 26′|
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Arsenal have maintained their perfect home record this season which now stands at five wins in five games. This will be the biggest test of that record though, with Tottenham particularly strong away from home.
As with any derby, where the intensity is flicked up a notch, it’s difficult to pick a winner. As we mentioned above, historically, this game features both teams scoring. With both teams having an in-form striker and both defences likely to not be at full strength, we think this trend will continue. You can get both teams to score at around 1/2 at William Hill. Harry Kane has scored in every game he’s played against Arsenal and if you fancy that trend to also continue, you can get him as an anytime goalscorer at around 8/11.